Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $201.7500 (2.72%) ($196.5000 - $205.5000) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.49% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $201.7500(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    XLI(-13%)    VYM(-13%)    VT(-13%)    SDY(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.745% (StdDev 3.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $188.33(-6.65%)
Resistance Level   $205.43
5 Day Moving Average   $195.48(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $196.26(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $205.43(-1.79%)
To recent high   -43.6%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 5.64% (three month std-dev: 3.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	254.28	205.43	196.26	195.48			201.75(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	5	-57	0.95	38%	-0.07	-50.5	3.49%	0	-0.3	31	0
2	Apr_28_2016	254.47	205.94	196.22	193.83			196.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-2	-80	0.96	38%	-0.11	-63.3	3.64%	0	-0.8	28	0
3	Apr_27_2016	254.74	206.87	196.93	194.53			189.7(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0.74	41%	-0.1	-71.7	3.61%	0	-1.5	19	0
4	Apr_26_2016	255	208.28	198.34	195.86			191.7(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-3	-97	0.73	39%	-0.08	-77.1	3.66%	0	-1.5	31	0
5	Apr_25_2016	255.21	209.59	200.8	197.03			197.85(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-0	-96	0.64	42%	-0.02	-73.8	3.7%	0	-1	30	0

6	Apr_22_2016	255.25	211.46	203.3	197.1			193.5(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-5	-91	0.91	40%	-0.06	-70.8	3.79%	0	-1.6	34	0
7	Apr_21_2016	255.41	213.62	206.15	198.94			199.9(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-2	-76	0.76	40%	0	-63.1	3.87%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Apr_20_2016	255.4	215.54	208.59	199.82			196.35(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-4	-67	0.63	40%	0.02	-59.4	3.86%	0	-1.5	38	0
9	Apr_19_2016	255.36	217.11	210.72	201.25			197.55(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-10	-65	0.9	42%	0	-67.3	3.86%	0	-1.6	37	0
10	Apr_18_2016	255.35	218.6	213.43	205.21			198.2(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-13	-46	0.68	42%	0.02	-67.8	3.91%	0	-1.8	38	0

11	Apr_15_2016	255.31	219.99	215.46	210.51			202.7(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-9	-37	0.68	44%	-0.21	-66.4	3.93%	0	-1.7	30	0
12	Apr_14_2016	255.86	221.46	216.6	214.51			204.3(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.73	42%	0.03	-68.9	3.99%	0	-1.8	30	0
13	Apr_13_2016	255.78	223.35	217.82	218.71			203.5(-6.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-13	-10000	-6	-35	1.13	46%	0.01	-58.6	4.02%	0	-2.1	29	0
14	Apr_12_2016	255.75	225.51	217.82	221.37			217.35(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0.84	48%	0.05	-52.2	4.14%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Apr_11_2016	255.63	226.46	219.32	222.75			224.7(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.92	48%	0.07	-46.9	4.13%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	Apr_8_2016	255.46	226.93	220.26	221.2			222.7(-1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	5	-26	0.86	50%	0.04	-53	4.13%	0	-0.4	50	0
17	Apr_7_2016	255.36	228.23	221.51	219.09			225.3(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.91	53%	0.06	-50.6	4.18%	0	-0.3	46	0
18	Apr_6_2016	255.21	229.14	222.69	216.97			216.8(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	0	-41	1	54%	-0.02	-56.3	4.28%	0	-1.1	35	0
19	Apr_5_2016	255.26	230.7	223.71	216.95			224.25(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-51	1.05	54%	0.02	-60	4.3%	0	-0.5	35	0
20	Apr_4_2016	255.21	231.12	223.86	215.47			216.95(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-8	-67	0.7	56%	-0.03	-80.5	4.28%	0	-1.2	39	0

21	Apr_1_2016	255.29	232.31	224.66	219.38			212.15(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-10	-61	1.19	56%	-0.04	-87.9	4.35%	0	-1.8	37	0
22	Mar_31_2016	255.38	233.96	226.65	224.39			214.7(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-10	-55	1.07	57%	0.03	-97.3	4.39%	0	-1.8	31	0
23	Mar_30_2016	255.31	235.83	229.4	229.31			216.7(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-4	-39	1.1	57%	0.05	-104.2	4.41%	0	-1.9	37	0
24	Mar_29_2016	255.17	238	232.4	231.28			216.85(-8.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-4	-34	1.16	57%	0.05	-112.2	4.43%	0	-2	35	0
25	Mar_28_2016	255.04	240.95	234.51	233.09			236.5(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.64	60%		-95.3	4.31%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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