Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $244.7000 (-1.51%) ($243.4500 - $249.8000) on Wed. Mar. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $244.7000(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    SDY(-14%)    XLI(-13%)    VYM(-13%)    VT(-13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $281.73
5 Day Moving Average   $241.76(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $254.34(-3.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $281.73(-13.14%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 12.52% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2016	251.87	281.73	254.34	241.76			244.7(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-10000	-3	-130	0.75	61%	0.1	-55.4	4.34%	0	-1	25	0
2	Mar_8_2016	251.62	286.72	258.38	243.15			248.45(7.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-4	-132	1.08	61%	0.12	-48.5	4.35%	0	-1	29	0
3	Mar_7_2016	251.32	291.27	262.91	245.52			231.95(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-10000	-17	-141	0.94	60%	0.04	-41.1	4.27%	0	-1.6	15	0
4	Mar_4_2016	251.21	296.09	268.67	254.63			239.75(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-43	-10000	-12	-136	0.92	60%	0.08	-32.8	4.28%	0	-1.6	13	0
5	Mar_3_2016	251.02	299.43	274.58	261.54			243.95(-3.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-10000	-12	-142	0.95	62%	0.03	-32.1	4.29%	0	-1.7	11	0

6	Mar_2_2016	250.95	302.71	280.58	268.66			251.65(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-45	-10000	-12	-142	0.54	62%	0.09	-30.6	4.31%	0	-1.8	18	0
7	Mar_1_2016	250.73	305.65	285.41	275.73			260.3(-6.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-45	-10000	-12	-145	0.74	62%	0.16	-26.4	4.29%	0	-1.7	20	0
8	Feb_29_2016	250.33	307.32	290.76	282.87			277.5(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-4	-139	0.64	64%	0.24	-26.6	4.18%	0	-1.2	27	0
9	Feb_26_2016	249.74	307.92	296.47	284.97			274.3(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-8	-131	0.74	64%	0.22	-27.9	4.19%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Feb_25_2016	249.2	310.05	304.5	289.71			279.55(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-8	-99	0.56	64%	0.21	-26	4.21%	0	-1.3	47	0

11	Feb_24_2016	248.67	311.91	311.16	294.36			287(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-70	1.1	64%	0.19	-23.3	4.21%	0	-1.1	48	0
12	Feb_23_2016	248.19	312.8	317.08	296.57			296(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0.63	64%	0.25	-26.5	4.2%	0	-0.8	50	0
13	Feb_22_2016	247.58	314.05	321.56	300.03			288(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-15	-26	0.65	64%	0.14	-21.4	4.2%	0	-1.2	55	0
14	Feb_19_2016	247.23	314.89	325.62	309.93			298(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10000	-18	14	0.71	64%	0.13	-8.8	4.18%	0	-0.8	60	0
15	Feb_18_2016	246.9	316.22	326.41	321.87			302.8(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-13	42	0.74	62%	0.16	10.1	4.17%	0	-0.7	49	0

16	Feb_17_2016	246.51	317.19	326.96	330.74			298.05(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	6	-10000	-13	61	1.08	62%	0.09	31.2	4.23%	0	-0.9	48	0
17	Feb_16_2016	246.3	318.63	328.17	340.42			313.3(-7.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	18	-10000	-7	94	0.87	64%	0.15	55.9	4.18%	0	-0.3	57	0
18	Feb_12_2016	245.94	318.67	326.03	345.8			337.5(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	-10000	4	105	0.65	68%	0.4	71.7	4.05%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Feb_11_2016	244.95	316.72	320.87	343.2			357.7(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	17	99	1	71%	0.5	76.1	4.01%	0	2.1	66	0
20	Feb_10_2016	243.74	314.19	316.04	331.63			347.15(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	14	63	0.81	71%	0.46	85.1	4.01%	0	1.9	56	0

21	Feb_9_2016	242.62	311.01	312.3	322.82			346.45(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	13	35	0.78	71%	0.51	86.6	4.01%	0	2.1	56	0
22	Feb_8_2016	241.4	307.92	307.43	314.41			340.2(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	15	-10000	18	4	0.89	71%	0.49	93.4	4.02%	0	2.1	53	0
23	Feb_5_2016	240.23	305.03	304.86	303.6			324.5(8.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	-10000	14	-24	0.88	70%	0.46	98.7	4.01%	0	1.4	54	0
24	Feb_4_2016	239.14	302.36	302.25	295.37			299.85(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.9	68%	0.34	92.9	3.9%	0	-0.2	53	0
25	Feb_3_2016	238.32	300.12	304.45	298.1			303.1(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.82	68%		89.7	3.89%	0	0.2	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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