Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $254.9000 (-4.37%) ($254.8000 - $280.4000) on Fri. Oct. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $254.9000(-4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    IYT(-14%)    IWN(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $267.45(-4.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $254.5(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $242.94(4.92%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   39.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 6.96% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2015	211.05	242.94	254.5	267.45			254.9(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	39	-10000	1	154	0.87	61%	0.25	47	3.59%	0	0.7	61	0
2	Oct_1_2015	210.52	242.19	251.97	266.75			266.55(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-10000	11	159	0.88	63%	0.28	47.8	3.55%	0	1.5	69	0
3	Sep_30_2015	209.93	240.74	247.25	261.8			265.2(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	11	131	0.96	63%	0.28	38.5	3.55%	0	1.6	65	0
4	Sep_29_2015	209.35	239.92	242.84	256.84			278(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	-10000	18	107	0.9	68%	0.35	25	3.5%	0	2.6	69	0
5	Sep_28_2015	208.63	237.51	237.4	248.92			272.6(8.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	-10000	21	72	0.83	68%	0.32	0	3.6%	0	2.9	71	0

6	Sep_25_2015	207.97	235.26	233.13	240.04			251.4(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	12	26	0.54	65%	0.19	-31.5	3.47%	0	1.8	51	0
7	Sep_24_2015	207.58	234.48	230.88	235.16			241.8(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	12	-1	0.6	65%	0.13	-46.9	3.44%	0	0.9	49	0
8	Sep_23_2015	207.31	234.87	229.98	230.4			240.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	10	-26	0.42	65%	0.12	-39.3	3.45%	0	0.6	49	0
9	Sep_22_2015	207.07	236.27	229.53	226.52			238.4(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.71	65%	0.14	-14.8	3.46%	0	0.2	41	0
10	Sep_21_2015	206.78	237.5	228.62	224.12			228.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-70	0.68	64%	0.08	2.4	3.43%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Sep_18_2015	206.61	238.1	230.28	225.28			227(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.6	61%	0.05	14.8	3.43%	0	-0.8	50	0
12	Sep_17_2015	206.5	238.38	231.64	226.08			218(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-8	-54	0.79	60%	0.07	22.6	3.44%	0	-1.5	42	0
13	Sep_16_2015	206.35	238.45	233.96	229.4			221(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.46	60%	0.12	30	3.44%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Sep_15_2015	206.11	238.08	237.14	232.8			226.4(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.51	60%	0.13	34.3	3.43%	0	-0.8	32	0
15	Sep_14_2015	205.84	237.17	238.03	233.6			234(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-67	0.34	60%	0.2	31.9	3.41%	0	-0.2	38	0

16	Sep_11_2015	205.43	236.12	237.86	236.08			231(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.49	60%	0.2	33.7	3.4%	0	-0.3	50	0
17	Sep_10_2015	205.03	235.4	238.64	238.12			234.6(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-51	0.71	58%	0.2	37.5	3.4%	0	-0	54	0
18	Sep_9_2015	204.63	234.39	240.33	239.28			238(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.83	58%	0.22	41.4	3.43%	0	0.2	61	0
19	Sep_8_2015	204.19	233.12	243.52	242.28			230.4(-6.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-2	32	0.75	58%	0.19	47.2	3.41%	0	-0.1	61	0
20	Sep_4_2015	203.8	232.02	247.07	242.92			246.4(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	85	0.69	62%	0.27	47.9	3.3%	0	0.7	68	0

21	Sep_3_2015	203.25	230.36	246.44	239.84			241.2(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	2	92	1.01	61%	0.25	47.2	3.3%	0	0.5	64	0
22	Sep_2_2015	202.75	228.78	245.59	239.2			240.4(-4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-10000	-6	100	0.76	61%	0.22	47.3	3.33%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Sep_1_2015	202.3	226.87	243.37	241.6			253(8.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	22	-10000	-10	118	1.26	64%	0.29	50.1	3.26%	0	1.2	66	0
24	Aug_31_2015	201.72	224.31	239.11	245.56			233.6(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-17	145	0.88	61%	0.19	57	3.11%	0	0.4	62	0
25	Aug_28_2015	201.34	222.73	236.48	252.12			231(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	44	-10000	-4	189	0.95	61%		63.8	3.12%	0	0.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.