Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 31, 2018

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $630.0000 (-4.26%) ($612.0000 - $671.0000) on Wed. Jan. 31, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.27% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $630.0000(-4.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 11% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(48%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(25%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(9%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -2.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-80%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-79%)    IWF(-79%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.135% (StdDev 4.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $600(5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $558.14(12.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $525.97(19.78%)
To recent high   -34.5%
To recent low   33.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 9.96% (three month std-dev: 4.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2018	799.39	525.97	558.14	600			630(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	-10000	16	162	0.3	45%	-1.09	34.7	4.27%	0	2	73	-1.6
2	Jan_30_2018	808.16	519.73	545.59	580.2			658(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	56	-10000	26	144	0.52	45%	-1.14	23.9	4.26%	0	3	74	-1.9
3	Jan_29_2018	817.44	513.53	531.88	549.6			620(14.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	47	-10000	24	114	0.27	42%	-1.38	8.3	4.18%	0	3.1	73	-2.1
4	Jan_26_2018	828.87	508.67	516.76	523.2			543(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	6	65	0.14	31%	-1.38	-20.8	3.96%	0	1.4	61	136.8
5	Jan_25_2018	840.48	508.78	509.86	516.8			549(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	7	51	0.25	31%	-1.36	-28.7	3.96%	0	1.6	62	137.4

6	Jan_24_2018	852.1	508.39	502.67	510			531(5.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	4	34	0.3	31%	-1.46	-36.2	4.03%	0	0.9	59	-1.4
7	Jan_23_2018	864.69	508.9	498.33	505.6			505(3.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-6	16	0.18	27%	-0.43	-42.5	3.97%	0	-0.1	47	0.1
8	Jan_22_2018	868.44	510.75	495.74	511.4			488(-4.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	5	-10000	3	9	0.15	27%	-1.31	-46.2	4.04%	0	-0.8	36	0.9
9	Jan_19_2018	879.93	513.92	496.35	508.6			511(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	-10000	8	-6	0.17	28%	-1.27	-56.7	4.04%	0	-0.1	44	1
10	Jan_18_2018	891.24	515.98	494.3	501			515(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	7	-36	0.29	28%	-1.35	-71.2	4.04%	0	-0	41	0

11	Jan_17_2018	903.42	517.66	492.03	493.8			509(-4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	4	-63	0.27	28%	-1.36	-83.4	4.03%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Jan_16_2018	915.83	520.37	492.37	490			534(12.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-10	-10000	12	-76	0.32	30%	-2.1	-95.8	4%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Jan_12_2018	935.48	523.59	493.26	478.8			474(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-4	-109	0.09	20%	-1.43	-111.7	3.62%	0	-1.5	27	0
14	Jan_11_2018	949.05	530.39	499.48	482.6			473(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-4	-107	0.09	20%	-1.31	-115	3.62%	0	-1.6	25	0
15	Jan_10_2018	961.69	537.58	507.39	486.4			479(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-4	-101	0.17	20%	-1.27	-121.1	3.64%	0	-1.5	25	0

16	Jan_9_2018	974.06	544.43	514.45	489.6			490(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-6	-98	0.11	20%	-1.53	-128.8	3.65%	0	-1.3	29	0
17	Jan_8_2018	989.15	552.76	520.25	495			478(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-37	-10000	-16	-99	0.1	20%	-1.69	-133.9	3.68%	0	-1.8	21	0
18	Jan_5_2018	1006.13	563.91	527.25	510.2			493(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-89	0.09	20%	-1.75	-119.9	3.67%	0	-1.6	17	0
19	Jan_4_2018	1024.02	576.45	533.44	519.2			492(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-32	-10000	-12	-90	0.08	20%	-1.19	-97.3	3.74%	0	-1.6	16	0
20	Jan_3_2018	1036.34	589.29	540.14	531.6			495(-4.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-11	-87	0.11	20%	-1.19	-74.2	3.75%	0	-1.5	16	0

21	Jan_2_2018	1048.81	602.37	546.29	542.6			517(-6.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.12	21%	-2.38	-61.7	3.73%	0	-1.2	19	0
22	Dec_29_2017	1074.4	615	551.45	548.8			554(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	2	-98	0.12	22%	-1.56	-48.8	3.68%	0	-0.7	17	0
23	Dec_28_2017	1091.45	623.78	556.35	547			538(-2.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-127	0.07	22%	-1.13	-48.2	3.66%	0	-1	8	0
24	Dec_27_2017	1103.87	633.42	563.53	550			554(0.73%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0	-39	-10000	-0	-154	0.1	22%	-1.02	-48.4	3.66%	0	-0.9	7	0
25	Dec_26_2017	1115.29	640.98	569.62	550.4			550(0.36%)	BT	CloseShort	10	-0	-46	-10000	-0	-185	0.08	22%		-54.3	3.65%	0	-1.1	5	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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