Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $200.4000 (-4.11%) ($199.4000 - $205.8000) on Mon. Mar. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $200.4000(-4.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $210.93
5 Day Moving Average   $206.56(-2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $204.58(-2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $210.93(-4.99%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2015	237.53	210.93	204.58	206.56			200.4(-4.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-11	-10000	2	-49	0.51	51%	-0.19	-23.8	2.91%	0	-1.2	28	0
2	Mar_27_2015	237.99	211.55	205.6	206.08			209(-1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	8	-60	0.42	53%	-0.15	-29.6	2.85%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Mar_26_2015	238.35	211.9	206.07	203.81			213(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	7	-80	0.73	53%	-0.13	-38.3	2.87%	0	0.1	41	0
4	Mar_25_2015	238.67	211.89	205.88	201.77			212.2(7.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-20	-10000	5	-96	0.83	53%	-0.14	-48.6	2.88%	0	0	48	0
5	Mar_24_2015	239.01	212.04	206.78	200.25			198.2(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-109	0.43	49%	-0.22	-56	2.75%	0	-1.7	35	0

6	Mar_23_2015	239.54	212.99	209.68	202.49			198(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-9	-87	0.33	49%	-0.22	-56.1	2.75%	0	-2	38	0
7	Mar_20_2015	240.08	214	211.97	205.05			197.66(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	0.58	49%	-0.24	-56.3	2.73%	0	-2.4	42	0
8	Mar_19_2015	240.65	215.08	214.59	208.52			202.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-7	-41	0.41	49%	-0.21	-57.6	2.74%	0	-2.1	41	0
9	Mar_18_2015	241.16	215.95	215.98	210.48			204.6(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-13	-31	0.78	46%	-0.21	-68.1	2.74%	0	-2.2	46	0
10	Mar_17_2015	241.66	216.76	217.36	214.28			209.4(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-12	-9	0.46	40%	-0.19	-68.8	2.78%	0	-1.6	47	0

11	Mar_16_2015	242.11	217.35	218.04	218.04			210.8(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.56	40%	-0.18	-67	3%	0	-1.5	47	0
12	Mar_13_2015	242.55	217.93	218.25	219.96			215(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-5	19	0.74	40%	-0.16	-68.8	3.01%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Mar_12_2015	242.95	218.47	218.43	221.6			212.6(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	6	-10000	-2	28	0.86	43%	-0.18	-60.1	3.02%	0	-1.3	47	0
14	Mar_11_2015	243.39	219.51	218.59	222.12			223.6(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	4	29	0.5	46%	-0.12	-53.4	3.01%	0	0.8	54	0
15	Mar_10_2015	243.68	219.91	217.74	220.8			228.2(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	8	20	0.62	50%	-0.09	-57.3	3.01%	0	1.3	58	0

16	Mar_9_2015	243.91	220.26	216.4	218.16			220.4(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	1	0.54	45%	-0.14	-68.7	3.08%	0	0	48	0
17	Mar_6_2015	244.26	220.8	215.99	216.36			223.2(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	4	-12	0.75	47%	-0.13	-86.3	3.16%	0	0.3	49	0
18	Mar_5_2015	244.59	221.17	215.32	214.96			215.2(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	1	-27	0.47	44%	-0.19	-94.1	3.15%	0	-0.8	29	0
19	Mar_4_2015	245.05	222.44	215.69	214.52			217(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.54	44%	-0.18	-91.5	3.16%	0	-0.6	23	0
20	Mar_3_2015	245.49	223.5	215.93	214.2			215(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.42	42%	-0.2	-89.4	3.16%	0	-0.9	21	0

21	Mar_2_2015	245.98	225.27	216.48	214.4			211.4(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.59	41%	-0.23	-72	3.17%	0	-1.3	11	0
22	Feb_27_2015	246.55	227.53	217.55	215.48			216.2(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-71	0.35	41%	-0.21	-57.3	3.18%	0	-0.9	27	0
23	Feb_26_2015	247.06	228.89	218.5	215.76			213(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-10000	-4	-76	0.5	41%	-0.23	-57.4	3.2%	0	-1.3	22	0
24	Feb_25_2015	247.63	230.92	220.55	217			215.4(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	0.48	41%	-0.23	-55.6	3.23%	0	-1.2	18	0
25	Feb_24_2015	248.19	232.3	222.31	217.92			216(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-10000	-3	-76	0.52	41%		-61.2	3.26%	0	-1.3	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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