Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $56.7600 (-0.91%) ($56.6000 - $58.9900) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.51% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $56.7600(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(62%)    ARKK(57%)    VUG(53%)    IWF(50%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -2.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    BOTZ(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.755% (StdDev 5.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.58(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.86(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.39(2.47%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   115.8%
Market Cap   $8.118b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 5.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	46.07	55.39	55.86	55.58	56.19	57.67	56.76(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	220	18	5	2.23	86%	0.39	-18.9	5.51%	0	0.7	59	INF
2	Sep_19_2016	45.89	55.46	55.86	55.02	55.29	56.6	57.28(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	180	21	10	4.25	86%	0.42	-25.5	5.55%	0	0.9	60	INF
3	Sep_16_2016	45.7	55.33	56.06	54.91	54.6	54.71	56.75(5.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-0	7	9	4.36	86%	0.4	-24.2	5.6%	0	0.7	58	INF
4	Sep_15_2016	45.52	55.21	56.06	54.76	54.76	53.98	54(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-12	4	2.29	86%	0.33	-13.8	5.62%	0	-0.6	59	INF
5	Sep_14_2016	45.37	55.44	55.84	55.45	55.39	54.5	53.12(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-120	-18	9	2.71	86%	0.31	29.7	5.67%	0	-1.1	51	INF

6	Sep_13_2016	45.23	55.75	55.97	56.15	56.26	55.54	53.97(-4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-80	-17	14	4.03	86%	0.33	73.6	5.71%	0	-0.8	46	INF
7	Sep_12_2016	45.08	55.97	56	57.19	57.1	56.28	56.7(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-110	-11	19	3.5	86%	0.47	123.4	5.7%	0	0.3	45	INF
8	Sep_9_2016	44.87	55.81	55.76	57.38	57.83	56.98	56(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-80	-6	23	4.48	86%	0.47	149.6	5.75%	0	0.1	53	INF
9	Sep_8_2016	44.66	55.48	55.38	57.05	57.78	57.92	57.45(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	60	2	19	3.66	86%	0.54	136.2	5.78%	0	0.7	57	INF
10	Sep_7_2016	44.42	54.84	54.99	56.29	57.06	58.68	56.63(-4.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	240	19	8	5.3	86%	0.52	101.8	5.84%	0	0.5	46	INF

11	Sep_6_2016	44.19	54.21	54.9	55.72	55.86	57.64	59.18(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	230	32	2	7.32	86%	0.68	87.5	5.84%	0	1.1	48	INF
12	Sep_2_2016	43.89	53.41	54.76	54.65	54.62	55.44	57.62(5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	100	18	-14	3.74	86%	0.62	69.4	5.89%	0	0.8	48	INF
13	Sep_1_2016	43.62	52.64	54.76	53.97	54.15	54.08	54.38(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	0	8	-23	5.95	85%	0.51	62	5.92%	0	0.3	55	INF
14	Aug_31_2016	43.4	52	54.45	53.97	53.63	53.8	53.62(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	30	-3	-23	2.18	85%	0.51	53.3	5.98%	0	0.2	62	INF
15	Aug_30_2016	43.18	51.3	54.94	53.48	53.52	54.21	53.8(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	90	2	3	3.39	85%	0.51	47	6.04%	0	0.4	70	INF

16	Aug_29_2016	42.96	50.56	55.47	53.94	53.83	53.46	53.82(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-50	-5	32	4.46	85%	0.56	45.7	6.1%	0	0.4	71	INF
17	Aug_26_2016	42.72	49.87	55.93	54.9	54.82	52.83	54.25(4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-260	-18	66	7.09	85%	0.59	48.3	6.15%	0	0.6	72	INF
18	Aug_25_2016	42.47	49.21	55.88	55.03	56.06	54.21	51.93(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-170	-25	87	5.51	85%	0.52	49.1	6.21%	0	0.4	72	INF
19	Aug_24_2016	42.25	48.74	55.68	55.52	56.24	56.8	53.6(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	110	-17	115	7.64	85%	0.62	52.8	6.24%	0	0.6	76	INF
20	Aug_23_2016	41.99	48.19	54.83	56.57	56.61	57.91	56.08(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	160	13	156	7.62	85%	0.82	58.1	6.24%	0	1	82	INF

21	Aug_22_2016	41.65	47.39	53.62	57.23	56.93	55.69	58.65(6.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	44	-170	-1	179	7.2	85%	0.99	63.7	6.24%	0	1.5	88	INF
22	Aug_19_2016	41.24	46.46	52.04	57.19	57.75	55.32	54.88(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-270	-27	186	6.91	84%	0.83	67.8	6.27%	0	1.2	81	INF
23	Aug_18_2016	40.9	45.73	50.77	56.87	59.08	58.17	54.4(-7.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	48	10	-3	202	7.45	84%	0.86	67.4	6.35%	0	1.2	75	INF
24	Aug_17_2016	40.55	45	49.43	55.73	57.66	60.18	58.86(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	410	36	211	6.8	91%	1.2	64.2	6.24%	0	2.1	78	INF
25	Aug_16_2016	40.07	44.07	47.39	52.69	54.3	59.99	59.34(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	106	830	80	183	12.27	91%		55.7	6.31%	0	2.5	77	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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