Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $3794.0000 (-4.1%) ($3728.0000 - $4320.0000) on Mon. Mar. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $3794.0000(-4.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(51%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.1%

Resistance Level   $4065.98
5 Day Moving Average   $3903.2(-2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3811.4(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4065.98(-6.69%)
To recent high   -60.1%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 9.03% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2017	7555.1	4065.98	3811.4	3903.2			3794(-4.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	0.06	34%	-2.47	-45.4	4.34%	0	-0.7	40	0
2	Mar_24_2017	7746.83	4105.26	3825.79	3852.6			3956(-3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	10	-54	0.08	34%	-2.39	-45.9	4.33%	0	-0.4	42	0
3	Mar_23_2017	7936.56	4139.07	3838.58	3768.4			4110(6.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	12	-77	0.05	34%	-2.04	-46.2	4.36%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Mar_22_2017	8101.46	4169.62	3844.4	3672			3849(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	2	-115	0.06	30%	-1.92	-47.4	4.23%	0	-0.8	28	0
5	Mar_21_2017	8260.11	4204.35	3883.37	3658.2			3807(7.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	-10000	-7	-131	0.08	30%	-1.76	-44.4	4.26%	0	-1	27	0

6	Mar_20_2017	8408.27	4240.02	3922.59	3714.8			3541(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-10	-145	0.03	24%	-1.67	-41	4.12%	0	-1.8	13	0
7	Mar_17_2017	8551.49	4286.44	3993.43	3796.6			3535(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-10000	-15	-143	0.04	23%	-1.49	-43.6	4.15%	0	-2.1	25	0
8	Mar_16_2017	8680.92	4331.88	4081.78	3915.6			3628(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-14	-129	0.06	23%	-1.39	-48.2	4.18%	0	-2.2	25	0
9	Mar_15_2017	8803.65	4370.8	4185.03	4038			3780(-7.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-10000	-12	-112	0.02	23%	-1.28	-57.6	4.17%	0	-2.2	25	0
10	Mar_14_2017	8917.5	4390.43	4271.71	4138			4090(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-91	0.02	24%	-1.2	-72.5	4.1%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Mar_13_2017	9025.52	4409.93	4344.46	4164			3950(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-7	-80	0.01	24%	-1.32	-85.2	4.05%	0	-2	37	0
12	Mar_10_2017	9146.67	4451.31	4412.04	4220			4130(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-6	-65	0.01	26%	-1.36	-91.1	4.03%	0	-1.5	45	0
13	Mar_9_2017	9272.81	4490.25	4467.19	4274			4240(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0.01	26%	-1.38	-90	4.06%	0	-1.1	49	0
14	Mar_8_2017	9402.4	4532.9	4521.1	4358			4280(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-8	-21	0.01	26%	-1.44	-74	4.06%	0	-1	52	0
15	Mar_7_2017	9539.58	4575.59	4550.09	4430			4220(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-10000	-14	4	0.01	26%	-1.59	-65.4	4.05%	0	-1.2	59	0

16	Mar_6_2017	9693.23	4619.43	4582.77	4556			4230(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-8	31	0.01	26%	-1.58	-58.3	4.06%	0	-1.3	47	0
17	Mar_3_2017	9848.65	4662.76	4605.93	4630			4400(-5.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-5	34	0.01	22%	-1.58	-53.6	4.34%	0	-0.9	43	0
18	Mar_2_2017	10006.56	4707.38	4606.81	4684			4660(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-2	29	0.02	24%	-1.41	-45.5	4.34%	0	-0.1	44	0
19	Mar_1_2017	10150.1	4733.98	4574.86	4708			4640(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	2	13	0.02	24%	-1.39	-42	4.34%	0	-0.3	40	0
20	Feb_28_2017	10292.92	4770.96	4521.87	4688			4850(5.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	7	-18	0.02	24%	-1.17	-41.3	4.42%	0	0.2	42	0

21	Feb_27_2017	10414.9	4798.91	4478.33	4618			4600(-1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	4	-49	0.02	19%	-1.26	-49.3	4.35%	0	-0.5	38	0
22	Feb_24_2017	10547.71	4828.62	4489.87	4578			4670(-2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	6	-64	0.02	19%	-1.23	-61.7	4.35%	0	-0.4	39	0
23	Feb_23_2017	10679.58	4859.7	4508.33	4516			4780(5.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	9	-83	0.02	19%	-1.24	-77.7	4.39%	0	-0.2	36	0
24	Feb_22_2017	10813.13	4882.3	4533.93	4424			4540(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	10	-102	0.02	15%	-1.27	-94.2	4.31%	0	-0.8	33	0
25	Feb_21_2017	10952.19	4930.2	4590.81	4330			4500(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-31	-10000	1	-126	0.01	13%		-107.3	4.32%	0	-1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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