Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TVIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $113750.0000 (-6.38%) ($112000.0000 - $127000.0000) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.04% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $113750.0000(-6.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(56%)    TLT(29%)    SHY(18%)    UUP(18%)    GLD(9%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -4.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-77%)    IWF(-77%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.02% (StdDev 8.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

Resistance Level   $122227.9
5 Day Moving Average   $116700(-2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113820.88(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122227.9(-6.94%)
To recent high   -64.3%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 10.6% (three month std-dev: 8.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	183728.95	122227.9	113820.88	116700			113750(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0	60%	-0.21	-83.8	8.04%	0	-0.7	49	0
2	Apr_11_2016	184115.79	124017.54	113929.67	117950			121500(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	5	-21	0	60%	-0.21	-80.1	8.09%	0	-0.2	50	0
3	Apr_8_2016	184510.53	125608.15	114253.85	115450			117750(-5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	6	-34	0	62%	-0.3	-79.6	8.1%	0	-0.5	43	0
4	Apr_7_2016	185063.16	128098.48	115303.3	112850			124000(16.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-46	0	66%	-0.2	-71.1	8.2%	0	-0.2	44	0
5	Apr_6_2016	185442.11	130515.75	115747.25	110000			106500(-11.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-63	0	63%	-0.43	-65.7	8.41%	0	-1.1	31	0

6	Apr_5_2016	186234.21	134140.06	117199.45	110450			120000(10.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	2	-77	0	67%	-0.26	-61.4	8.33%	0	-0.6	31	0
7	Apr_4_2016	186713.16	136526.52	117551.65	109450			109000(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-8	-98	0	67%	-0.54	-68.3	8.26%	0	-1.2	25	0
8	Apr_1_2016	187731.58	139531.77	120205.49	113050			104750(-4.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0	67%	-0.43	-72.5	8.41%	0	-1.5	19	0
9	Mar_31_2016	188542.11	142639.5	123463.19	118150			109750(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-8	-95	0	67%	-0.25	-78.2	8.46%	0	-1.5	17	0
10	Mar_30_2016	189010.53	145971.55	126952.2	122400			108750(-5.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0	67%	-0.22	-83.8	8.47%	0	-1.7	16	0

11	Mar_29_2016	189428.95	149765.06	131486.81	124700			115000(-9.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-4	-99	0	67%	-0.23	-91	8.47%	0	-1.6	16	0
12	Mar_28_2016	189871.05	154828.87	135151.1	126600			127000(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-3	-101	0	71%	0.14	-77.3	8.38%	0	-1.1	29	0
13	Mar_24_2016	189611.98	158989.78	137978.57	128450			130250(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-2	-101	0	71%	-0.14	-70.3	8.38%	0	-1	30	0
14	Mar_23_2016	189875	162792.96	141857.69	129800			131000(8.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-5	-97	0	71%	-0.09	-70.2	8.39%	0	-1.1	33	0
15	Mar_22_2016	190041.67	167245.99	146238.46	132600			120250(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-32	-10000	-12	-93	0	69%	-0.11	-68.6	8.33%	0	-1.5	21	0

16	Mar_21_2016	190260.42	172483.56	152330.22	139450			124500(-8.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-26	-10000	-9	-77	0	69%	-0.17	-72.8	8.4%	0	-1.6	20	0
17	Mar_18_2016	190585.94	176613.4	157020.88	144850			136250(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-25	-10000	-6	-80	0	76%	-0.09	-80.3	8.42%	0	-1.4	17	0
18	Mar_17_2016	190750	181306.49	160448.35	148850			137000(-5.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-10	-85	0	76%	-0.06	-85.2	8.67%	0	-1.5	21	0
19	Mar_16_2016	190864.58	186569.34	163525.82	155700			145000(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-9	-84	0	70%	-0.06	-85.1	8.7%	0	-1.4	26	0
20	Mar_15_2016	190986.98	191489.23	166714.84	162050			154500(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-7	-85	0	70%	-0.05	-80.4	8.83%	0	-1.1	25	0

21	Mar_14_2016	191075.52	196884.81	169650	167400			151500(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-25	-10000	-5	-86	0	65%	-0.02	-80.5	8.89%	0	-1.4	22	0
22	Mar_11_2016	191106.77	203683.84	176162.64	171000			156250(-8.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0	70%	0.02	-66.6	9.08%	0	-1.3	35	0
23	Mar_10_2016	191072.92	211492.4	181706.04	173550			171250(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	1	-66	0	70%	-0.07	-49.6	9.77%	0	-1	33	0
24	Mar_9_2016	191210.94	216987.29	185241.76	172350			176750(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	0	-76	0	70%	0.08	-44.5	9.76%	0	-0.9	31	0
25	Mar_8_2016	191062.5	222058.29	189547.8	172150			181250(6.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-1	-82	0	70%		-40.4	9.8%	0	-0.9	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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