Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $33.6500 (-3.58%) ($32.8800 - $34.4400) on Tue. Feb. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.09% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $33.6500(-3.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(64%)    ARKK(59%)    IBUY(56%)    VUG(55%)    QQQ(52%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -2.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-6%)    TBT(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.045% (StdDev 4.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.95(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.99(5.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.46(10.47%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $4.813b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 6.37% (three month std-dev: 4.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.5%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.11%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(33%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 4.07%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.09%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2017	36.24	30.46	31.99	32.95	32.92	33.6	33.65(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	140	22	101	7.48	59%	-0.85	70.5	4.09%	0	1.6	70	0
2	Feb_13_2017	36.55	30.17	31.51	32.41	32.34	32.83	34.9(9.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	37	100	20	89	8.65	59%	-0.84	66.5	4.07%	0	2.6	76	0
3	Feb_10_2017	36.86	29.8	30.91	31.8	31.87	32.24	31.96(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	90	8	75	9.47	56%	-0.91	70.2	3.9%	0	1.4	71	0
4	Feb_9_2017	37.2	29.6	30.65	31.68	31.77	31.85	32.81(4.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	33	30	16	82	9.96	56%	-0.77	69.8	3.89%	0	2.2	77	0
5	Feb_8_2017	37.49	29.34	30.34	31.14	31.39	31.5	31.44(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	50	5	70	9.78	53%	-0.69	69.5	3.85%	0	1.6	71	0

6	Feb_7_2017	37.75	29.15	30.1	30.86	31.06	31.68	30.96(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	160	16	75	7.41	53%	-0.74	71.8	3.86%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Feb_6_2017	38.03	29	29.88	30.43	30.63	31.27	31.82(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	170	26	72	6.08	53%	-0.65	62.8	3.87%	0	2.4	78	0
8	Feb_3_2017	38.28	28.79	29.53	29.87	29.87	30.45	31.37(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	140	16	55	4.12	53%	-0.62	50.6	3.89%	0	2.6	75	0
9	Feb_2_2017	38.52	28.61	29.22	29.49	29.44	29.99	30.1(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	130	11	45	4.03	49%	-0.59	37.4	3.89%	0	1.9	71	0
10	Feb_1_2017	38.75	28.48	29.06	29.44	29.3	29.3	30.05(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10	9	47	3.7	51%	-0.64	7	3.94%	0	2.2	70	0

11	Jan_31_2017	39	28.3	28.82	29.24	29.32	28.88	28.83(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-100	-6	34	2.07	49%	-0.74	-34.9	3.96%	0	0.7	64	0
12	Jan_30_2017	39.29	28.29	28.73	29.22	29.48	29.29	29.01(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-20	-3	35	3.39	49%	-0.71	-52.5	3.98%	0	1	61	0
13	Jan_27_2017	39.57	28.3	28.63	29.11	29.4	29.76	29.44(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	120	7	38	2.79	45%	-0.7	-88.9	4.02%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Jan_26_2017	39.85	28.32	28.47	28.9	29.13	29.67	29.85(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	150	15	34	3.81	45%	-0.7	-96.9	4.06%	0	2.1	67	0
15	Jan_25_2017	40.13	28.43	28.27	28.64	28.76	29.05	29.05(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	80	13	28	5.14	43%	-0.77	-81.8	4.05%	0	0.8	67	0

16	Jan_24_2017	40.44	28.56	28.14	28.35	28.44	28.59	28.73(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	50	7	24	4.09	43%	-0.3	-48.2	4.09%	0	0.1	73	0
17	Jan_23_2017	40.56	28.69	28.07	28.18	28.15	28.47	28.5(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	80	5	14	2.91	43%	-0.76	-44.2	4.09%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Jan_20_2017	40.87	28.97	27.98	28.07	28.01	28.29	28.38(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	60	8	5	3.88	38%	-0.66	-24.3	4.17%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Jan_19_2017	41.14	29.05	27.94	27.97	27.84	27.83	28.56(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-20	3	-10	4.98	38%	-0.63	-22.4	4.21%	0	-0.3	39	0
20	Jan_18_2017	41.4	29.08	27.84	27.84	27.86	27.72	27.59(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-30	-3	-39	3.58	42%	-0.65	-19.6	4.18%	0	-0.7	25	0

21	Jan_17_2017	41.67	29.17	27.74	27.88	27.89	27.86	27.85(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10	-4	-62	2.67	42%	-0.95	-19.6	4.31%	0	-0.6	28	0
22	Jan_13_2017	42.07	29.27	27.83	27.93	28.07	27.99	27.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-0	2	-72	2.69	40%	-0.59	-22.1	4.29%	0	-0.6	32	0
23	Jan_12_2017	42.32	29.35	27.94	27.87	28.08	27.92	27.88(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-20	-3	-96	2.79	40%	-0.61	-26.6	4.36%	0	-0.7	25	0
24	Jan_11_2017	42.58	29.43	28.16	27.91	28.04	28.15	27.94(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	40	-1	-94	2.39	40%	-0.68	-32.8	4.37%	0	-0.7	47	0
25	Jan_10_2017	42.87	29.5	28.58	27.83	28.17	28.24	27.79(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	50	11	-79	4.68	36%		-38.3	4.37%	0	-0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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