Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $37750.0000 (-0.66%) ($36750.0000 - $38250.0000) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.32% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $37750.0000(-0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -24.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(53%)    TLT(27%)    SHY(17%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(11%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -4.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    SPY(-77%)    IWF(-77%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.66% (StdDev 9.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $56974.86
5 Day Moving Average   $39650(-4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44810.44(-15.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56974.86(-33.74%)
To recent high   -63.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 25.69% (three month std-dev: 9.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	96920.71	56974.86	44810.44	39650			37750(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-10	-160	0	46%	-1.91	-54	9.32%	0	-1.3	39	0
2	Jul_13_2016	98803.37	59143.23	46708.24	41550			38000(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-11	-160	0	45%	-1.9	-45.7	9.32%	0	-1.4	33	0
3	Jul_12_2016	100714.08	61377.62	49251.1	43700			39750(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-11	-149	0	45%	-1.64	-36.5	9.36%	0	-1.5	38	0
4	Jul_11_2016	102395.2	63739.44	53186.81	46100			41250(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-9	-122	0	45%	-1.85	-24.4	9.37%	0	-1.5	39	0
5	Jul_8_2016	104328.88	65171.88	57202.75	48100			41500(-12.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-105	0	45%	-1.94	-19.3	9.39%	0	-1.7	35	0

6	Jul_7_2016	106387.55	66157.37	59119.23	50700			47250(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-8	-106	0	50%	-1.85	-15.5	9.3%	0	-1.5	38	0
7	Jul_6_2016	108397.76	66741.34	61623.08	52650			48750(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-11	-100	0	48%	-2	-13.5	9.55%	0	-1.5	37	0
8	Jul_5_2016	110609.49	67212.6	63607.69	55700			51750(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-20	-100	0	50%	-2.17	-9.1	9.62%	0	-1.3	38	0
9	Jul_1_2016	113058.47	67508.58	65229.67	61550			51250(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-10000	-19	-89	0	50%	-2.36	2.2	9.66%	0	-1.4	36	0
10	Jun_30_2016	115785.51	67901.11	67909.34	67850			54500(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0	50%	-1.98	15	9.57%	0	-1.2	50	0

11	Jun_29_2016	118122.24	68159.66	70259.89	68700			57000(-10.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-9	-33	0	48%	-1.89	13.7	9.58%	0	-1	57	0
12	Jun_28_2016	120392.65	68403.16	72740.66	71700			64000(-20.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-2	4	0	50%	-1.75	18.1	9.56%	0	-0.4	62	0
13	Jun_27_2016	122538.06	68291.13	74602.75	72400			81000(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	9	35	0.01	54%	-1.39	13.3	9.22%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Jun_24_2016	124270.2	67250.93	75003.69	69550			82750(40.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	3	46	0.01	54%	-1.21	0.1	9.29%	0	1.5	70	0
15	Jun_23_2016	125793.16	66269.84	73466.29	68500			58750(-18.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-13	57	0	48%	-1.35	-9.8	7.7%	0	-0.7	59	0

16	Jun_22_2016	127515.1	66696.35	73684.37	72200			72000(6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-7	90	0	52%	-1.27	-6	7.48%	0	0.5	68	0
17	Jun_21_2016	129157.96	66499.65	72234.33	74050			67500(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	19	-10000	-10	104	0	50%	-1.08	-6.3	7.43%	0	0.1	61	0
18	Jun_20_2016	130571.22	66854.48	71184.84	77050			66750(-13.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	21	-10000	-13	124	0	50%	-1.12	2.5	7.49%	0	-0	60	0
19	Jun_17_2016	132045.71	67244.52	70168.86	81096			77500(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	47	-10000	7	168	0	53%	-1.16	10.8	7.31%	0	1	69	0
20	Jun_16_2016	133601.84	67274.48	68056.18	79096			77250(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10000	14	148	0	53%	-1.27	7	7.33%	0	1	63	0

21	Jun_15_2016	135326.33	67297.81	66014.37	75146			81250(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	20	108	0	53%	-1.09	-2.9	7.35%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Jun_14_2016	136821.22	67121.97	63727.52	69996			82500(-5.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	23	59	0.01	53%	-1.25	-13.5	7.35%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Jun_13_2016	138548.27	66607.6	61320.88	64446			86980(28.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	-10000	31	2	0	53%	-1.04	-31.5	7.34%	0	2	56	0
24	Jun_10_2016	139997.45	66152.21	58408.79	57950			67500(17.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	13	-79	0	46%	-1.49	-51.7	6.4%	0	0.1	37	0
25	Jun_9_2016	142119.9	66545.99	57960.99	55650			57500(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-10000	1	-130	0	41%		-63	5.95%	0	-0.9	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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