Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $272.6000 (8.43%) ($253.2000 - $275.2000) on Mon. Sep. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $272.6000(8.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    IYT(-14%)    IWN(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $248.92(9.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $237.4(14.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $237.51(14.77%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   48.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2015	208.63	237.51	237.4	248.92			272.6(8.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	-10000	21	72	0.83	68%	0.32	0	3.6%	0	2.9	71	0
2	Sep_25_2015	207.97	235.26	233.13	240.04			251.4(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	12	26	0.54	65%	0.19	-31.5	3.47%	0	1.8	51	0
3	Sep_24_2015	207.58	234.48	230.88	235.16			241.8(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	12	-1	0.6	65%	0.13	-46.9	3.44%	0	0.9	49	0
4	Sep_23_2015	207.31	234.87	229.98	230.4			240.4(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	10	-26	0.42	65%	0.12	-39.3	3.45%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Sep_22_2015	207.07	236.27	229.53	226.52			238.4(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.71	65%	0.14	-14.8	3.46%	0	0.2	41	0

6	Sep_21_2015	206.78	237.5	228.62	224.12			228.2(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-70	0.68	64%	0.08	2.4	3.43%	0	-0.7	49	0
7	Sep_18_2015	206.61	238.1	230.28	225.28			227(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.6	61%	0.05	14.8	3.43%	0	-0.8	50	0
8	Sep_17_2015	206.5	238.38	231.64	226.08			218(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-8	-54	0.79	60%	0.07	22.6	3.44%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	Sep_16_2015	206.35	238.45	233.96	229.4			221(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.46	60%	0.12	30	3.44%	0	-1.3	37	0
10	Sep_15_2015	206.11	238.08	237.14	232.8			226.4(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.51	60%	0.13	34.3	3.43%	0	-0.8	32	0

11	Sep_14_2015	205.84	237.17	238.03	233.6			234(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-67	0.34	60%	0.2	31.9	3.41%	0	-0.2	38	0
12	Sep_11_2015	205.43	236.12	237.86	236.08			231(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.49	60%	0.2	33.7	3.4%	0	-0.3	50	0
13	Sep_10_2015	205.03	235.4	238.64	238.12			234.6(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-51	0.71	58%	0.2	37.5	3.4%	0	-0	54	0
14	Sep_9_2015	204.63	234.39	240.33	239.28			238(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.83	58%	0.22	41.4	3.43%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Sep_8_2015	204.19	233.12	243.52	242.28			230.4(-6.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-2	32	0.75	58%	0.19	47.2	3.41%	0	-0.1	61	0

16	Sep_4_2015	203.8	232.02	247.07	242.92			246.4(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	85	0.69	62%	0.27	47.9	3.3%	0	0.7	68	0
17	Sep_3_2015	203.25	230.36	246.44	239.84			241.2(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	2	92	1.01	61%	0.25	47.2	3.3%	0	0.5	64	0
18	Sep_2_2015	202.75	228.78	245.59	239.2			240.4(-4.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-10000	-6	100	0.76	61%	0.22	47.3	3.33%	0	0.6	61	0
19	Sep_1_2015	202.3	226.87	243.37	241.6			253(8.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	22	-10000	-10	118	1.26	64%	0.29	50.1	3.26%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Aug_31_2015	201.72	224.31	239.11	245.56			233.6(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-17	145	0.88	61%	0.19	57	3.11%	0	0.4	62	0

21	Aug_28_2015	201.34	222.73	236.48	252.12			231(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	44	-10000	-4	189	0.95	61%	0.16	63.8	3.12%	0	0.4	64	0
22	Aug_27_2015	201.01	221.14	234.67	253.76			238(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	55	-10000	4	206	1.21	59%	0.2	64.5	3.09%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Aug_26_2015	200.6	219.29	232.39	252.24			252.4(-7.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	-10000	20	219	1.8	63%	0.25	64.7	3.04%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Aug_25_2015	200.09	216.69	228.28	244.64			272.8(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	82	-10000	39	212	1.47	68%	0.38	61.3	2.89%	0	2.8	81	0
25	Aug_24_2015	199.33	213.01	221.67	231.72			266.4(11.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	68	-10000	40	150	2.08	68%		59.2	2.91%	0	3.5	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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