Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TWLO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $58.6500 (6.87%) ($55.3400 - $59.7500) on Mon. Aug. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.24% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $58.6500(6.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO advances 18.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(62%)    ARKK(57%)    VUG(53%)    IWF(50%)    QQQ(50%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -3.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-8%)    TBT(-3%)    IPO(-2%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.12% (StdDev 6.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.23(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.62(9.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.39(23.76%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   123%
Market Cap   $8.389b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 16.06% (three month std-dev: 6.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.34%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.04%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.31%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2016	41.65	47.39	53.62	57.23	56.93	55.69	58.65(6.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	44	-170	-1	179	7.2	85%	0.99	63.7	6.24%	0	1.5	88	0
2	Aug_19_2016	41.24	46.46	52.04	57.19	57.75	55.32	54.88(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-270	-27	186	6.91	84%	0.83	67.8	6.27%	0	1.2	81	0
3	Aug_18_2016	40.9	45.73	50.77	56.87	59.08	58.17	54.4(-7.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	48	10	-3	202	7.45	84%	0.86	67.4	6.35%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Aug_17_2016	40.55	45	49.43	55.73	57.66	60.18	58.86(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	80	410	36	211	6.8	91%	1.2	64.2	6.24%	0	2.1	78	0
5	Aug_16_2016	40.07	44.07	47.39	52.69	54.3	59.99	59.34(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	106	830	80	183	12.27	91%	1.31	55.7	6.31%	0	2.5	77	0

6	Aug_15_2016	39.55	42.99	45.19	49.42	49.9	55.13	58.47(9.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	104	760	91	142	22.05	91%	1.36	49	6.39%	0	3.2	79	0
7	Aug_12_2016	39.02	42.04	43.16	46.23	46	48.62	53.29(9.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	66	380	59	88	9.29	90%	1.06	48.2	6.35%	0	3.4	74	0
8	Aug_11_2016	38.61	41.45	41.79	43.87	43.77	44.66	48.71(11.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	33	140	28	46	8.14	89%	0.76	58.4	6.31%	0	3.3	69	0
9	Aug_10_2016	38.32	41.06	41.05	42.24	42.54	43.38	43.63(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	160	16	25	2.49	87%	0.42	71.2	6.17%	0	1.7	62	0
10	Aug_9_2016	38.16	40.97	40.89	41.23	41.72	42.88	43.01(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	230	24	16	7.38	87%	0.42	65.6	6.26%	0	1.4	53	0

11	Aug_8_2016	38	40.74	40.61	40.21	40.37	41.7	42.5(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	240	18	4	3.25	87%	0.37	56.2	6.36%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Aug_5_2016	37.86	40.49	40.41	39.58	39.5	40.55	41.49(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	180	14	-7	1.44	87%	0.32	47	6.47%	0	0.5	52	0
13	Aug_4_2016	37.74	40.21	40.32	39.41	39.24	39.04	40.59(5.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-50	0	-19	1.66	87%	0.27	39.8	6.57%	0	0.2	44	0
14	Aug_3_2016	37.64	40.02	40.28	39.72	39.7	38.45	38.55(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-220	-18	-25	1.38	87%	0.08	42.6	6.65%	0	-0.7	43	0
15	Aug_2_2016	37.61	40.01	40.6	40.52	40.76	39.44	37.93(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-210	-18	-17	2.65	87%	0.05	62.8	6.77%	0	-0.9	40	0

16	Aug_1_2016	37.59	39.86	40.76	41.01	41.55	40.94	39.33(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-60	-11	-7	2.66	87%	0.16	82.8	6.83%	0	-0.2	56	0
17	Jul_29_2016	37.53	39.63	40.95	41.3	41.66	42.08	40.63(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	100	0	8	4.9	87%	0.35	92	6.9%	0	0.4	61	0
18	Jul_28_2016	37.4	39.43	41.17	41.33	41.39	42.17	42.17(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	140	11	28	4.16	87%	0.51	105.7	6.96%	0	1	69	0
19	Jul_27_2016	37.21	39.17	41.11	40.92	40.97	41.24	42.54(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	50	6	31	4.81	87%	0.65	0	7.09%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Jul_26_2016	36.97	38.56	41.05	40.76	40.76	40.62	40.39(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-20	1	36	2.25	87%	0.41	0	7.21%	0	0.6	58	0

21	Jul_25_2016	36.82	37.95	40.88	40.5	40.75	40.69	40.75(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	10	-1	41	2.24	87%	0.52	0	7.35%	0	0.7	67	0
22	Jul_22_2016	36.63	37.27	40.57	40.55	40.57	40.9	40.81(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	60	-3	47	1.94	87%	0.58	0	7.52%	0	0.8	67	0
23	Jul_21_2016	36.42	36.69	40.09	40.99	40.69	40.82	40.12(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	0	0	53	2.64	87%	0.52	0	7.71%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Jul_20_2016	36.23	36.69	39.76	41.32	41.1	40.24	41.73(6.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-160	-5	-2	4.51	87%	0.86	0	7.8%	0	8.4	60	0
25	Jul_19_2016	35.92	36.69	39.37	41.42	41.62	40.57	39.07(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-160	-9	-4	2.22	87%		0	7.95%	0	7.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.