Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $34.7300 (10.64%) ($31.3900 - $34.8500) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $34.7300(10.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(63%)    ARKK(58%)    IBUY(55%)    VUG(54%)    QQQ(51%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TBT(-2%)    UNG(-1%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.6%

Resistance Level   $35.46
5 Day Moving Average   $32.2(7.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.12(8.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.46(-2.06%)
To recent high   -49.6%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $4.967b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 14.44% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.24%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2016	47.1	35.46	32.12	32.2	32.2	32.49	34.73(10.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	60	22	-70	6.08	45%	0.17	-64.5	4.35%	0	-0.1	36	INF
2	Nov_14_2016	47.02	36.05	32.17	31.53	31.8	31.65	31.39(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10	1	-104	4.08	41%	0.11	-68	4.31%	0	-0.9	26	INF
3	Nov_11_2016	46.97	36.69	32.44	31.53	31.58	31.91	31.56(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	90	-1	-125	2.27	49%	0.06	-71.8	4.49%	0	-0.9	23	INF
4	Nov_10_2016	46.94	37.4	32.8	31.36	31.65	31.94	31.5(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-32	90	3	-135	5.16	49%	-0.34	-78.8	4.73%	0	-1	22	INF
5	Nov_9_2016	47.1	38.17	33.35	31.58	31.84	31.25	31.81(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-110	-10	-155	6.41	49%	-0.34	-81.4	4.74%	0	-1	19	INF

6	Nov_8_2016	47.26	39.1	34.06	32.05	32.29	31.35	31.41(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-180	-29	-174	6.31	49%	-0.36	-81.6	4.74%	0	-1.2	16	INF
7	Nov_7_2016	47.43	40.13	34.77	32.94	33.29	32.43	30.52(-3.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-150	-24	-181	7.36	49%	-0.36	-82.1	4.73%	0	-1.4	12	INF
8	Nov_4_2016	47.6	41.2	35.79	33.66	34.27	33.23	31.57(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-160	-22	-178	10.05	49%	-0.36	-78.6	4.73%	0	-1.3	24	INF
9	Nov_3_2016	47.77	42.61	36.74	34.43	34.72	34.14	32.6(-4.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-66	-90	-28	-179	7.69	49%	-0.35	-74.1	4.76%	0	-1.2	24	INF
10	Nov_2_2016	47.94	43.98	37.87	35.37	35.42	35.31	34.15(-4.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-55	-20	-17	-168	5.16	49%	-0.31	-72.4	4.73%	0	-1.2	24	INF

11	Nov_1_2016	48.09	45.32	39.07	36.38	36.26	35.29	35.88(5.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-200	-14	-162	9.92	51%	-0.27	-71.7	4.72%	0	-1.1	23	INF
12	Oct_31_2016	48.22	46.55	40.22	36.93	37.11	35.52	34.12(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-290	-41	-175	8.31	49%	-0.33	-70.2	4.69%	0	-1.4	16	INF
13	Oct_28_2016	48.38	48.08	41.29	38.25	38.36	37.24	35.42(-4.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-71	-200	-37	-172	7.19	49%	-0.29	-67.2	4.69%	0	-1.4	18	INF
14	Oct_27_2016	48.52	49.52	42.39	39.38	39.72	38.7	37.26(-5.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-67	-150	-28	-184	7.11	51%	-0.27	-63.1	4.65%	0	-1.3	15	INF
15	Oct_26_2016	48.65	51.07	43.4	40.75	40.47	39.48	39.24(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-78	-190	-38	-197	5.32	53%	-0.23	-58.2	4.66%	0	-1.2	16	INF

16	Oct_25_2016	48.76	52.53	44.54	42.21	41.98	40.74	38.6(-5.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-220	-37	-200	7	53%	-0.25	-52.5	4.65%	0	-1.4	13	INF
17	Oct_24_2016	48.88	54.02	45.92	44.04	43.78	41.47	40.73(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-390	-35	-194	7.14	55%	-0.18	-46.4	4.61%	0	-1.4	16	INF
18	Oct_21_2016	48.97	55.23	47.06	44.79	45.07	43.22	41.06(-6.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-89	-270	-47	-214	18.57	55%	-0.2	-44	4.61%	0	-1.6	14	INF
19	Oct_20_2016	49.07	56.42	48.95	45.8	46.07	46.09	44.14(-5.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	20	-19	-198	4.04	59%	-0.12	-40.9	4.55%	0	-1.4	18	INF
20	Oct_19_2016	49.13	57.49	50.56	46.42	46.62	46.91	46.51(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-50	60	-1	-195	2.97	61%	-0.06	-36.5	4.57%	0	-1.3	17	INF

21	Oct_18_2016	49.16	58.3	52	47.27	46.98	46.05	47.77(7.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-160	-20	-204	6.56	61%	-0.04	-31.6	4.6%	0	-1.4	17	INF
22	Oct_17_2016	49.18	58.82	53.29	48.21	48.28	46.32	44.45(-3.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-88	-280	-44	-218	5.1	59%	-0.12	-28.6	4.55%	0	-2	9	INF
23	Oct_14_2016	49.24	59.56	55.34	49.72	50.25	47.91	46.11(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-99	-290	-63	-207	6.71	59%	-0.06	-25.8	4.54%	0	-2	22	INF
24	Oct_13_2016	49.27	60.19	57.2	52.62	52.17	50.25	47.24(-7.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-96	-280	-68	-178	9.15	62%	-0.06	-15.2	4.53%	0	-2.1	24	INF
25	Oct_12_2016	49.3	60.63	59.36	55.31	55.24	52.59	50.8(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-68	-340	-47	-132	2.59	67%		-6.1	4.61%	0	-1.8	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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