Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $99.7000 (-1.53%) ($98.6000 - $100.9500) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $99.7000(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    SDY(-13%)    LIT(-13%)    EWY(-13%)    XLV(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.08(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $98.26(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.65(2.1%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	123.02	97.65	98.26	99.08			99.7(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	2	25	1.65	41%	-0.35	23.1	2.96%	0	1.1	52	0
2	Jan_19_2017	123.45	97.39	97.93	98.76			101.25(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	8	20	1.72	41%	-0.33	13	2.96%	0	2.1	54	0
3	Jan_18_2017	123.86	97.13	97.1	97.68			98.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	4	1	1.27	41%	-0.34	-3.4	2.94%	0	1	56	0
4	Jan_17_2017	124.28	97.11	96.97	97.16			99.8(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	1	-5	1.88	41%	-0.47	0.5	2.94%	0	1.5	55	0
5	Jan_13_2017	124.87	96.99	96.86	97.03			95.85(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-2	-6	1.83	38%	-0.37	7.6	2.87%	0	-0.7	46	0

6	Jan_12_2017	125.34	97.21	97.1	97.32			98.1(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10000	3	4	2.25	38%	-0.36	16.6	2.89%	0	0.5	55	0
7	Jan_11_2017	125.79	97.14	97.1	96.96			95.85(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	4	8	1.98	42%	-0.35	-3.8	2.86%	0	-0.7	55	0
8	Jan_10_2017	126.23	97.19	97.13	96.37			96.2(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-3	1.67	40%	-0.37	-34.8	2.95%	0	-0.6	50	0
9	Jan_9_2017	126.7	97.1	97.21	96.7			99.15(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-1	-10000	-0	-2	1.61	41%	-0.35	-73.9	2.96%	0	1.2	50	0
10	Jan_6_2017	127.15	96.87	97.11	96.72			97.3(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-1	1.56	41%	-0.37	-110	2.97%	0	0.2	49	0

11	Jan_5_2017	127.62	96.94	96.99	96.92			96.3(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-7	2.05	41%	-0.4	-126.6	2.96%	0	-0.3	43	0
12	Jan_4_2017	128.13	97.2	96.83	97.38			92.9(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-5	-10000	-4	-7	2.25	39%	-0.41	-130.2	2.92%	0	-2.2	45	0
13	Jan_3_2017	128.66	97.81	97.25	97.92			97.85(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1	-10000	1	1	1.75	41%	-0.47	-126.3	2.88%	0	0	53	0
14	Dec_30_2016	129.27	98.41	97.3	97.72			99.25(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	1	7	1.55	40%	-0.37	-59.8	2.88%	0	0.2	62	0
15	Dec_29_2016	129.75	98.94	97.14	97.57			98.3(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	3	13	1.59	43%	-0.38	-44.7	2.89%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Dec_28_2016	130.25	99.45	97.3	97.11			98.6(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	6	11	1.3	43%	-0.37	-40.8	2.95%	0	-0.2	49	0
17	Dec_27_2016	130.73	99.87	97.1	96.25			95.6(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.87	41%	-0.49	-44.8	2.92%	0	-0.8	39	0
18	Dec_23_2016	131.38	100.46	97.24	96.45			96.85(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.86	41%	-0.42	-47	2.93%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Dec_22_2016	131.93	100.81	96.98	96.8			98.5(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	1	-53	1.48	39%	-0.42	-52.4	2.94%	0	-0.4	31	0
20	Dec_21_2016	132.48	101.13	96.58	96.69			96(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-87	1.41	37%	-0.45	-60.5	2.96%	0	-0.9	27	0

21	Dec_20_2016	133.08	101.66	96.87	97.56			94.3(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-3	-96	1.59	37%	-0.42	-63.9	2.98%	0	-1.3	27	0
22	Dec_19_2016	133.64	102.44	97.62	98.05			96.6(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-0	-101	1.77	37%	-0.4	-67.5	2.98%	0	-1	33	0
23	Dec_16_2016	134.18	103.17	98.43	98.08			98.6(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	7	-103	2.02	37%	-0.4	-73.8	2.97%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Dec_15_2016	134.72	103.87	99.57	97.14			97.95(-2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	5	-102	2.2	35%	-0.38	-87.2	2.97%	0	-1	43	0
25	Dec_14_2016	135.24	104.71	100.81	96.43			100.35(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	2	-101	3.37	35%		-101.3	2.99%	0	-0.7	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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