Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $205.4000 (-3.57%) ($204.2000 - $210.6000) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $205.4000(-3.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $206.12(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $203.9(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $198.38(3.54%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 4.54% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	197.57	198.38	203.9	206.12			205.4(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	4	51	0.48	50%	0.04	30	2.32%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Aug_7_2015	197.49	197.49	204.3	205.2			213(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	13	76	0.7	53%	0.06	23.4	2.29%	0	1.8	72	0
3	Aug_6_2015	197.38	196.45	203.38	202.16			208.8(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	7	76	0.67	53%	0.02	13.9	2.28%	0	1.5	72	0
4	Aug_5_2015	197.34	196	202.08	200.6			200.8(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	-2	80	0.56	53%	-0.05	14.9	2.23%	0	0.6	70	0
5	Aug_4_2015	197.43	196.11	201.08	201			202.6(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-2	87	0.52	53%	-0.04	23	2.27%	0	0.8	66	0

6	Aug_3_2015	197.51	195.71	200.05	201.4			200.8(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-8	100	0.7	53%	-0.08	24.9	2.27%	0	0.7	67	0
7	Jul_31_2015	197.66	195.44	198.93	203.28			197.8(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	-10000	-6	120	0.66	53%	-0.08	39.8	2.28%	0	0.3	61	0
8	Jul_30_2015	197.81	195.32	197.87	204.72			201(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	36	-10000	5	130	0.44	57%	-0.12	54.5	2.28%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Jul_29_2015	198.04	194.83	196.19	203.64			202.8(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	11	97	0.5	59%	-0.13	58	2.42%	0	1	49	0
10	Jul_28_2015	198.3	194.31	194.61	200.96			204.6(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	11	58	0.71	59%	-0.08	60.5	2.45%	0	1.4	48	0

11	Jul_27_2015	198.46	193.81	192.52	198.36			210.2(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	18	29	0.7	63%	-0.07	65.8	2.43%	0	2.3	59	0
12	Jul_24_2015	198.59	192.38	190.07	194.04			205(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	17	-12	0.69	61%	-0.06	54.2	2.44%	0	2	55	0
13	Jul_23_2015	198.7	191.17	188.71	190.2			195.6(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	11	-46	0.65	59%	-0.11	39	2.37%	0	0.7	49	0
14	Jul_22_2015	198.92	190.47	189.13	187.72			189.4(-1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	2	-57	0.41	57%	-0.13	21.3	2.34%	0	-0.2	49	0
15	Jul_21_2015	199.18	189.9	190.48	187.24			191.6(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	7	-47	0.56	57%	-0.1	10.3	2.34%	0	0.2	49	0

16	Jul_20_2015	199.38	189.26	190.8	185.72			188.6(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.5	54%	-0.14	-4	2.33%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Jul_17_2015	199.66	188.94	191.52	185.48			185.8(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-7	-52	0.36	57%	-0.14	-9.9	2.35%	0	-0.4	56	0
18	Jul_16_2015	199.94	188.77	192.56	187.04			183.2(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-16	-27	0.39	57%	-0.16	-8.3	2.41%	0	-0.7	56	0
19	Jul_15_2015	200.27	189.08	193.53	190.8			187(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10000	-15	13	0.45	57%	-0.14	3.8	2.4%	0	-0.3	59	0
20	Jul_14_2015	200.56	189.15	194.23	194.28			184(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-10	61	0.49	57%	-0.17	10.8	2.41%	0	-0.7	61	0

21	Jul_13_2015	200.9	189.56	195.54	196.56			187.4(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	21	-10000	-7	104	0.54	57%	-0.15	17.2	2.4%	0	-0.3	63	0
22	Jul_10_2015	201.2	189.72	195.25	198.28			193.6(-4.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-10000	-2	125	0.63	60%	-0.13	22.1	2.37%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Jul_9_2015	201.47	189.44	194.15	198.72			202(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	9	139	0.57	64%	-0.09	19	2.31%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Jul_8_2015	201.65	188.77	192.08	196.64			204.4(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	10	117	0.93	64%	-0.08	11.5	2.31%	0	2.2	63	0
25	Jul_7_2015	201.82	188.3	189.27	194.4			195.4(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-1	84	1.18	61%		3.2	2.26%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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