Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $51750.0000 (0.98%) ($51500.0000 - $55500.0000) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.62% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $51750.0000(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -9.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -14.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(54%)    TLT(27%)    SHY(17%)    UUP(17%)    IPO(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -4.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    SPY(-77%)    IWF(-77%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.81% (StdDev 9.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $67212.6
5 Day Moving Average   $55700(-7.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63607.69(-18.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67212.6(-23.01%)
To recent high   -58.3%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 17.32% (three month std-dev: 9.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	110609.49	67212.6	63607.69	55700			51750(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-20	-100	0	50%	-2.17	-9.1	9.62%	0	-1.3	38	0
2	Jul_1_2016	113058.47	67508.58	65229.67	61550			51250(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-10000	-19	-89	0	50%	-2.36	2.2	9.66%	0	-1.4	36	0
3	Jun_30_2016	115785.51	67901.11	67909.34	67850			54500(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0	50%	-1.98	15	9.57%	0	-1.2	50	0
4	Jun_29_2016	118122.24	68159.66	70259.89	68700			57000(-10.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-9	-33	0	48%	-1.89	13.7	9.58%	0	-1	57	0
5	Jun_28_2016	120392.65	68403.16	72740.66	71700			64000(-20.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-2	4	0	50%	-1.75	18.1	9.56%	0	-0.4	62	0

6	Jun_27_2016	122538.06	68291.13	74602.75	72400			81000(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	9	35	0.01	54%	-1.39	13.3	9.22%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Jun_24_2016	124270.2	67250.93	75003.69	69550			82750(40.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	3	46	0.01	54%	-1.21	0.1	9.29%	0	1.5	70	0
8	Jun_23_2016	125793.16	66269.84	73466.29	68500			58750(-18.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-13	57	0	48%	-1.35	-9.8	7.7%	0	-0.7	59	0
9	Jun_22_2016	127515.1	66696.35	73684.37	72200			72000(6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-7	90	0	52%	-1.27	-6	7.48%	0	0.5	68	0
10	Jun_21_2016	129157.96	66499.65	72234.33	74050			67500(1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	19	-10000	-10	104	0	50%	-1.08	-6.3	7.43%	0	0.1	61	0

11	Jun_20_2016	130571.22	66854.48	71184.84	77050			66750(-13.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	21	-10000	-13	124	0	50%	-1.12	2.5	7.49%	0	-0	60	0
12	Jun_17_2016	132045.71	67244.52	70168.86	81096			77500(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	47	-10000	7	168	0	53%	-1.16	10.8	7.31%	0	1	69	0
13	Jun_16_2016	133601.84	67274.48	68056.18	79096			77250(-4.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10000	14	148	0	53%	-1.27	7	7.33%	0	1	63	0
14	Jun_15_2016	135326.33	67297.81	66014.37	75146			81250(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	20	108	0	53%	-1.09	-2.9	7.35%	0	1.3	63	0
15	Jun_14_2016	136821.22	67121.97	63727.52	69996			82500(-5.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	23	59	0.01	53%	-1.25	-13.5	7.35%	0	1.5	61	0

16	Jun_13_2016	138548.27	66607.6	61320.88	64446			86980(28.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	24	-10000	31	2	0	53%	-1.04	-31.5	7.34%	0	2	56	0
17	Jun_10_2016	139997.45	66152.21	58408.79	57950			67500(17.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	13	-79	0	46%	-1.49	-51.7	6.4%	0	0.1	37	0
18	Jun_9_2016	142119.9	66545.99	57960.99	55650			57500(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-10000	1	-130	0	41%	-1.55	-63	5.95%	0	-0.9	11	0
19	Jun_8_2016	144362.24	67603.45	58785.71	55550			55500(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-5	-151	0	41%	-1.46	-69.3	5.92%	0	-1.2	6	0
20	Jun_7_2016	146494.9	68582.87	60079.67	56400			54750(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-7	-157	0	41%	-0.64	-77.3	6%	0	-1.4	4	0

21	Jun_6_2016	147440.72	69961.33	62095.6	57550			54500(-2.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-7	-147	0	41%	-1.45	-78.4	6%	0	-1.6	21	0
22	Jun_3_2016	149605.67	71558.98	64163.19	58850			56000(-1.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-10000	-10	-144	0	41%	-1.12	-81.3	6.02%	0	-1.7	18	0
23	Jun_2_2016	151293.81	73426.11	66581.87	60600			57000(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10000	-10	-126	0	41%	-1.22	-73.7	6.04%	0	-1.7	29	0
24	Jun_1_2016	153164.95	75280.66	68897.8	62500			59750(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-10	-111	0	37%	-0.93	-63.9	6.04%	0	-1.6	30	0
25	May_31_2016	154597.94	76890.47	71001.65	64350			60500(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-15	-93	0	41%		-59.1	6.13%	0	-1.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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