Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $109.5500 (1.58%) ($105.8500 - $109.8000) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.17% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $109.5500(1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    SDY(-13%)    LIT(-13%)    IYT(-13%)    IWD(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.585% (StdDev 3.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.45(-23.82%)
Resistance Level   $124.23
5 Day Moving Average   $106.72(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.83(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.23(-11.82%)
To recent high   -34.6%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 17.44% (three month std-dev: 3.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2016	140.7	124.23	108.83	106.72			109.55(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	3	-133	1.64	43%	-0.33	-50.1	3.17%	0	-0.7	14	0
2	Nov_29_2016	141.17	126.62	109.33	106.15			107.85(0.19%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0.1	-49	-10000	-2	-189	1.47	43%	-0.39	-46.9	3.16%	0	-0.8	8	0
3	Nov_28_2016	141.72	128.87	110.12	106.54			107.65(3.76%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0	-61	-10000	-4	-233	1.67	43%	-0.43	-44.7	3.16%	0	-0.9	7	0
4	Nov_25_2016	142.33	131.25	111.41	107.3			103.75(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-80	-10000	-11	-286	0.6	41%	-0.81	-42.6	3.12%	0	-1.2	0	0
5	Nov_23_2016	143.49	133.81	113.99	109.16			104.8(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-88	-10000	-12	-315	1.8	41%	-0.57	-41	3.11%	0	-1.3	0	0

6	Nov_22_2016	144.31	136.11	117.11	111.22			106.7(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-10000	-10	-327	1.85	41%	-0.26	-40	3.12%	0	-1.4	4	0
7	Nov_21_2016	144.69	138.14	121.34	112.93			109.8(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-86	-10000	-7	-322	1.61	41%	-0.47	-40.8	3.1%	0	-1.5	13	0
8	Nov_18_2016	145.37	139.87	125.43	114.21			111.45(-1.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-87	-10000	-11	-314	1.35	41%	-0.48	-43.2	3.1%	0	-1.5	21	0
9	Nov_17_2016	146.07	141.66	130.51	116.17			113.05(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-87	-10000	-19	-291	2.36	41%	-0.53	-44.4	3.11%	0	-1.7	21	0
10	Nov_16_2016	146.85	143.36	135.83	119.66			115.1(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-81	-10000	-23	-255	1.81	41%	-0.61	-43.2	3.11%	0	-1.8	23	0

11	Nov_15_2016	147.75	144.92	140.78	124.05			115.25(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-80	-10000	-35	-213	2.03	41%	-0.68	-39.7	3.12%	0	-2.1	29	0
12	Nov_14_2016	148.76	146.56	145.31	131.2			116.2(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-63	-10000	-33	-151	3.42	41%	-0.53	-29.4	3.14%	0	-2.4	34	0
13	Nov_11_2016	149.56	148.28	149.31	138.4			121.25(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-10000	-38	-94	2.92	43%	-0.36	-11.9	3.11%	0	-2.5	41	0
14	Nov_10_2016	150.1	149.7	153	146.99			130.5(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-10000	-32	-22	3.63	46%	-0.38	16.1	2.99%	0	-2.1	44	0
15	Nov_9_2016	150.67	150.55	155.62	154.39			137.05(-9.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-6	-10000	-24	49	3.17	49%	-0.31	49.3	2.94%	0	-1.6	49	0

16	Nov_8_2016	151.14	150.89	157.07	159.93			151(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	24	-10000	-7	117	1.2	56%	-0.22	75.9	2.71%	0	0	62	0
17	Nov_7_2016	151.47	150.43	156.62	161.52			152.2(-7.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	34	-10000	-1	137	1.47	56%	-0.24	78	2.71%	0	0.2	60	0
18	Nov_4_2016	151.84	149.58	155.72	161.74			164.2(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	9	144	1.71	58%	-0.15	76.4	2.6%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Nov_3_2016	152.07	148.27	153.73	159.92			167.5(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	-10000	13	131	1.48	58%	-0.12	76	2.59%	0	2.2	74	0
20	Nov_2_2016	152.26	146.61	151.28	157.21			164.75(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	-10000	16	110	1.79	61%	-0.15	73.3	2.6%	0	2.3	74	0

21	Nov_1_2016	152.49	145.07	148.98	153.98			158.95(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	15	85	1.81	59%	-0.18	72.9	2.62%	0	2.1	74	0
22	Oct_31_2016	152.76	143.96	147.47	151.11			153.3(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	13	66	1.15	56%	-0.18	68.1	2.58%	0	1.5	70	0
23	Oct_28_2016	153.03	143.04	146.76	148.69			155.1(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	25	-10000	12	65	2.57	56%	-0.12	56.8	2.57%	0	2	80	0
24	Oct_27_2016	153.21	141.98	145.79	146.52			153.95(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	11	57	1.95	56%	-0.1	53.6	2.58%	0	2.3	69	0
25	Oct_26_2016	153.36	141.16	144.78	144.5			148.6(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	7	53	1.57	53%		54.8	2.54%	0	1.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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