Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $69.4500 (8.69%) ($63.6000 - $69.4500) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $69.4500(8.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 10.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    UNG(5%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    LIT(-13%)    EWY(-13%)    XLI(-12%)    VYM(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.55(7.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.18(15.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.54(20.7%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   31%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 8.01% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2018	63.63	57.54	60.18	64.55			69.45(8.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	81	-10000	30	232	3.37	50%	-0.09	39.5	2.84%	0	2.6	80	-2.5
2	Feb_7_2018	63.69	56.93	58.57	61.89			63.9(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	-10000	19	179	2.69	47%	-0.19	27.5	2.61%	0	1.9	66	-1.8
3	Feb_6_2018	63.81	56.61	57.55	60.43			63.95(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	51	-10000	21	142	5.65	47%	-0.2	16.7	2.65%	0	2.2	68	-2
4	Feb_5_2018	63.94	56.28	56.42	58.78			66.1(11.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	48	-10000	32	96	5.42	49%	-0.17	-1.1	2.62%	0	3.3	66	-2.9
5	Feb_2_2018	64.05	55.83	55.06	56.4			59.35(5.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	-10000	20	36	3.4	41%	-0.31	-37.7	2.18%	0	1.8	61	-2.2

6	Feb_1_2018	64.25	55.78	55.06	55.18			56.15(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	8	-10	2.01	36%	-0.36	-58.9	2.05%	0	0.2	51	-0.5
7	Jan_31_2018	64.48	55.93	54.51	54.73			56.6(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	10	-32	1.91	35%	-0.36	-63.2	2.06%	0	0.3	43	-1.6
8	Jan_30_2018	64.71	56.05	54.35	54.2			55.7(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	10	-64	2.38	38%	-0.4	-67.8	2.06%	0	-0.2	40	-1.9
9	Jan_29_2018	64.97	56.31	54.44	53.66			54.2(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	3	-89	2.02	35%	-0.44	-70.8	2.07%	0	-0.9	36	-2.1
10	Jan_26_2018	65.26	56.59	54.51	53.52			53.25(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-115	1.05	34%	-0.47	-68.7	2.06%	0	-1.3	32	136.8

11	Jan_25_2018	65.57	56.95	54.76	53.73			53.9(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-10	-128	1.81	34%	-0.46	-69.1	2.06%	0	-1.2	32	137.4
12	Jan_24_2018	65.87	57.28	55.2	54.26			53.95(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-116	2.53	34%	-0.45	-62.8	2.08%	0	-1.3	31	-1.4
13	Jan_23_2018	66.17	57.61	55.65	54.54			53(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-14	-119	1.29	36%	-0.2	-64.9	2.06%	0	-1.9	27	0.1
14	Jan_22_2018	66.3	57.99	56.19	55.35			53.5(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-31	-10000	-5	-107	1.12	36%	-0.44	-70.8	2.08%	0	-2	24	0.9
15	Jan_19_2018	66.59	58.37	56.71	55.63			54.3(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-5	-106	1.9	36%	-0.43	-78.9	2.08%	0	-2	33	1

16	Jan_18_2018	66.88	58.73	57.2	55.89			56.55(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-10000	-7	-110	1.8	38%	-0.43	-90.7	2.03%	0	-1.2	36	0
17	Jan_17_2018	67.17	58.9	57.47	56.31			55.35(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-107	1.64	36%	-0.47	-94.4	2.01%	0	-1.9	31	0
18	Jan_16_2018	67.49	59.25	57.91	56.96			57.05(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-5	-94	2.67	38%	-0.75	-94.6	1.99%	0	-1.2	35	0
19	Jan_12_2018	68	59.64	58.31	57.22			54.9(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-13	-90	1.8	34%	-0.5	-88.3	1.9%	0	-2.7	25	0
20	Jan_11_2018	68.34	60.06	58.84	57.96			55.6(-5.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-28	-10000	-12	-74	2.49	34%	-0.51	-79	1.9%	0	-2.4	24	0

21	Jan_10_2018	68.69	60.49	59.36	58.65			58.65(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-3	-58	1.58	37%	-0.43	-78.1	1.79%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Jan_9_2018	68.99	60.74	59.53	58.81			58.6(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	1.24	37%	-0.49	-66.3	1.8%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Jan_8_2018	69.33	60.98	59.72	59.01			58.35(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-11	-58	1.39	37%	-0.49	-58.4	1.8%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Jan_5_2018	69.67	61.24	59.92	59.61			58.6(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-5	-62	1.2	37%	-0.49	-44.5	1.8%	0	-1.4	26	0
25	Jan_4_2018	70.01	61.56	60.16	59.87			59.05(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-5	-66	1.61	37%		-32.3	1.8%	0	-1.4	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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