Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $238.0000 (-5.71%) ($234.0000 - $252.6000) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $238.0000(-5.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 10.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    IYT(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $253.76(-6.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $234.67(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $221.14(7.62%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 9.77% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2015	201.01	221.14	234.67	253.76			238(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	55	-10000	4	206	1.21	59%	0.2	64.5	3.09%	0	0.8	62	0
2	Aug_26_2015	200.6	219.29	232.39	252.24			252.4(-7.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	-10000	20	219	1.8	63%	0.25	64.7	3.04%	0	1.5	69	0
3	Aug_25_2015	200.09	216.69	228.28	244.64			272.8(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	82	-10000	39	212	1.47	68%	0.38	61.3	2.89%	0	2.8	81	0
4	Aug_24_2015	199.33	213.01	221.67	231.72			266.4(11.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	68	-10000	40	150	2.08	68%	0.34	59.2	2.91%	0	3.5	78	0
5	Aug_21_2015	198.65	209.89	215.17	219.08			239.2(3.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	38	-10000	21	89	1.44	63%	0.2	67.8	2.57%	0	3.1	73	0

6	Aug_20_2015	198.25	208.03	212.27	213.2			230.4(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	26	-10000	12	67	0.88	62%	0.14	78.2	2.53%	0	3	72	0
7	Aug_19_2015	197.97	206.23	209.93	209.88			214.4(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	2	55	0.85	58%	0.07	86.2	2.36%	0	1.3	62	0
8	Aug_18_2015	197.84	205.01	208.6	209.4			208.2(2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-2	50	0.41	54%	0.04	82.9	2.34%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Aug_17_2015	197.76	204.23	208.11	209.88			203.2(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-2	52	0.52	52%	-0.03	82.6	2.35%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Aug_14_2015	197.82	203.59	207.99	210.32			209.8(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-3	46	0.47	52%	-0.02	76.9	2.32%	0	0.8	49	0

11	Aug_13_2015	197.85	202.44	206.87	210.96			213.8(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	45	0.47	52%	0.01	68.8	2.34%	0	1.3	58	0
12	Aug_12_2015	197.84	200.94	205.56	209.96			212(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	9	48	0.81	52%	0.07	56.5	2.34%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Aug_11_2015	197.7	199.7	204.58	207.72			210.6(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	47	0.65	52%	0.07	40	2.34%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Aug_10_2015	197.57	198.38	203.9	206.12			205.4(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	4	51	0.48	50%	0.04	30	2.32%	0	0.8	63	0
15	Aug_7_2015	197.49	197.49	204.3	205.2			213(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	13	76	0.7	53%	0.06	23.4	2.29%	0	1.8	72	0

16	Aug_6_2015	197.38	196.45	203.38	202.16			208.8(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	7	76	0.67	53%	0.02	13.9	2.28%	0	1.5	72	0
17	Aug_5_2015	197.34	196	202.08	200.6			200.8(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	-2	80	0.56	53%	-0.05	14.9	2.23%	0	0.6	70	0
18	Aug_4_2015	197.43	196.11	201.08	201			202.6(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-2	87	0.52	53%	-0.04	23	2.27%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Aug_3_2015	197.51	195.71	200.05	201.4			200.8(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-8	100	0.7	53%	-0.08	24.9	2.27%	0	0.7	67	0
20	Jul_31_2015	197.66	195.44	198.93	203.28			197.8(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-6	120	0.66	53%	-0.08	39.8	2.28%	0	0.3	61	0

21	Jul_30_2015	197.81	195.32	197.87	204.72			201(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	36	-10000	5	130	0.44	57%	-0.12	54.5	2.28%	0	0.7	56	0
22	Jul_29_2015	198.04	194.83	196.19	203.64			202.8(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	11	97	0.5	59%	-0.13	58	2.42%	0	1	49	0
23	Jul_28_2015	198.3	194.31	194.61	200.96			204.6(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	11	58	0.71	59%	-0.08	60.5	2.45%	0	1.4	48	0
24	Jul_27_2015	198.46	193.81	192.52	198.36			210.2(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	18	29	0.7	63%	-0.07	65.8	2.43%	0	2.3	59	0
25	Jul_24_2015	198.59	192.38	190.07	194.04			205(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	17	-12	0.69	61%		54.2	2.44%	0	2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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