Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TVIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $218250.0000 (29.72%) ($182000.0000 - $225000.0000) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.02% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $218250.0000(29.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 10.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(59%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(20%)    UUP(14%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -5.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.01% (StdDev 10.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 17.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $169450(28.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159644.51(36.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161425.97(35.2%)
To recent high   -35.1%
To recent low   58.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 12.45% (three month std-dev: 10.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2015	209592.9	161425.97	159644.51	169450			218250(29.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	28	-10000	21	47	0	53%	0.33	17.1	10.02%	0	2.8	66	0
2	Dec_10_2015	208895.93	159166.16	152297.8	153500			168250(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-1	-10000	0	-3	0	46%	0.11	2.6	9.3%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Dec_9_2015	208668.66	158445.58	150115.38	153200			164250(7.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	5	-7	0	46%	0.08	1.8	9.31%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Dec_8_2015	208496.94	157683.15	148742.31	149800			152250(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-26	0	42%	0.01	-3.6	9.27%	0	-0.3	41	0
5	Dec_7_2015	208474.22	157962.02	148508.24	146950			144250(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-39	0	42%	-0.03	-4.2	9.46%	0	-0.9	45	0

6	Dec_4_2015	208544.92	158063.4	149932.97	147900			138500(-16.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0	46%	-0.08	-6.1	9.51%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Dec_3_2015	208706.54	158753.45	153048.35	150450			166750(13.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	5	-50	0	49%	-0.05	-2.6	9.48%	0	0.5	48	0
8	Dec_2_2015	208810.08	158163.81	152143.41	146700			147250(6.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-2	-60	0	42%	-0.15	-7.2	9.31%	0	-0.7	52	0
9	Dec_1_2015	209123.21	158275.69	155369.23	147750			138000(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-3	-47	0	49%	-0.21	-8.1	9.63%	0	-1.3	52	0
10	Nov_30_2015	209562.6	158646.27	158243.41	150250			149000(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0	49%	-0.37	-10	10.39%	0	-0.6	52	0

11	Nov_27_2015	210332.8	159053.73	163571.98	152250			151250(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-15	0	51%	-0.8	-6.3	10.49%	0	-0.5	57	0
12	Nov_25_2015	212021.98	159171.55	166610.44	156050			148000(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-3	3	0	50%	-0.34	0.3	10.65%	0	-0.7	54	0
13	Nov_24_2015	212739.48	159292.13	167602.2	158450			152500(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-7	6	0	56%	-0.43	-6.1	10.85%	0	-0.5	53	0
14	Nov_23_2015	213659.48	159553.18	167585.16	164300			150500(-5.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-3	18	0	56%	-0.3	3	11.79%	0	-0.6	55	0
15	Nov_20_2015	214297.45	160207.87	168549.45	167300			159000(-6.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-8	25	0	61%	-0.35	11.6	12.48%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Nov_19_2015	215039.87	160014.78	167313.74	176650			170250(6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-2	41	0	61%	-0.17	22.8	12.61%	0	0.7	56	0
17	Nov_18_2015	215413.61	159124.31	165322.53	178950			160000(-11.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	13	-10000	1	48	0	61%	-0.37	17.6	12.6%	0	0.1	55	0
18	Nov_17_2015	216221.69	160205.94	165019.23	177800			181750(9.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	52	0	61%	-0.29	8.3	12.49%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Nov_16_2015	216845.43	159102.9	161502.2	171150			165500(-19.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	2	36	0	61%	-0.08	-15.3	12.45%	0	0.4	55	0
20	Nov_13_2015	217012.1	158504.42	159212.09	169450			205750(13.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	18	-10000	13	32	0	64%	0.1	-27.1	12.19%	0	3.1	62	0

21	Nov_12_2015	216794.92	156705.11	153663.74	156900			181750(17.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	7	8	0	63%	0	-70.3	12.11%	0	2	60	0
22	Nov_11_2015	216787.35	156419.48	150357.69	150350			154250(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-7	0	62%	-0.1	-72.5	11.92%	0	-0.1	52	0
23	Nov_10_2015	216996.94	158921.27	149708.24	150600			148500(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-17	0	62%	-0.18	-68.2	11.96%	0	-0.6	37	0
24	Nov_9_2015	217391.14	161416.44	150478.02	150300			157000(9.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0	62%	-0.22	-76	11.97%	0	-0.2	50	0
25	Nov_6_2015	217863.36	162761.74	150876.37	147150			143000(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	62%		-80.5	11.93%	0	-0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.