Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $298.7000 (-4.05%) ($290.0000 - $322.9000) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $298.7000(-4.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 17.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    LIT(-14%)    IYT(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $292.83(2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $270.39(10.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $246.57(21.14%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   55%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 12.71% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2016	228.73	246.57	270.39	292.83			298.7(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	-10000	11	283	1.22	63%	0.21	59.4	3.69%	0	1.7	83	0
2	Jan_13_2016	228.25	242.87	262.35	287.04			311.3(9.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	87	-10000	25	274	1.19	66%	0.17	60.5	3.66%	0	2.3	81	0
3	Jan_12_2016	227.86	238.85	252.14	274.63			284.3(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	-10000	19	225	0.97	63%	0.08	63	3.51%	0	1.9	72	0
4	Jan_11_2016	227.67	236.1	245.4	265.57			286.2(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	-10000	20	179	0.92	63%	0.21	65.7	3.51%	0	2.3	68	0
5	Jan_8_2016	227.19	232.57	238.01	256.36			283.65(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	-10000	27	139	0.97	63%	0.24	66.7	3.51%	0	2.8	71	0

6	Jan_7_2016	226.64	229.25	230.86	244.63			269.75(8.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	42	-10000	26	89	0.96	58%	0.25	71.1	3.48%	0	2.9	71	0
7	Jan_6_2016	226.07	226.33	225.91	234.03			249.25(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	20	39	0.72	55%	0.19	76.9	3.4%	0	2.2	58	0
8	Jan_5_2016	225.64	224.39	223.71	226.26			239(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	11	-5	0.7	49%	0.16	70	3.36%	0	1.6	49	0
9	Jan_4_2016	225.27	222.58	223.1	222			240.15(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	14	-20	1.01	49%	0.19	62.3	3.48%	0	2	52	0
10	Dec_31_2015	224.85	220.97	221.43	216.88			225(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.64	44%	0.06	50.2	3.41%	0	0.4	54	0

11	Dec_30_2015	224.71	219.75	220.79	215.05			216.75(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.57	39%	0.03	39.3	3.38%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Dec_29_2015	224.65	218.7	222.02	216.6			210.4(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-45	0.52	39%	0.02	33.5	3.39%	0	-0.7	51	0
13	Dec_28_2015	224.6	218.17	224.84	220.65			217.7(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-10	-9	0.62	44%	0.09	36.6	3.39%	0	-0	56	0
14	Dec_24_2015	224.39	217.13	226.5	224.32			214.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	30	0.25	46%	0.06	35.9	3.56%	0	-0.2	60	0
15	Dec_23_2015	224.26	216.33	227.25	226.56			215.85(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	51	0.69	46%	0.06	34.4	3.56%	0	-0	56	0

16	Dec_22_2015	224.12	215.67	228.08	227.14			224.5(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	72	0.58	50%	0.11	28.7	3.53%	0	0.6	65	0
17	Dec_21_2015	223.88	214.73	227.26	228.09			230.65(-2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-4	93	0.54	50%	0.15	26.8	3.56%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Dec_18_2015	223.55	213.56	225.46	229.72			236.05(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	1	117	0.78	52%	0.16	25.8	3.55%	0	1.6	70	0
19	Dec_17_2015	223.2	212.28	222.17	229.38			225.75(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	3	128	0.76	50%	0.11	24.9	3.54%	0	1	69	0
20	Dec_16_2015	222.96	211.44	220.54	228.21			218.75(-4.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	32	-10000	-2	135	0.75	50%	0.06	24.1	3.52%	0	0.6	65	0

21	Dec_15_2015	222.82	211.49	218.75	228.9			229.25(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	8	146	0.57	52%	0.09	32.3	3.49%	0	1.4	66	0
22	Dec_14_2015	222.63	210.84	215.22	225.95			238.8(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	14	129	0.88	54%	0.15	32.5	3.47%	0	2.2	67	0
23	Dec_11_2015	222.29	209.92	210.87	220.51			234.35(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	17	97	0.76	54%	0.18	33.8	3.47%	0	2.2	63	0
24	Dec_10_2015	221.9	209.01	206.74	214.08			219.9(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	50	0.59	51%	0.14	28	3.38%	0	1.1	53	0
25	Dec_9_2015	221.59	208.37	204.29	211.83			222.2(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	13	31	0.8	51%		25.2	3.38%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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