Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $1644.0000 (2.75%) ($1601.0000 - $1653.6000) on Thu. Aug. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.1% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $1644.0000(2.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(50%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(21%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-79%)    IWF(-79%)    VT(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.05% (StdDev 6.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

Resistance Level   $1747.29
5 Day Moving Average   $1620.6(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1610.39(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1747.29(-5.91%)
To recent high   -52.2%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 13.39% (three month std-dev: 6.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2017	2711.07	1747.29	1610.39	1620.6			1644(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.09	70%	-0.8	-55.3	6.1%	0	-0.4	27	0
2	Aug_2_2017	2732.87	1781.4	1611.08	1615			1600(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.11	70%	-0.92	-47.7	6.12%	0	-0.7	18	0
3	Aug_1_2017	2758.28	1808.71	1619.44	1613.6			1582(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	-10000	-0	-65	0.06	64%	-0.87	-46.9	6.11%	0	-0.9	14	0
4	Jul_31_2017	2782.44	1837.59	1633.9	1614.6			1627(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	-10000	2	-81	0.08	64%	-0.91	-43.3	6.16%	0	-0.8	13	0
5	Jul_28_2017	2807.98	1861.79	1647.51	1603			1650(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-99	0.12	64%	-0.93	-43.8	6.22%	0	-0.8	13	0

6	Jul_27_2017	2834.41	1887.21	1667.08	1599.2			1616(1.44%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0.1	-31	-10000	-2	-117	0.19	64%	-0.95	-43.3	6.21%	0	-1.1	7	0
7	Jul_26_2017	2861.59	1906.25	1697.24	1608			1593(0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	-4	-133	0.06	64%	-0.93	-47	6.21%	0	-1.3	3	0
8	Jul_25_2017	2888.4	1931.84	1734.74	1627.4			1587(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-6	-136	0.06	64%	-0.93	-48.9	6.21%	0	-1.5	23	0
9	Jul_24_2017	2915.37	1952.62	1783.95	1656.6			1569(-3.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10000	-8	-132	0.06	51%	-0.98	-51.2	6.23%	0	-1.7	22	0
10	Jul_21_2017	2944.26	1978.54	1837.55	1698			1631(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-8	-113	0.06	51%	-1.04	-54.4	6.72%	0	-1.7	28	0

11	Jul_20_2017	2975.16	2003.2	1895.12	1745.2			1660(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-9	-101	0.08	49%	-1.01	-56.6	6.72%	0	-1.9	27	0
12	Jul_19_2017	3005.57	2028.29	1965.24	1800.6			1690(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-9	-75	0.09	51%	-1.06	-55.8	6.74%	0	-2	42	0
13	Jul_18_2017	3037.82	2053.66	2014.11	1859			1733(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-11	-60	0.11	51%	-0.95	-53.9	6.79%	0	-2.1	39	0
14	Jul_17_2017	3067.07	2071.89	2059.74	1931.4			1776(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-10	-36	0.09	47%	-0.95	-58.3	6.79%	0	-2.3	47	0
15	Jul_14_2017	3096.6	2093.94	2096.46	1998			1867(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-19	0.08	47%	-0.95	-56.6	6.86%	0	-2	46	0

16	Jul_13_2017	3126.33	2112.98	2128.22	2068			1937(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-12	-1	0.08	47%	-0.84	-45.2	6.91%	0	-1.7	47	0
17	Jul_12_2017	3152.89	2126.04	2135.58	2156.2			1982(-5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	0	-10000	-5	16	0.1	47%	-0.81	-32.2	6.94%	0	-1.5	46	0
18	Jul_11_2017	3178.58	2137.75	2148.14	2192.2			2095(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-2	23	0.14	51%	-0.35	-32.9	6.92%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	Jul_10_2017	3189.75	2150.35	2137.36	2206.8			2109(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	-10000	-0	24	0.08	53%	-0.74	-23.3	7.03%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Jul_7_2017	3213.37	2159.68	2132.66	2207.4			2217(-6.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	19	0.1	55%	-0.68	-21.4	7.09%	0	0.5	51	0

21	Jul_6_2017	3235.46	2160.67	2119.59	2196.4			2378(9.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	12	-10000	11	16	0.14	55%	-0.61	-25	7.11%	0	2	54	0
22	Jul_5_2017	3255.48	2157.31	2091.81	2115			2162(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.1	54%	-0.96	-47.6	6.99%	0	0	49	0
23	Jul_3_2017	3287.14	2168.36	2091.13	2099.4			2168(2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-11	0.06	54%	-0.8	-44.2	7%	0	-0	48	0
24	Jun_30_2017	3313.59	2174.61	2079.71	2058.4			2112(-2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	2	-33	0.13	54%	-0.86	-55.6	6.95%	0	-0.5	40	0
25	Jun_29_2017	3342.24	2183.12	2086.49	2046.2			2162(9.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	2	-40	0.29	54%		-64.7	6.95%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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