Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $105.5200 (41.49%) ($89.0030 - $108.0500) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.24% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $105.5200(41.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 11% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 39.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(5%)    VIXM(5%)    TLT(3%)    UUP(3%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -4.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-11%)    LIT(-11%)    EWY(-11%)    SPLV(-10%)    SDY(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.62% (StdDev 9.24%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $81.15(30.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.24(56.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.96(95.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   221.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 36.58% (three month std-dev: 9.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 25.89%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.63%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2020	40.46	53.96	67.24	81.15	84.94	91.27	105.52(41.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	135	660	84	288	4.22	75%	1.63	82	9.24%	1.7	2.6	77	-2.7
2	Mar_13_2020	39.81	50.16	60.91	73.13	75.29	85.84	74.58(-21.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	137	1070	83	299	5.41	71%	0.81	80.6	7.74%	0.1	1.5	74	-1.9
3	Mar_12_2020	39.49	48.03	58.29	68.35	70.49	78.62	95.1(33.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	225	900	182	352	7.11	77%	1.36	72.5	7.14%	1.6	3.1	84	-2.6
4	Mar_11_2020	38.96	44.75	53.13	58.9	60.97	64.74	70.98(19.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	136	540	82	296	5.28	73%	0.72	69.1	5.83%	2	2.4	81	-2.2
5	Mar_10_2020	38.68	42.8	50.17	53.43	55.89	62.36	59.56(-8.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	135	950	89	274	6.72	69%	0.42	60.5	5.35%	0.2	1.8	78	-2

6	Mar_9_2020	38.52	41.51	48.29	51.07	51.68	57.21	65.42(29.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	173	780	133	294	4.12	73%	0.52	55.7	5.2%	1.6	2.9	83	-2.7
7	Mar_6_2020	38.32	39.9	45.37	46.97	47.45	49.42	50.69(5.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	115	320	56	293	6.81	65%	0.16	50.7	3.74%	1.4	1.7	77	-2.3
8	Mar_5_2020	38.26	39.04	43.75	46.63	46.38	46.16	47.86(9.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	76	-50	5	289	6.28	64%	0.05	51.5	3.71%	1.5	1.5	76	-2.1
9	Mar_4_2020	38.24	38.32	42.32	46.48	47.06	45.49	43.64(-8.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	67	-200	-14	311	4.45	60%	-0.08	52	3.51%	-1.9	1	72	-1.6
10	Mar_3_2020	38.27	37.9	41.36	46.25	47.18	46.61	47.76(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	83	-20	-2	338	6.47	65%	-0.03	52.6	3.33%	-0.3	1.8	78	-2.3

11	Mar_2_2020	38.28	37.32	39.95	44.91	46.01	48.63	44.9(-8.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	125	470	54	338	4.88	64%	-0.08	50.9	3.24%	-0.4	1.6	73	-1.9
12	Feb_28_2020	38.31	36.95	38.82	43.38	43.96	47.76	49(4.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	201	650	152	348	5.65	70%	-0.03	48	3.04%	1.4	2.7	80	-2.8
13	Feb_27_2020	38.32	36.24	37.17	40.41	40.75	43.38	47.09(10.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	159	480	131	243	6.49	69%	-0.1	39.1	3.03%	1.5	3	80	-3.1
14	Feb_26_2020	38.36	35.64	35.72	37.6	37.86	40.16	42.49(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	110	450	96	150	7.71	64%	-0.26	27.2	2.73%	1.7	2.7	76	-2.4
15	Feb_25_2020	38.46	35.26	34.82	35.77	35.91	38.12	41.08(10.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	90	440	94	76	7.5	58%	-0.21	12.6	2.7%	1.6	2.9	65	-3.2

16	Feb_24_2020	38.54	34.99	34.12	34.32	34.49	35.56	37.25(9.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	48	230	65	-4	4.96	51%	-0.31	0	2.49%	1.2	1.5	47	-3.1
17	Feb_21_2020	38.66	34.89	34.12	33.59	33.66	33.69	34.12(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	10	12	-83	3.64	44%	-0.44	-5.7	2.19%	1.4	-0.5	29	-0.8
18	Feb_20_2020	38.83	34.9	33.89	33.41	33.56	33.42	33.08(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-20	-7	-116	4.04	40%	-0.49	-9.5	2.16%	-1	-1.2	38	0.4
19	Feb_19_2020	39.02	34.96	34	33.49	33.57	33.63	33.32(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	20	-7	-130	2.33	40%	-0.43	-10.3	2.16%	-1.4	-1.1	39	1
20	Feb_18_2020	39.19	35.01	34.22	33.66	33.64	33.69	33.81(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	10	-3	-123	2.66	40%	-0.56	-10.5	2.16%	0.7	-0.9	43	0.8

21	Feb_14_2020	39.41	34.99	34.55	33.87	33.7	33.52	33.61(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-50	-18	-118	2.75	40%	-0.33	-14.4	2.15%	0.8	-1	39	0.9
22	Feb_13_2020	39.54	34.97	35.01	34.25	34.15	33.58	33.21(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-130	-18	-82	3.42	40%	-0.28	-14.2	2.14%	-1.4	-1.2	44	0.6
23	Feb_12_2020	39.65	35.04	35.33	34.45	34.54	33.87	33.49(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-130	-24	-62	2.14	40%	-0.33	-14.7	2.15%	-1.2	-1.1	51	1
24	Feb_11_2020	39.78	35.11	35.63	34.56	34.62	34.72	34.19(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	30	-20	-41	3.27	40%	-0.28	-16.7	2.14%	-1	-0.7	53	0.1
25	Feb_10_2020	39.89	35.16	35.79	34.85	34.67	35.21	34.86(-1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	90	2	-8	2.04	40%		-12.2	2.13%	0.1	-0.2	56	0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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