Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 10, 2023

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $31.3300 (-3.3%) ($30.7500 - $32.2700) on Tue. Oct. 10, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $31.3300(-3.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(42%)    TBT(37%)    UUP(34%)    VIXM(32%)    EDOC(18%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWO(-99%)    IWN(-99%)    IFRA(-92%)    IWD(-91%)    XRT(-90%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV -2 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.93(-4.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.39(-3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.11(0.71%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   42.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 6.49% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.93%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.04%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2023	27.51	31.11	32.39	32.93	33.13	32.31	31.33(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-17	-160	-39	51	10.36	65%	0	67.6	2.68%	-2	0.1	61	0.2
2	Oct_9_2023	27.51	30.95	32.48	33.46	33.78	33.36	32.4(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-60	-12	106	7.59	68%	0	75.8	2.72%	-1.4	0.7	69	-0.1
3	Oct_6_2023	27.51	30.73	32.35	33.45	33.92	33.94	33(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	50	10	131	12.25	67%	0.04	81.4	2.75%	-1.7	1.1	73	-0.7
4	Oct_5_2023	27.5	30.48	32.19	33.05	33.44	34.2	33.9(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	31	146	10.51	67%	0.07	81.6	2.79%	-1.2	1.6	79	-0.7
5	Oct_4_2023	27.48	30.16	31.89	32.35	32.51	33.9	34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	71	310	44	150	12.48	67%	-0.04	79	2.82%	0.5	1.8	82	-1

6	Oct_3_2023	27.49	29.8	31.46	31.79	31.62	32.67	34(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	220	42	138	13.37	67%	0.04	77.2	2.84%	1.4	2.1	72	-2.1
7	Oct_2_2023	27.48	29.43	30.93	31.41	31.09	31.12	32.36(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-20	17	126	12.58	65%	-0.07	80.2	2.78%	1.8	1.7	71	-1.1
8	Sep_29_2023	27.5	29.07	30.57	31.13	31.05	30.57	30.98(1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-120	-13	114	12.25	60%	-0.11	65	2.74%	0.2	1	68	-1.3
9	Sep_28_2023	27.53	28.82	30.31	31.2	31.29	31.06	30.42(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-40	-12	122	11.82	60%	-0.11	59.6	2.77%	-1.5	0.8	65	-0.9
10	Sep_27_2023	27.56	28.59	30.02	31.33	31.36	31.53	31.19(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	40	9	138	16.92	58%	-0.11	57	2.76%	-0.2	1.3	70	-1.6

11	Sep_26_2023	27.59	28.34	29.75	31.03	31.19	31.52	32.12(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	90	29	146	10.39	59%	-0.04	49.6	2.79%	2.2	2	79	-3
12	Sep_25_2023	27.6	28.07	29.31	30.36	30.51	31.2	30.93(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	170	24	129	8.24	58%	-0.07	43.4	2.76%	0.5	1.7	78	-1.5
13	Sep_22_2023	27.62	27.91	28.99	29.92	29.81	30.86	31.34(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	64	240	40	137	9.2	60%	-0.18	40.6	2.81%	0.9	2.2	85	-1
14	Sep_21_2023	27.67	27.73	28.63	29.29	29.17	29.82	31.07(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	140	45	128	11.32	60%	-0.14	35.1	2.83%	1.7	2.5	75	-0.9
15	Sep_20_2023	27.71	27.51	28.28	28.53	28.49	28.77	29.67(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	60	15	102	10.98	58%	-0.18	24.1	2.77%	2.6	1.9	73	-0

16	Sep_19_2023	27.76	27.41	28	28.29	28.12	28.52	28.79(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	80	12	99	8.13	56%	-0.14	28.8	2.75%	1	1.4	67	0.9
17	Sep_18_2023	27.8	27.35	27.79	28.1	28.01	28.21	28.74(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	40	15	90	6.66	56%	-0.18	37.9	2.77%	1.2	1.4	57	1
18	Sep_15_2023	27.85	27.28	27.44	27.91	27.86	27.73	28.18(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-40	1	56	11.3	56%	-0.18	48.5	2.78%	0.7	1	50	1
19	Sep_14_2023	27.9	27.26	27.22	27.87	27.76	27.81	27.27(-4.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	0	-6	37	10.87	54%	-0.32	64.1	2.75%	-1.2	0	44	1.5
20	Sep_13_2023	27.99	27.24	27.08	27.96	27.85	27.98	28.45(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	20	14	40	8.94	57%	-0.21	80.4	2.72%	2.3	1.4	57	1.3

21	Sep_12_2023	28.05	27.12	26.84	27.66	27.73	27.7	27.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	0	9	11	8.89	57%	-0.14	82	2.74%	1.3	0.8	49	1
22	Sep_11_2023	28.09	26.99	26.76	27.42	27.46	27.72	27.8(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	14	70	18	0	6.92	57%	-0.14	75.2	2.75%	0	0.8	50	1.3
23	Sep_8_2023	28.13	26.85	26.76	26.87	27.09	27.76	27.97(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	200	28	-18	7.78	57%	-0.14	61	2.76%	1	1.1	52	1.3
24	Sep_7_2023	28.17	26.7	26.74	26.47	26.4	27.2	27.74(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	15	200	31	-33	10.1	53%	-0.11	55.3	2.77%	1	0.9	48	1.2
25	Sep_6_2023	28.2	26.55	26.66	26.07	25.93	26.42	26.92(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	120	21	-54	11.96	47%		48.1	2.83%	1	0.3	50	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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