Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $237.2000 (2.62%) ($226.2500 - $238.5000) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $237.2000(2.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    IYT(-14%)    IWN(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $211.57(-10.81%)
Resistance Level   $240.98
5 Day Moving Average   $226.71(4.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $235.52(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.98(-1.57%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   29.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 7.35% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2015	213.47	240.98	235.52	226.71			237.2(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	4	-112	0.98	59%	0.16	-7.8	3.69%	0	-0.2	50	0
2	Oct_13_2015	213.13	240.3	238.02	225			231.15(4.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-5	-109	0.96	57%	0.08	-14.5	3.69%	0	-0.5	48	0
3	Oct_12_2015	212.95	240.19	242.41	226.97			221.6(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-7	-82	0.57	56%	0.11	-12.6	3.69%	0	-1	45	0
4	Oct_9_2015	212.71	240.94	247.49	230.01			221.25(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-15	-50	0.8	54%	0.12	-11.3	3.73%	0	-1.1	51	0
5	Oct_8_2015	212.46	241.6	250.81	236.74			222.35(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-19	-15	0.98	56%	0.13	-3.4	3.73%	0	-1.1	53	0

6	Oct_7_2015	212.18	242.35	253.21	245.58			228.65(-5.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-15	33	1.01	56%	0.15	9.8	3.75%	0	-0.8	60	0
7	Oct_6_2015	211.86	242.92	254.82	252.89			241(1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-15	74	0.72	58%	0.22	18.4	3.69%	0	-0.1	64	0
8	Oct_5_2015	211.4	242.45	254.89	260.29			236.8(-7.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	17	-10000	-15	114	0.83	58%	0.17	29.8	3.69%	0	-0.3	58	0
9	Oct_2_2015	211.05	242.94	254.5	267.45			254.9(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	39	-10000	1	154	0.87	61%	0.25	47	3.59%	0	0.7	61	0
10	Oct_1_2015	210.52	242.19	251.97	266.75			266.55(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-10000	11	159	0.88	63%	0.28	47.8	3.55%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Sep_30_2015	209.93	240.74	247.25	261.8			265.2(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	11	131	0.96	63%	0.28	38.5	3.55%	0	1.6	65	0
12	Sep_29_2015	209.35	239.92	242.84	256.84			278(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	-10000	18	107	0.9	68%	0.35	25	3.5%	0	2.6	69	0
13	Sep_28_2015	208.63	237.51	237.4	248.92			272.6(8.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	-10000	21	72	0.83	68%	0.32	0	3.6%	0	2.9	71	0
14	Sep_25_2015	207.97	235.26	233.13	240.04			251.4(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	12	26	0.54	65%	0.19	-31.5	3.47%	0	1.8	51	0
15	Sep_24_2015	207.58	234.48	230.88	235.16			241.8(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	12	-1	0.6	65%	0.13	-46.9	3.44%	0	0.9	49	0

16	Sep_23_2015	207.31	234.87	229.98	230.4			240.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	10	-26	0.42	65%	0.12	-39.3	3.45%	0	0.6	49	0
17	Sep_22_2015	207.07	236.27	229.53	226.52			238.4(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.71	65%	0.14	-14.8	3.46%	0	0.2	41	0
18	Sep_21_2015	206.78	237.5	228.62	224.12			228.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-70	0.68	64%	0.08	2.4	3.43%	0	-0.7	49	0
19	Sep_18_2015	206.61	238.1	230.28	225.28			227(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.6	61%	0.05	14.8	3.43%	0	-0.8	50	0
20	Sep_17_2015	206.5	238.38	231.64	226.08			218(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-8	-54	0.79	60%	0.07	22.6	3.44%	0	-1.5	42	0

21	Sep_16_2015	206.35	238.45	233.96	229.4			221(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.46	60%	0.12	30	3.44%	0	-1.3	37	0
22	Sep_15_2015	206.11	238.08	237.14	232.8			226.4(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.51	60%	0.13	34.3	3.43%	0	-0.8	32	0
23	Sep_14_2015	205.84	237.17	238.03	233.6			234(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-67	0.34	60%	0.2	31.9	3.41%	0	-0.2	38	0
24	Sep_11_2015	205.43	236.12	237.86	236.08			231(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.49	60%	0.2	33.7	3.4%	0	-0.3	50	0
25	Sep_10_2015	205.03	235.4	238.64	238.12			234.6(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-51	0.71	58%		37.5	3.4%	0	-0	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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