Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $3437.0000 (35.9%) ($2764.0000 - $3445.0000) on Wed. May. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.86% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $3437.0000(35.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(51%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(11%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.43% (StdDev 6.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 20.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $2791(23.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2779.97(23.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2997.65(14.66%)
To recent high   -29.1%
To recent low   35.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 16.67% (three month std-dev: 6.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2017	4588.98	2997.65	2779.97	2791			3437(35.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	-10000	16	-18	0.19	57%	-1.08	-65.5	6.86%	0	0.9	59	0
2	May_16_2017	4639.11	3032.06	2723.93	2647.2			2529(-2.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-23	-10000	-5	-75	0.05	45%	-0.47	-67.9	5.04%	0	-0.9	20	0
3	May_15_2017	4661.09	3108.23	2758.2	2681.4			2585(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-4	-76	0.04	48%	-1.32	-63.7	5.04%	0	-0.9	26	0
4	May_12_2017	4723.23	3185.9	2785.75	2707			2699(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	-5	-83	0.03	43%	-1.3	-61.4	5.16%	0	-0.9	24	0
5	May_11_2017	4785.22	3278.9	2823.08	2739			2705(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-108	0.05	43%	-1.22	-48.2	5.2%	0	-0.9	14	0

6	May_10_2017	4844.23	3365.08	2860.15	2763.4			2718(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-7	-134	0.05	43%	-1.26	-41.1	5.24%	0	-1	16	0
7	May_9_2017	4906.02	3449.5	2902.1	2815			2700(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-157	0.04	43%	-1.32	-33.2	5.25%	0	-1.1	13	0
8	May_8_2017	4971.54	3519.45	2941.69	2847			2713(-5.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	-4	-178	0.04	43%	-1.43	-30	5.26%	0	-1.2	21	0
9	May_5_2017	5043.91	3577.08	2994.55	2873.8			2859(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-10000	-6	-202	0.03	43%	-1.44	-28.8	5.16%	0	-1.1	22	0
10	May_4_2017	5117.46	3615.88	3111.42	2920.2			2827(-5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-56	-10000	-7	-204	0.05	43%	-1.48	-27.2	5.2%	0	-1.3	17	0

11	May_3_2017	5194.26	3662.84	3231.67	2972			2976(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-54	-10000	-4	-202	0.03	43%	-1.44	-24.4	5.21%	0	-1.2	23	0
12	May_2_2017	5270.34	3691.84	3358	3006.2			2860(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-6	-198	0.03	43%	-1.41	-23.5	5.19%	0	-1.5	21	0
13	May_1_2017	5345.97	3731.65	3481.35	3051.8			2847(-7.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-10	-191	0.04	43%	-1.37	-24.9	5.2%	0	-1.7	32	0
14	Apr_28_2017	5420.06	3771.17	3616.44	3130.8			3091(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-24	-178	0.03	45%	-1.34	-26.7	5.11%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Apr_27_2017	5493.59	3791.89	3769.02	3336.8			3086(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-22	-122	0.03	45%	-1.32	-22.9	5.15%	0	-1.5	48	0

16	Apr_26_2017	5566.86	3812.06	3910.36	3537.2			3147(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-24	-74	0.05	45%	-1.28	-17	5.15%	0	-1.4	46	0
17	Apr_25_2017	5638.98	3830.24	4043.87	3769.8			3088(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-20	-12	0.04	45%	-1.41	-7.8	5.14%	0	-1.7	50	0
18	Apr_24_2017	5719.63	3869.93	4153.75	3972.2			3242(-21.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-5	-10000	-18	36	0.07	43%	-1.65	7.8	5.14%	0	-1.5	51	0
19	Apr_21_2017	5815.54	3908.66	4223.66	4160.6			4121(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-11	91	0.05	49%	-1.47	27.1	4.53%	0	0.5	65	0
20	Apr_20_2017	5902.09	3905.62	4173.54	4266.2			4088(-5.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-8	123	0.06	47%	-1.29	41.4	4.56%	0	0.5	67	0

21	Apr_19_2017	5979.41	3892.75	4137.92	4344.6			4310(5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-10000	-2	156	0.06	49%	-1.25	49.1	4.61%	0	1.1	72	0
22	Apr_18_2017	6055.14	3865.47	4056.14	4369.6			4100(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	44	-10000	1	174	0.06	47%	-1.3	49.6	4.57%	0	0.6	69	0
23	Apr_17_2017	6134.61	3837.73	4004.2	4363.2			4184(-10%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	49	-10000	8	173	0.05	47%	-1.23	44.2	4.57%	0	0.9	58	0
24	Apr_13_2017	6211.14	3804.72	3938.82	4284.8			4649(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	-10000	25	157	0.07	50%	-1.16	31.9	4.41%	0	2.3	61	0
25	Apr_12_2017	6284.06	3749.57	3808.66	4063			4480(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	19	84	0.06	50%		8.2	4.37%	0	2.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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