Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TVIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $86750.0000 (-3.88%) ($86000.0000 - $89750.0000) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.72% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $86750.0000(-3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -12.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(56%)    TLT(28%)    SHY(18%)    UUP(18%)    IBUY(11%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-77%)    QQQ(-77%)    IWF(-77%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.36% (StdDev 6.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $102768.09
5 Day Moving Average   $89600(-3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92811.54(-6.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102768.09(-15.59%)
To recent high   -72.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 11.7% (three month std-dev: 6.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2016	177604.17	102768.09	92811.54	89600			86750(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-1	-112	0	48%	-0.34	-67.4	6.72%	0	-1.3	40	0
2	Apr_25_2016	178203.13	104215.75	95384.62	90000			90250(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-10000	2	-111	0	48%	-0.28	-68.6	6.79%	0	-1.1	35	0
3	Apr_22_2016	178705.73	106020.72	98323.08	89450			88500(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-7	-106	0	43%	-0.45	-74.6	6.93%	0	-1.4	42	0
4	Apr_21_2016	179520.83	108089.09	101188.46	91700			93000(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0	43%	-0.31	-71.4	7.18%	0	-1.2	47	0
5	Apr_20_2016	180085.94	109962.98	104176.92	93750			89500(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-8	-70	0	43%	-0.28	-70.6	7.15%	0	-1.6	42	0

6	Apr_19_2016	180591.15	111572.1	106048.9	96650			88750(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-14	-63	0	43%	-0.35	-81.3	7.19%	0	-1.9	43	0
7	Apr_18_2016	181218.75	113430.25	109258.79	101650			87500(-12.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-17	-41	0	43%	-0.37	-88.2	7.18%	0	-2.4	39	0
8	Apr_15_2016	181882.81	115903.73	111686.26	108450			99750(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0	53%	-0.47	-87.5	7.11%	0	-1.6	39	0
9	Apr_14_2016	182747.37	117754.14	112404.95	112050			103250(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0	53%	-0.26	-91.2	7.61%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Apr_13_2016	183218.42	119787.85	113192.86	116200			104000(-8.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0	58%	-0.28	-86.6	7.66%	0	-1.4	39	0

11	Apr_12_2016	183728.95	122227.9	113820.88	116700			113750(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0	60%	-0.21	-83.8	8.04%	0	-0.7	49	0
12	Apr_11_2016	184115.79	124017.54	113929.67	117950			121500(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	5	-21	0	60%	-0.21	-80.1	8.09%	0	-0.2	50	0
13	Apr_8_2016	184510.53	125608.15	114253.85	115450			117750(-5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	6	-34	0	62%	-0.3	-79.6	8.1%	0	-0.5	43	0
14	Apr_7_2016	185063.16	128098.48	115303.3	112850			124000(16.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-46	0	66%	-0.2	-71.1	8.2%	0	-0.2	44	0
15	Apr_6_2016	185442.11	130515.75	115747.25	110000			106500(-11.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-63	0	63%	-0.43	-65.7	8.41%	0	-1.1	31	0

16	Apr_5_2016	186234.21	134140.06	117199.45	110450			120000(10.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	2	-77	0	67%	-0.26	-61.4	8.33%	0	-0.6	31	0
17	Apr_4_2016	186713.16	136526.52	117551.65	109450			109000(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-8	-98	0	67%	-0.54	-68.3	8.26%	0	-1.2	25	0
18	Apr_1_2016	187731.58	139531.77	120205.49	113050			104750(-4.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0	67%	-0.43	-72.5	8.41%	0	-1.5	19	0
19	Mar_31_2016	188542.11	142639.5	123463.19	118150			109750(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-8	-95	0	67%	-0.25	-78.2	8.46%	0	-1.5	17	0
20	Mar_30_2016	189010.53	145971.55	126952.2	122400			108750(-5.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0	67%	-0.22	-83.8	8.47%	0	-1.7	16	0

21	Mar_29_2016	189428.95	149765.06	131486.81	124700			115000(-9.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-4	-99	0	67%	-0.23	-91	8.47%	0	-1.6	16	0
22	Mar_28_2016	189871.05	154828.87	135151.1	126600			127000(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-3	-101	0	71%	0.14	-77.3	8.38%	0	-1.1	29	0
23	Mar_24_2016	189611.98	158989.78	137978.57	128450			130250(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-2	-101	0	71%	-0.14	-70.3	8.38%	0	-1	30	0
24	Mar_23_2016	189875	162792.96	141857.69	129800			131000(8.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-5	-97	0	71%	-0.09	-70.2	8.39%	0	-1.1	33	0
25	Mar_22_2016	190041.67	167245.99	146238.46	132600			120250(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	-10000	-12	-93	0	69%		-68.6	8.33%	0	-1.5	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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