Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $200.8000 (4.69%) ($195.9000 - $203.6000) on Fri. Apr. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $200.8000(4.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $191.47(-4.65%)
5 Day Moving Average   $195.08(2.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $196.61(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $199.83(0.49%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2015	232.1	199.83	196.61	195.08			200.8(4.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	4	-43	0.95	51%	-0.14	-58.2	2.53%	0	0.2	38	0
2	Apr_16_2015	232.43	199.91	196.5	194.08			191.8(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-6	-69	0.41	43%	-0.19	-70.4	2.47%	0	-1.4	21	0
3	Apr_15_2015	232.87	200.57	197.54	195.48			191.2(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-21	-10000	-5	-70	0.79	48%	-0.19	-83	2.54%	0	-1.7	22	0
4	Apr_14_2015	233.32	201.49	198.68	196.64			195.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0.52	48%	-0.18	-95.8	2.64%	0	-1.1	50	0
5	Apr_13_2015	233.73	202.23	199.16	197.84			195.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-13	-10000	-2	-47	0.62	48%	-0.18	-95.2	2.65%	0	-1.2	50	0

6	Apr_10_2015	234.15	203.16	200.42	198.32			195.8(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-4	-35	0.42	48%	-0.18	-93.4	2.64%	0	-1.3	51	0
7	Apr_9_2015	234.58	204	202.08	199.28			198.8(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.65	48%	-0.17	-91	2.65%	0	-0.9	47	0
8	Apr_8_2015	234.99	205.17	203.36	199.96			197(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-4	-7	0.74	44%	-0.19	-70	2.68%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	Apr_7_2015	235.43	206.66	203.62	201			201.8(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.62	44%	-0.17	-50	2.73%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Apr_6_2015	235.82	207.55	203.32	200.72			198.2(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-8	-27	0.59	48%	-0.19	-44.6	2.75%	0	-1.1	37	0

11	Apr_2_2015	236.26	208.77	203.39	202.88			200.6(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.47	51%	-0.18	-34.5	2.87%	0	-0.9	35	0
12	Apr_1_2015	236.69	209.52	203.64	205.36			202.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-12	-10000	-7	-26	0.7	51%	-0.17	-26.5	2.88%	0	-0.8	40	0
13	Mar_31_2015	237.1	210.27	203.89	207.36			202.2(0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.46	51%	-0.18	-20	2.9%	0	-0.9	32	0
14	Mar_30_2015	237.53	210.93	204.58	206.56			200.4(-4.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-11	-10000	2	-49	0.51	51%	-0.19	-23.8	2.91%	0	-1.2	28	0
15	Mar_27_2015	237.99	211.55	205.6	206.08			209(-1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	8	-60	0.42	53%	-0.15	-29.6	2.85%	0	-0.3	41	0

16	Mar_26_2015	238.35	211.9	206.07	203.81			213(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	7	-80	0.73	53%	-0.13	-38.3	2.87%	0	0.1	41	0
17	Mar_25_2015	238.67	211.89	205.88	201.77			212.2(7.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-20	-10000	5	-96	0.83	53%	-0.14	-48.6	2.88%	0	0	48	0
18	Mar_24_2015	239.01	212.04	206.78	200.25			198.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-109	0.43	49%	-0.22	-56	2.75%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	Mar_23_2015	239.54	212.99	209.68	202.49			198(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-9	-87	0.33	49%	-0.22	-56.1	2.75%	0	-2	38	0
20	Mar_20_2015	240.08	214	211.97	205.05			197.66(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	0.58	49%	-0.24	-56.3	2.73%	0	-2.4	42	0

21	Mar_19_2015	240.65	215.08	214.59	208.52			202.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-7	-41	0.41	49%	-0.21	-57.6	2.74%	0	-2.1	41	0
22	Mar_18_2015	241.16	215.95	215.98	210.48			204.6(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-13	-31	0.78	46%	-0.21	-68.1	2.74%	0	-2.2	46	0
23	Mar_17_2015	241.66	216.76	217.36	214.28			209.4(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-12	-9	0.46	40%	-0.19	-68.8	2.78%	0	-1.6	47	0
24	Mar_16_2015	242.11	217.35	218.04	218.04			210.8(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.56	40%	-0.18	-67	3%	0	-1.5	47	0
25	Mar_13_2015	242.55	217.93	218.25	219.96			215(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-5	19	0.74	40%		-68.8	3.01%	0	-0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.