Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $304.4000 (6.38%) ($294.8000 - $308.7000) on Tue. Feb. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $304.4000(6.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    SDY(-14%)    LIT(-14%)    IWD(-14%)    XLI(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $300.19(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $306.12(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $297.21(2.42%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   57.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 7.84% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2016	237.53	297.21	306.12	300.19			304.4(6.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	1	-20	0.79	65%	0.3	82.7	3.9%	0	0.3	58	0
2	Feb_1_2016	236.81	294.25	308.08	299.48			286.15(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-11	-9	0.93	63%	0.24	78.6	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	0
3	Jan_29_2016	236.24	291.59	311.01	306.21			283.33(-9.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-6	25	1.43	63%	0.21	87.5	3.93%	0	-0.3	54	0
4	Jan_28_2016	235.74	288.68	313.01	309.6			313.5(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-3	53	0.81	64%	0.33	79.4	3.72%	0	0.8	67	0
5	Jan_27_2016	234.96	283.78	312.8	311.63			313.55(4.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-3	88	0.8	64%	0.37	71	3.89%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Jan_26_2016	234.1	279.13	310.15	313.16			300.85(-5.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-8	118	0.94	63%	0.3	64.8	3.88%	0	0.6	72	0
7	Jan_25_2016	233.4	275.01	309.03	318.11			319.8(6.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	44	-10000	2	171	0.79	66%	0.33	64.8	3.79%	0	1.1	78	0
8	Jan_22_2016	232.64	269.83	305.52	316.78			300.3(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	53	-10000	1	208	0.93	64%	0.27	64.7	3.75%	0	0.8	79	0
9	Jan_21_2016	232.02	266.07	302.87	316.46			323.65(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	-10000	4	257	1.12	69%	0.37	62.2	3.63%	0	1.4	89	0
10	Jan_20_2016	231.16	261.25	295.68	313.99			321.2(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	-10000	13	288	1.26	69%	0.31	60.9	3.67%	0	1.5	89	0

11	Jan_19_2016	230.45	256.75	287.69	306.61			325.6(3.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	83	-10000	14	288	1.16	69%	0.41	58.4	3.66%	0	1.8	85	0
12	Jan_15_2016	229.5	251.5	279.12	298.73			313.15(4.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	81	-10000	11	291	1.19	64%	0.34	59.7	3.61%	0	1.8	85	0
13	Jan_14_2016	228.73	246.57	270.39	292.83			298.7(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	-10000	11	283	1.22	63%	0.21	59.4	3.69%	0	1.7	83	0
14	Jan_13_2016	228.25	242.87	262.35	287.04			311.3(9.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	87	-10000	25	274	1.19	66%	0.17	60.5	3.66%	0	2.3	81	0
15	Jan_12_2016	227.86	238.85	252.14	274.63			284.3(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	-10000	19	225	0.97	63%	0.08	63	3.51%	0	1.9	72	0

16	Jan_11_2016	227.67	236.1	245.4	265.57			286.2(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	-10000	20	179	0.92	63%	0.21	65.7	3.51%	0	2.3	68	0
17	Jan_8_2016	227.19	232.57	238.01	256.36			283.65(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	-10000	27	139	0.97	63%	0.24	66.7	3.51%	0	2.8	71	0
18	Jan_7_2016	226.64	229.25	230.86	244.63			269.75(8.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	42	-10000	26	89	0.96	58%	0.25	71.1	3.48%	0	2.9	71	0
19	Jan_6_2016	226.07	226.33	225.91	234.03			249.25(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	20	39	0.72	55%	0.19	76.9	3.4%	0	2.2	58	0
20	Jan_5_2016	225.64	224.39	223.71	226.26			239(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	11	-5	0.7	49%	0.16	70	3.36%	0	1.6	49	0

21	Jan_4_2016	225.27	222.58	223.1	222			240.15(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	14	-20	1.01	49%	0.19	62.3	3.48%	0	2	52	0
22	Dec_31_2015	224.85	220.97	221.43	216.88			225(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.64	44%	0.06	50.2	3.41%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Dec_30_2015	224.71	219.75	220.79	215.05			216.75(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.57	39%	0.03	39.3	3.38%	0	-0.3	49	0
24	Dec_29_2015	224.65	218.7	222.02	216.6			210.4(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-45	0.52	39%	0.02	33.5	3.39%	0	-0.7	51	0
25	Dec_28_2015	224.6	218.17	224.84	220.65			217.7(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-10	-9	0.62	44%		36.6	3.39%	0	-0	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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