Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $25.1700 (-0.63%) ($25.1600 - $25.5500) on Thu. Dec. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $25.1700(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(66%)    ARKK(60%)    IBUY(58%)    VUG(56%)    IWF(53%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.97(-20.66%)
Resistance Level   $25.58
5 Day Moving Average   $25.04(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.08(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.58(-1.6%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $3.6b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.44%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.26%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.96%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2017	29.3	25.58	25.08	25.04	25.15	25.31	25.17(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	60	6	-57	1.08	43%	-0.2	-30.2	2.34%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	Dec_13_2017	29.36	25.59	25.21	24.97	25.06	25.19	25.33(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	50	16	-53	1.06	43%	-0.2	-50	2.34%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Dec_12_2017	29.42	25.62	25.29	24.71	24.85	24.98	25.14(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	50	4	-70	1.78	43%	-0.2	-78.3	2.35%	0	-0.7	44	0
4	Dec_11_2017	29.48	25.68	25.41	24.68	24.69	24.93	24.82(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	70	-3	-72	1.32	46%	-0.2	-101.5	2.35%	0	-1.3	40	0
5	Dec_8_2017	29.54	25.72	25.51	24.86	24.82	24.71	24.74(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-40	-7	-63	1.4	46%	-0.24	-130.9	2.38%	0	-1.5	44	0

6	Dec_7_2017	29.61	25.78	25.67	25.13	25.1	24.46	24.8(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-180	-28	-57	2.21	46%	-0.24	-160.1	2.38%	0	-1.6	41	0
7	Dec_6_2017	29.68	25.93	25.81	25.5	25.59	24.94	24.07(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-37	-170	-38	-35	4.79	43%	-0.2	-144.9	2.34%	0	-2.6	44	0
8	Dec_5_2017	29.74	26.14	26.01	25.93	26.12	25.75	24.99(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-80	-22	-4	1.64	46%	-0.17	-141.6	2.32%	0	-1.5	45	0
9	Dec_4_2017	29.79	26.38	26.13	26.22	26.3	26.24	25.71(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10	-6	15	2.94	48%	-0.13	-103.7	2.3%	0	-0.6	45	0
10	Dec_1_2017	29.83	26.59	26.13	26.24	26.27	26.5	26.07(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	60	3	22	2.37	48%	-0.1	-87.9	2.32%	0	-0.4	55	0

11	Nov_30_2017	29.86	26.78	26.14	26.28	26.19	26.36	26.66(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	40	11	30	2.12	48%	-0.1	-78.9	2.29%	0	-0.1	55	0
12	Nov_29_2017	29.89	27	26.01	26.18	26.12	26.04	26.23(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-30	4	-2	1.93	48%	-0.1	-67.9	2.28%	0	-0.4	39	0
13	Nov_28_2017	29.92	27.27	25.97	26.11	26.08	26.01	26.42(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-20	-2	-31	1.98	48%	-0.1	-60.6	2.29%	0	-0.4	37	0
14	Nov_27_2017	29.95	27.52	25.95	26.04	26.1	26.2	25.82(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	30	3	-64	1.49	46%	-0.07	-56.7	2.27%	0	-0.7	27	0
15	Nov_24_2017	29.97	27.82	25.93	26.02	26.04	26.15	26.29(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	30	6	-107	0.86	46%	-0.07	-55.4	2.26%	0	-0.6	27	0

16	Nov_22_2017	29.99	28.07	25.89	25.98	25.95	25.99	26.13(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	10	8	-148	1.23	46%	-0.1	-54.3	2.25%	0	-0.8	26	0
17	Nov_21_2017	30.02	28.32	26.04	25.81	25.91	25.93	25.91(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-45	20	4	-190	1.79	46%	-0.1	-55.7	2.25%	0	-0.9	21	0
18	Nov_20_2017	30.05	28.62	26.27	25.79	25.75	25.9	26.07(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-57	40	-2	-223	1.69	46%	-0.13	-56	2.26%	0	-1	21	0
19	Nov_17_2017	30.09	28.9	26.61	25.86	25.76	25.88	25.68(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-52	20	8	-233	1.72	46%	-0.1	-55.5	2.26%	0	-1.2	18	0
20	Nov_16_2017	30.12	29.25	27.05	25.83	25.73	25.6	26.11(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-63	-50	0	-250	1.81	46%	-0.1	-58	2.27%	0	-1.2	19	0

21	Nov_15_2017	30.15	29.53	27.45	25.8	25.71	25.65	25.29(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-90	-30	-28	-277	1.77	42%	-0.13	-62	2.23%	0	-1.7	17	0
22	Nov_14_2017	30.19	29.86	28.06	26.31	26.14	25.87	25.82(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-79	-90	-22	-251	2.69	42%	-0.1	-63.8	2.22%	0	-1.7	20	0
23	Nov_13_2017	30.22	30.17	28.67	26.82	26.65	25.76	26.4(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-96	-250	-48	-240	2.63	42%	-0.1	-64.6	2.21%	0	-1.8	19	0
24	Nov_10_2017	30.25	30.46	29.21	27.51	27.45	26.41	25.55(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-107	-270	-70	-218	3.42	36%	-0.1	-61.5	2.21%	0	-2.5	11	0
25	Nov_9_2017	30.28	30.83	29.88	28.45	28.54	27.54	25.93(-6.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-81	-240	-54	-160	7.55	36%		-59.9	2.42%	0	-3	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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