Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 28, 2022

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $37.3900 (-5.46%) ($36.7500 - $40.9780) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.95% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $37.3900(-5.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(64%)    UUP(40%)    VXX(17%)    TBT(14%)    TLT(-14%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-91%)    XLI(-88%)    XRT(-87%)    VYM(-87%)    XLF(-86%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.475% (StdDev 4.95%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.62(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.42(5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.93(10.2%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   33.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 8.02% (three month std-dev: 4.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(42%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(34%) Average negative next three day return: -3.78%(66%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.9%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.88%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2022	32.72	33.93	35.42	37.62	37.98	38.7	37.39(-5.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	160	15	82	13.01	45%	0.34	78.1	4.95%	-1.7	1.3	62	0.8
2	Apr_27_2022	32.61	33.54	34.93	36.89	37.22	38.44	39.55(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	260	40	78	12.43	48%	0.4	66.7	4.95%	1.6	2.2	68	0.4
3	Apr_26_2022	32.48	32.96	34.36	35.31	35.51	37.26	39.09(9.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	360	39	55	11.21	48%	0.31	48.5	5.03%	1.7	2.4	70	1.4
4	Apr_25_2022	32.38	32.5	33.86	33.88	33.93	36	35.69(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	430	33	43	12.45	45%	0.15	36.9	4.91%	0.5	1.5	71	1.9
5	Apr_22_2022	32.33	32.23	33.66	33.55	32.96	33.77	36.36(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	120	29	49	11.43	43%	0.22	34.9	4.98%	1.6	2	72	1.1

6	Apr_21_2022	32.26	31.93	33.32	32.96	32.61	31.85	33.78(6.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-190	-0	35	11.53	43%	0.06	28.3	4.93%	2.5	1	62	1.3
7	Apr_20_2022	32.24	31.82	33.23	32.68	32.71	32.15	31.63(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-120	-22	33	9.02	42%	0.03	22.2	4.9%	-0.9	-0.1	61	0.7
8	Apr_19_2022	32.23	31.75	33.26	33.23	33.15	33.37	31.95(-6.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	40	-7	65	9.12	44%	0.12	15.4	4.95%	-1.4	0.1	67	0.8
9	Apr_18_2022	32.19	31.71	33.06	33.78	33.35	33.27	34.04(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-50	3	80	9.16	48%	0.19	7.5	4.93%	1.6	1.3	62	1
10	Apr_14_2022	32.13	31.52	32.65	33.77	33.48	32.93	33.38(3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-140	-6	74	11.11	48%	0.25	-6.2	5.05%	0.3	1.1	60	1.5

11	Apr_13_2022	32.05	31.41	32.38	33.74	33.71	33.44	32.38(-5.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-60	-7	76	8.41	48%	0.25	-14.6	5.03%	-1.5	0.6	58	1.5
12	Apr_12_2022	31.97	31.42	32.13	33.84	33.73	34.03	34.39(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	50	9	80	13.2	50%	0.28	-14.1	4.98%	1.4	1.5	58	1
13	Apr_11_2022	31.88	31.47	31.51	33.28	33.49	33.98	34.72(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	120	25	68	12.18	50%	0.31	-20.3	4.98%	1	1.4	64	0.1
14	Apr_8_2022	31.78	31.57	31.05	32.22	32.5	33.43	33.98(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	230	21	41	11.56	50%	0.32	-31.3	4.96%	0.6	1	59	0.7
15	Apr_7_2022	31.68	31.63	30.67	31.36	31.51	33.01	33.23(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	350	26	25	12.42	50%	0.32	-39.7	5%	0.5	0.7	59	1.3

16	Apr_6_2022	31.58	31.66	30.37	30.84	30.7	31.57	32.88(4.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	180	28	12	15.51	50%	0.32	-44.1	5.01%	1.1	0.5	55	1.1
17	Apr_5_2022	31.48	31.7	30.21	30.19	30.03	30.01	31.57(7.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-20	13	-12	12.21	52%	0.25	-44.2	4.99%	2.3	-0	45	0.5
18	Apr_4_2022	31.4	31.95	30.06	29.49	29.67	29.83	29.44(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	60	-3	-54	7.39	50%	0.22	-44.2	5.07%	-1.3	-0.9	30	-0.1
19	Apr_1_2022	31.33	32.35	30.22	29.69	29.46	30.04	29.67(-3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	110	2	-70	11.53	50%	0.22	-36.8	5.06%	0.6	-0.9	28	-0.5
20	Mar_31_2022	31.26	32.63	30.3	29.85	29.67	29.51	30.63(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-60	5	-84	12.19	50%	0.22	-34	5.08%	1.7	-0.7	37	-0.9

21	Mar_30_2022	31.19	32.78	30.35	29.84	29.81	28.88	29.66(5.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-220	-18	-104	13.29	50%	0.22	-38.3	5.06%	0.3	-1.1	40	-0.7
22	Mar_29_2022	31.12	32.94	30.66	30.26	30.35	29.83	28.03(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-110	-18	-102	14.12	49%	0.23	-45.7	5.01%	-1.8	-1.8	35	-0.9
23	Mar_28_2022	31.05	33.31	31.46	30.69	30.93	30.74	30.44(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-20	-2	-92	9.67	51%	0.26	-49.5	4.91%	-0.3	-1.1	33	-1.5
24	Mar_25_2022	30.97	33.46	32.16	30.82	30.8	30.88	30.49(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	20	-3	-90	11.3	51%	0.23	-54.4	4.88%	-0.7	-1.2	32	-0.9
25	Mar_24_2022	30.9	33.63	32.68	30.81	30.83	31.12	30.6(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	70	3	-85	10.5	51%		-58.3	4.92%	-0.1	-1.3	41	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.