Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $2344.0000 (5.35%) ($2101.1000 - $2479.0000) on Fri. Aug. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.04% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $2344.0000(5.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 8.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(50%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(21%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-79%)    IWF(-79%)    VT(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.52% (StdDev 7.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1917.2(22.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1779.44(31.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1714.21(36.74%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   49.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 11.6% (three month std-dev: 7.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2017	2596.19	1714.21	1779.44	1917.2			2344(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	42	-10000	23	99	0.3	78%	-0.69	-2.8	7.04%	0	3.2	86	0
2	Aug_10_2017	2614.21	1685.84	1704.22	1773.6			2225(26.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3	30	-10000	20	58	0.43	78%	-0.63	-39.3	7.01%	0	3.6	78	0
3	Aug_9_2017	2630.79	1666.98	1637.74	1657.4			1755(4.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	6	19	0.23	70%	-0.79	-93.2	6.14%	0	0.8	57	0
4	Aug_8_2017	2651.72	1676.2	1620.53	1626.4			1673(5.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	4	2	0.15	70%	-0.71	-85.4	6.1%	0	-0	47	0
5	Aug_7_2017	2670.79	1695.18	1611.61	1608.2			1589(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-14	0.03	70%	-0.74	-78.3	6.08%	0	-0.6	33	0

6	Aug_4_2017	2690.64	1719.71	1610.3	1615.8			1626(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.08	70%	-0.75	-67.2	6.08%	0	-0.5	32	0
7	Aug_3_2017	2711.07	1747.29	1610.39	1620.6			1644(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.09	70%	-0.8	-55.3	6.1%	0	-0.4	27	0
8	Aug_2_2017	2732.87	1781.4	1611.08	1615			1600(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.11	70%	-0.92	-47.7	6.12%	0	-0.7	18	0
9	Aug_1_2017	2758.28	1808.71	1619.44	1613.6			1582(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	-10000	-0	-65	0.06	64%	-0.87	-46.9	6.11%	0	-0.9	14	0
10	Jul_31_2017	2782.44	1837.59	1633.9	1614.6			1627(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	2	-81	0.08	64%	-0.91	-43.3	6.16%	0	-0.8	13	0

11	Jul_28_2017	2807.98	1861.79	1647.51	1603			1650(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-99	0.12	64%	-0.93	-43.8	6.22%	0	-0.8	13	0
12	Jul_27_2017	2834.41	1887.21	1667.08	1599.2			1616(1.44%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0.1	-31	-10000	-2	-117	0.19	64%	-0.95	-43.3	6.21%	0	-1.1	7	0
13	Jul_26_2017	2861.59	1906.25	1697.24	1608			1593(0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	-4	-133	0.06	64%	-0.93	-47	6.21%	0	-1.3	3	0
14	Jul_25_2017	2888.4	1931.84	1734.74	1627.4			1587(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-6	-136	0.06	64%	-0.93	-48.9	6.21%	0	-1.5	23	0
15	Jul_24_2017	2915.37	1952.62	1783.95	1656.6			1569(-3.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10000	-8	-132	0.06	51%	-0.98	-51.2	6.23%	0	-1.7	22	0

16	Jul_21_2017	2944.26	1978.54	1837.55	1698			1631(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-8	-113	0.06	51%	-1.04	-54.4	6.72%	0	-1.7	28	0
17	Jul_20_2017	2975.16	2003.2	1895.12	1745.2			1660(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-9	-101	0.08	49%	-1.01	-56.6	6.72%	0	-1.9	27	0
18	Jul_19_2017	3005.57	2028.29	1965.24	1800.6			1690(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-9	-75	0.09	51%	-1.06	-55.8	6.74%	0	-2	42	0
19	Jul_18_2017	3037.82	2053.66	2014.11	1859			1733(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-11	-60	0.11	51%	-0.95	-53.9	6.79%	0	-2.1	39	0
20	Jul_17_2017	3067.07	2071.89	2059.74	1931.4			1776(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-10	-36	0.09	47%	-0.95	-58.3	6.79%	0	-2.3	47	0

21	Jul_14_2017	3096.6	2093.94	2096.46	1998			1867(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.08	47%	-0.95	-56.6	6.86%	0	-2	46	0
22	Jul_13_2017	3126.33	2112.98	2128.22	2068			1937(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-12	-1	0.08	47%	-0.84	-45.2	6.91%	0	-1.7	47	0
23	Jul_12_2017	3152.89	2126.04	2135.58	2156.2			1982(-5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	0	-10000	-5	16	0.1	47%	-0.81	-32.2	6.94%	0	-1.5	46	0
24	Jul_11_2017	3178.58	2137.75	2148.14	2192.2			2095(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-2	23	0.14	51%	-0.35	-32.9	6.92%	0	-0.5	48	0
25	Jul_10_2017	3189.75	2150.35	2137.36	2206.8			2109(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	-10000	-0	24	0.08	53%		-23.3	7.03%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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