Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $274250.0000 (9.37%) ($264250.0000 - $295250.0000) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.37% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $274250.0000(9.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 5.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(57%)    TLT(29%)    SHY(18%)    UUP(18%)    GLD(9%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -5.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-78%)    VT(-78%)    SPY(-78%)    IWF(-78%)    QQQ(-77%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.185% (StdDev 10.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $243500(12.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $234463.74(16.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $238995.99(14.75%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   98.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 9.56% (three month std-dev: 10.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2016	195813.89	238995.99	234463.74	243500			274250(9.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	-10000	11	-10	0	70%	-0.08	54.4	10.37%	0	1.5	52	0
2	Feb_5_2016	195968.53	236848.76	231548.9	229850			250750(8.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	7	-33	0	70%	0.1	57.4	10.35%	0	0.7	48	0
3	Feb_4_2016	195775.23	235017.82	229168.68	221950			232000(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	0	-45	0	70%	-0.01	60.2	10.34%	0	-0.1	57	0
4	Feb_3_2016	195801.01	232500.69	233032.42	221550			227500(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	70%	-0.2	57.9	10.35%	0	-0.2	51	0
5	Feb_2_2016	196203.07	229766.85	237653.85	225300			233000(13.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	1	-17	0	70%	-0.52	58.2	10.35%	0	0.1	61	0

6	Feb_1_2016	197226.26	227183.98	240619.23	224250			206000(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-8	-13	0	68%	-0.65	58.2	10.32%	0	-0.7	52	0
7	Jan_29_2016	198520.08	225192.54	246680.22	233400			211250(-8.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	7	0	68%	-0.7	69.4	10.31%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	Jan_28_2016	199924.72	222634.67	248248.9	236950			230000(-6.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-7	12	0	68%	-0.7	66.3	10.25%	0	0.2	57	0
9	Jan_27_2016	201334.51	218683.98	249424.18	246050			246250(8.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-5	41	0	68%	-0.53	65.8	10.24%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Jan_26_2016	202411.83	213890.88	245214.84	252250			227750(-9.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-6	62	0	68%	0.13	61.9	10.22%	0	0.3	67	0

11	Jan_25_2016	202147.89	210265.19	244844.51	259600			251750(9.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-2	90	0	68%	-0.88	63.9	10.14%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Jan_22_2016	203947.37	205056.35	243162.64	262150			229000(-16.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	32	-10000	1	124	0	64%	-0.73	66.5	10.08%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Jan_21_2016	205449.97	201349.59	242034.07	260300			275500(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	6	147	0	70%	-0.51	61.4	10.09%	0	1.6	77	0
14	Jan_20_2016	206504.66	195699.59	232212.09	252900			277250(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	13	155	0	70%	-1.04	56.5	10.2%	0	1.8	78	0
15	Jan_19_2016	208666.12	190698.2	221094.51	237200			264500(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	40	-10000	8	137	0	66%	-1.18	44.6	10.21%	0	1.8	76	0

16	Jan_15_2016	211154.1	185205.66	212151.1	228200			264500(20.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	5	134	0	63%	-0.22	42.1	10.3%	0	2.2	74	0
17	Jan_14_2016	211628.32	179107.46	201234.07	222300			219750(-7.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	1	137	0	61%	-0.38	40.6	10.16%	0	1.3	71	0
18	Jan_13_2016	212440.18	176460.22	194600	221000			238500(20%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	12	147	0	61%	-0.61	44	10.11%	0	2	72	0
19	Jan_12_2016	213746.88	173388.67	185082.42	208300			198750(-9.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	7	116	0	58%	-0.55	43.8	9.86%	0	1	60	0
20	Jan_11_2016	214935.03	173971.55	180037.91	201600			219500(-6.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	90	0	58%	-0.05	52.7	9.9%	0	1.8	58	0

21	Jan_8_2016	215035.54	171169.75	172935.71	192950			235000(10.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	32	-10000	18	74	0	58%	0.31	43.1	9.86%	0	2.5	67	0
22	Jan_7_2016	214378.32	167295.72	163539.56	177250			213250(21.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	15	39	0	56%	0.32	34.6	9.86%	0	2.2	68	0
23	Jan_6_2016	213690.18	164059.25	156971.98	164800			175000(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	8	3	0	52%	0.16	23.8	9.49%	0	0.6	52	0
24	Jan_5_2016	213339.66	162565.47	155955.49	158600			165250(-6.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	5	-18	0	52%	0.13	12.8	9.46%	0	0.2	45	0
25	Jan_4_2016	213053.58	161341.44	157639.01	154850			176250(12.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	7	-35	0	52%		3.6	9.54%	0	0.8	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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