Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 10, 2022

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $46.6800 (0.02%) ($43.5200 - $49.6700) on Tue. May. 10, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.36% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $46.6800(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(62%)    UUP(40%)    VXX(17%)    TBT(13%)    TLT(-14%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-90%)    XLI(-88%)    VYM(-87%)    XRT(-86%)    XHB(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.68% (StdDev 5.36%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 4.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.9(11.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.6(14.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.59(24.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   66.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 11.31% (three month std-dev: 5.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 48 Average positive next day return: 5.78%(48%) Average negative next day return: -3.25%(52%) Sample size 48 Average positive next three day return: 9.57%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -6.69%(63%) Sample size 48 Average positive next weekly return: 12.35%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.56%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2022	33.63	37.59	40.6	41.9	42.59	45.59	46.68(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	540	52	120	12.49	57%	0.48	56.1	5.36%	0.8	2.1	75	2.4
2	May_9_2022	33.47	36.95	39.78	40.23	40.32	43.01	46.67(12.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	70	470	55	116	14.4	55%	0.51	58.1	5.38%	1.6	2.6	74	2
3	May_6_2022	33.3	36.28	38.64	38.76	38.77	39.59	41.45(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	150	22	88	16.22	51%	0.33	65.4	5.19%	1.5	1.7	64	1.4
4	May_5_2022	33.19	35.85	38.12	38.57	38.58	37.63	39.5(12.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-170	0	88	12.58	51%	0.3	73.6	5.2%	1.5	1.3	63	1.7
5	May_4_2022	33.09	35.51	37.57	38.15	38.77	37.94	35.21(-8.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-100	-27	80	14.72	47%	0.15	77.7	5.01%	-2.7	-0.1	60	1

6	May_3_2022	33.04	35.35	37.3	39.01	39.08	39.53	38.3(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	90	-3	104	9.01	51%	0.24	91.3	4.9%	-1.1	1	59	-0.9
7	May_2_2022	32.96	34.92	36.7	39.17	39.15	39.59	39.35(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	80	21	111	11.9	51%	0.33	87.2	4.94%	0.6	1.5	61	-0.1
8	Apr_29_2022	32.85	34.44	36.16	38.44	38.53	38.63	40.48(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	30	11	93	12.8	49%	0.4	79.1	5.01%	1.6	2	64	0.2
9	Apr_28_2022	32.72	33.93	35.42	37.62	37.98	38.7	37.39(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	160	15	82	13.01	45%	0.34	78.1	4.95%	-1.7	1.3	62	0.8
10	Apr_27_2022	32.61	33.54	34.93	36.89	37.22	38.44	39.55(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	260	40	78	12.43	48%	0.4	66.7	4.95%	1.6	2.2	68	0.4

11	Apr_26_2022	32.48	32.96	34.36	35.31	35.51	37.26	39.09(9.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	360	39	55	11.21	48%	0.31	48.5	5.03%	1.7	2.4	70	1.4
12	Apr_25_2022	32.38	32.5	33.86	33.88	33.93	36	35.69(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	430	33	43	12.45	45%	0.15	36.9	4.91%	0.5	1.5	71	1.9
13	Apr_22_2022	32.33	32.23	33.66	33.55	32.96	33.77	36.36(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	120	29	49	11.43	43%	0.22	34.9	4.98%	1.6	2	72	1.1
14	Apr_21_2022	32.26	31.93	33.32	32.96	32.61	31.85	33.78(6.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-190	-0	35	11.53	43%	0.06	28.3	4.93%	2.5	1	62	1.3
15	Apr_20_2022	32.24	31.82	33.23	32.68	32.71	32.15	31.63(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-120	-22	33	9.02	42%	0.03	22.2	4.9%	-0.9	-0.1	61	0.7

16	Apr_19_2022	32.23	31.75	33.26	33.23	33.15	33.37	31.95(-6.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	40	-7	65	9.12	44%	0.12	15.4	4.95%	-1.4	0.1	67	0.8
17	Apr_18_2022	32.19	31.71	33.06	33.78	33.35	33.27	34.04(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-50	3	80	9.16	48%	0.19	7.5	4.93%	1.6	1.3	62	1
18	Apr_14_2022	32.13	31.52	32.65	33.77	33.48	32.93	33.38(3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-140	-6	74	11.11	48%	0.25	-6.2	5.05%	0.3	1.1	60	1.5
19	Apr_13_2022	32.05	31.41	32.38	33.74	33.71	33.44	32.38(-5.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-60	-7	76	8.41	48%	0.25	-14.6	5.03%	-1.5	0.6	58	1.5
20	Apr_12_2022	31.97	31.42	32.13	33.84	33.73	34.03	34.39(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	50	9	80	13.2	50%	0.28	-14.1	4.98%	1.4	1.5	58	1

21	Apr_11_2022	31.88	31.47	31.51	33.28	33.49	33.98	34.72(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	120	25	68	12.18	50%	0.31	-20.3	4.98%	1	1.4	64	0.1
22	Apr_8_2022	31.78	31.57	31.05	32.22	32.5	33.43	33.98(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	230	21	41	11.56	50%	0.32	-31.3	4.96%	0.6	1	59	0.7
23	Apr_7_2022	31.68	31.63	30.67	31.36	31.51	33.01	33.23(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	350	26	25	12.42	50%	0.32	-39.7	5%	0.5	0.7	59	1.3
24	Apr_6_2022	31.58	31.66	30.37	30.84	30.7	31.57	32.88(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	180	28	12	15.51	50%	0.32	-44.1	5.01%	1.1	0.5	55	1.1
25	Apr_5_2022	31.48	31.7	30.21	30.19	30.03	30.01	31.57(7.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-20	13	-12	12.21	52%		-44.2	4.99%	2.3	-0	45	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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