Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $4500.0000 (2.27%) ($4240.0000 - $4520.0000) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.32% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $4500.0000(2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(51%)    TLT(32%)    UUP(19%)    SHY(18%)    IGOV(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -2.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.16% (StdDev 4.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

Resistance Level   $4930.2
5 Day Moving Average   $4330(3.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4590.81(-1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4930.2(-8.73%)
To recent high   -63.9%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 8.87% (three month std-dev: 4.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2017	10952.19	4930.2	4590.81	4330			4500(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-31	-10000	1	-126	0.01	13%	-1.91	-107.3	4.32%	0	-1	29	0
2	Feb_17_2017	11165.36	5006.83	4648.15	4320			4400(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-8	-139	0.02	13%	-1.39	-92.3	4.36%	0	-1.1	25	0
3	Feb_16_2017	11322.47	5094.85	4717.14	4392			4360(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-11	-133	0.03	13%	-1.18	-81.4	4.38%	0	-1.2	33	0
4	Feb_15_2017	11457.84	5208.92	4812.88	4504			4320(6.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-16	-120	0.02	12%	-1.21	-73.7	4.38%	0	-1.4	31	0
5	Feb_14_2017	11598.25	5319.82	4907.12	4666			4070(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-21	-102	0.02	7%	-1.4	-68.8	4.35%	0	-1.9	25	0

6	Feb_13_2017	11762.37	5449.04	5049.43	4886			4450(-6.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-12	-70	0.02	8%	-1.18	-70.1	4.27%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Feb_10_2017	11902.58	5559.82	5156.66	5018			4760(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-21	-10000	-6	-64	0.01	8%	-1.12	-68	4.24%	0	-1.3	22	0
8	Feb_9_2017	12036.8	5653.63	5206.2	5086			4920(-4.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-25	-10000	-7	-77	0.02	8%	-1.19	-68.9	4.3%	0	-1.2	23	0
9	Feb_8_2017	12181.86	5739.56	5248.7	5168			5130(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-94	0.01	8%	-1.45	-69.9	4.31%	0	-1	20	0
10	Feb_7_2017	12361.03	5826.81	5263.14	5190			5170(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-5	-120	0.01	6%	-1.45	-74.1	4.35%	0	-1	25	0

11	Feb_6_2017	12543.09	5918.63	5296.81	5244			5110(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-5	-113	0.01	6%	-1.54	-83.3	5.27%	0	-1.2	23	0
12	Feb_3_2017	12738.76	6016.18	5390.24	5320			5100(-4.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-30	-10000	-2	-114	0.01	15%	-1.56	-91	5.27%	0	-1.3	22	0
13	Feb_2_2017	12941.13	6123.88	5496.88	5342			5330(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	0	-113	0.01	15%	-1.68	-98	5.52%	0	-1.1	24	0
14	Feb_1_2017	13162.47	6222.19	5626.13	5340			5240(-3.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-28	-10000	-0	-111	0.02	15%	-1.67	-101.9	5.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
15	Jan_31_2017	13386.08	6364.65	5755.01	5344			5440(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-114	0.02	15%	-1.2	-95.8	5.64%	0	-1.2	21	0

16	Jan_30_2017	13548.25	6557.99	5870.7	5360			5490(5.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-8	-120	0.03	15%	-1.43	-94.2	5.69%	0	-1.4	20	0
17	Jan_27_2017	13744.95	6734.23	5986.13	5482			5210(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-12	-116	0.01	20%	-1	-69.1	5.76%	0	-1.5	10	0
18	Jan_26_2017	13883.2	6916.04	6133.74	5682			5320(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-16	-109	0.01	20%	-0.97	-59.9	5.8%	0	-1.5	10	0
19	Jan_25_2017	14018.76	7067.78	6272.18	5962			5260(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-34	-10000	-14	-94	0.01	20%	-1	-56	5.84%	0	-1.6	7	0
20	Jan_24_2017	14159.9	7235.7	6444.59	6224			5520(-9.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-31	-10000	-12	-89	0.02	20%	-0.63	-57.7	5.84%	0	-1.6	6	0

21	Jan_23_2017	14249.9	7395.41	6603.23	6448			6100(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-29	-10000	-6	-99	0.02	22%	-1.01	-61	5.8%	0	-1.3	5	0
22	Jan_20_2017	14395.1	7511.95	6702.92	6562			6210(-7.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-33	-10000	-5	-115	0.02	22%	-1.1	-66.6	5.81%	0	-1.3	13	0
23	Jan_19_2017	14555.1	7636.14	6809.56	6650			6720(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	1	-125	0.01	23%	-1.07	-72.4	5.76%	0	-0.9	21	0
24	Jan_18_2017	14711.88	7748.43	6865.87	6636			6570(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-140	0.01	22%	-1.05	-78.6	5.75%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Jan_17_2017	14868.02	7900.33	7016.9	6706			6640(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-138	0.02	22%		-80.3	5.81%	0	-1.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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