Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $22170.0000 (11.18%) ($19690.0000 - $22660.0000) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.64% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $22170.0000(11.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 6.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(52%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(18%)    UUP(17%)    IGOV(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.82% (StdDev 7.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $19302(14.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17404.44(27.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17584.2(26.08%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   53.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 10.52% (three month std-dev: 7.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	29522.15	17584.2	17404.44	19302			22170(11.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	28	-10000	18	56	0.01	67%	-1.98	25	7.64%	0	2.5	58	0
2	Nov_2_2016	30118.91	17316.77	16762.24	18060			19940(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	14	8	0.01	65%	-2.05	0.2	7.53%	0	1.7	49	0
3	Nov_1_2016	30750.83	17183.18	16396.62	17154			19080(5.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	14	-23	0.02	65%	-2.18	-16.8	7.55%	0	1.3	51	0
4	Oct_31_2016	31436.69	17109.26	16189.6	16280			18030(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	12	-51	0.01	65%	-1.56	-34.7	7.51%	0	0.7	48	0
5	Oct_28_2016	31936.39	17097.3	16233.67	15566			17290(8.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	6	-62	0.02	65%	-1.26	-54.3	7.53%	0	0.1	55	0

6	Oct_27_2016	32342.55	17134.22	16378.97	15224			15960(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-1	-67	0.01	63%	-1.22	-56.9	7.46%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Oct_26_2016	32741.94	17312.51	16714.37	15280			15410(4.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-59	0.01	63%	-1.2	-52.6	7.47%	0	-1.3	43	0
8	Oct_25_2016	33139.32	17427.3	17018.42	15534			14710(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-9	-52	0.01	63%	-1.2	-55.4	7.44%	0	-2	37	0
9	Oct_24_2016	33541.24	17602.45	17399.47	16082			14460(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-14	-39	0.01	63%	-1.24	-61.7	7.43%	0	-2.4	34	0
10	Oct_21_2016	33960.83	17885.07	17655.25	16984			15580(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.01	63%	-1.22	-64.6	7.41%	0	-2.1	38	0

11	Oct_20_2016	34379.22	18021.43	17861.3	17698			16240(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9	-10000	-10	-7	0.01	63%	-1.26	-80.4	7.45%	0	-1.8	40	0
12	Oct_19_2016	34818.71	18110.24	17995.45	18362			16680(-4.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-3	-10000	-5	2	0.01	63%	-1.26	-99.6	7.46%	0	-1.6	35	0
13	Oct_18_2016	35261.34	18229.5	18107.01	18714			17450(-8.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-3	12	0.01	63%	-0.51	-92	7.45%	0	-0.6	53	0
14	Oct_17_2016	35443.09	18464.59	18160.42	18894			18970(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	7	21	0.01	66%	-1.2	-83.9	7.42%	0	0.3	57	0
15	Oct_14_2016	35871.96	18631.98	18052.53	18412			19150(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	5	-0	0.01	66%	-1.28	-70.7	7.42%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Oct_13_2016	36337.27	18847.85	17937.6	18052			19560(6.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	7	-8	0.02	66%	-1.3	-64.7	7.42%	0	0.3	57	0
17	Oct_12_2016	36816.25	19072.21	17908.79	17606			18440(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-14	0.01	66%	-1.38	-48.9	7.38%	0	-0.2	55	0
18	Oct_11_2016	37332.17	19454.56	17811.96	17438			18350(10.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.02	66%	-1.54	-34.4	7.39%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Oct_10_2016	37917.88	19852.36	17763.67	17346			16560(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-4	-48	0.01	63%	-1.56	-25.5	7.24%	0	-1	32	0
20	Oct_7_2016	38519.31	20097.03	18099.85	17630			17350(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-2	-50	0.01	58%	-1.65	-21.7	7.35%	0	-0.9	33	0

21	Oct_6_2016	39166.25	20452.31	18180.2	17790			17330(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-7	-70	0.01	58%	-1.61	-17	7.35%	0	-1	31	0
22	Oct_5_2016	39808.29	20546.43	18240	18252			17600(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.01	58%	-1.59	-17.8	7.37%	0	-0.9	30	0
23	Oct_4_2016	40452.68	20619.48	18379.56	18230			17890(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-0	-108	0.01	58%	-1.41	-22.6	7.38%	0	-0.9	27	0
24	Oct_3_2016	41032.88	20698.3	18806.86	18240			17980(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.01	58%	-1.56	-26.5	7.44%	0	-0.9	27	0
25	Sep_30_2016	41683.6	20821.48	19263.05	18642			18150(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.01	58%		-27.7	7.46%	0	-0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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