Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $225.7500 (3.2%) ($215.8500 - $227.0000) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $225.7500(3.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    IYT(-14%)    IWN(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $229.38(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $222.17(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.28(6.35%)
To recent high   -18.8%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	223.2	212.28	222.17	229.38			225.75(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	3	128	0.76	50%	0.11	24.9	3.54%	0	1	69	0
2	Dec_16_2015	222.96	211.44	220.54	228.21			218.75(-4.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	32	-10000	-2	135	0.75	50%	0.06	24.1	3.52%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Dec_15_2015	222.82	211.49	218.75	228.9			229.25(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	8	146	0.57	52%	0.09	32.3	3.49%	0	1.4	66	0
4	Dec_14_2015	222.63	210.84	215.22	225.95			238.8(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	14	129	0.88	54%	0.15	32.5	3.47%	0	2.2	67	0
5	Dec_11_2015	222.29	209.92	210.87	220.51			234.35(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	17	97	0.76	54%	0.18	33.8	3.47%	0	2.2	63	0

6	Dec_10_2015	221.9	209.01	206.74	214.08			219.9(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	50	0.59	51%	0.14	28	3.38%	0	1.1	53	0
7	Dec_9_2015	221.59	208.37	204.29	211.83			222.2(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	13	31	0.8	51%	0.14	25.2	3.38%	0	1.4	56	0
8	Dec_8_2015	221.28	207.37	202	207.11			214.5(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	-10000	13	-8	0.92	46%	0.12	12.7	3.38%	0	0.8	43	0
9	Dec_7_2015	221.02	206.85	200.94	202.76			211.6(4.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	9	-41	0.78	46%	0.12	-0.9	3.46%	0	0.5	43	0
10	Dec_4_2015	220.76	206.19	200.43	199.75			202.2(-3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	5	-70	1.03	43%	0.09	-19.9	3.44%	0	-0.4	33	0

11	Dec_3_2015	220.56	206.24	201.39	198.2			208.65(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	8	-82	1.09	43%	0.1	-31.1	3.43%	0	0.3	41	0
12	Dec_2_2015	220.35	205.94	201.4	195.68			198.6(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	0.97	38%	0.07	-42	3.37%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Dec_1_2015	220.2	206.19	203.56	196.21			192.75(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-86	0.64	43%	0.03	-53.9	3.39%	0	-1.5	46	0
14	Nov_30_2015	220.14	206.93	206.19	198.83			196.55(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-7	-62	0.57	43%	0.01	-58	3.53%	0	-1.2	47	0
15	Nov_27_2015	220.11	208.05	208.99	201.25			194.45(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.36	40%	0.04	-50.6	3.54%	0	-1.6	52	0

16	Nov_25_2015	220.03	209.18	211.65	205.01			196.05(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-8	-4	1.06	38%	0	-47.3	3.68%	0	-1.6	49	0
17	Nov_24_2015	220.03	209.95	213.1	207.89			201.25(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-10	12	0.73	43%	0.03	-46.4	3.69%	0	-1	52	0
18	Nov_23_2015	219.97	211.31	213.54	211.99			205.85(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	30	0.6	43%	-0.07	-29.6	3.96%	0	-0.6	55	0
19	Nov_20_2015	220.12	212.11	213.6	214.66			208.65(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-8	40	0.57	48%	0.06	-20.5	3.98%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Nov_19_2015	219.99	212.58	212.73	217.97			213.25(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	42	0.52	49%	0.1	-11.3	4.08%	0	0.1	46	0

21	Nov_18_2015	219.77	213.1	211.73	219.37			210.45(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	1	41	0.74	50%	0.08	-4.8	4.09%	0	-0.3	46	0
22	Nov_17_2015	219.59	214.04	211.02	218.91			221.75(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	9	39	0.7	51%	0.12	-8.9	4.05%	0	0.8	58	0
23	Nov_16_2015	219.33	213.91	209.04	215.19			219.2(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	7	6	0.57	51%	0.17	-24.4	4.07%	0	0.5	43	0
24	Nov_13_2015	218.96	213.89	207.6	212.29			225.2(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	13	-13	0.87	51%	0.21	-33.2	4.06%	0	1.1	50	0
25	Nov_12_2015	218.51	213.61	206.65	206.81			220.25(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	9	-36	0.87	51%		-49.1	4.05%	0	0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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