Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $170250.0000 (6.41%) ($161250.0000 - $174000.0000) on Thu. Nov. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.61% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $170250.0000(6.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(59%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(20%)    UUP(14%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -6.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.305% (StdDev 12.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $176650(-3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $167313.74(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $160014.78(6.4%)
To recent high   -64.9%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.16%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.16% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 9.26% (three month std-dev: 12.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2015	215039.87	160014.78	167313.74	176650			170250(6.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-2	41	0	61%	-0.17	22.8	12.61%	0	0.7	56	0
2	Nov_18_2015	215413.61	159124.31	165322.53	178950			160000(-11.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	13	-10000	1	48	0	61%	-0.37	17.6	12.6%	0	0.1	55	0
3	Nov_17_2015	216221.69	160205.94	165019.23	177800			181750(9.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	52	0	61%	-0.29	8.3	12.49%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Nov_16_2015	216845.43	159102.9	161502.2	171150			165500(-19.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	2	36	0	61%	-0.08	-15.3	12.45%	0	0.4	55	0
5	Nov_13_2015	217012.1	158504.42	159212.09	169450			205750(13.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	18	-10000	13	32	0	64%	0.1	-27.1	12.19%	0	3.1	62	0

6	Nov_12_2015	216794.92	156705.11	153663.74	156900			181750(17.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	7	8	0	63%	0	-70.3	12.11%	0	2	60	0
7	Nov_11_2015	216787.35	156419.48	150357.69	150350			154250(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-7	0	62%	-0.1	-72.5	11.92%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Nov_10_2015	216996.94	158921.27	149708.24	150600			148500(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-17	0	62%	-0.18	-68.2	11.96%	0	-0.6	37	0
9	Nov_9_2015	217391.14	161416.44	150478.02	150300			157000(9.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0	62%	-0.22	-76	11.97%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Nov_6_2015	217863.36	162761.74	150876.37	147150			143000(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	62%	-0.26	-80.5	11.93%	0	-0.9	49	0

11	Nov_5_2015	218439.12	165966.99	152091.21	149700			149000(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0	62%	-0.29	-83.9	11.94%	0	-0.8	43	0
12	Nov_4_2015	219080.53	168851.8	152523.63	150300			155500(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	0	62%	-0.27	-86.4	11.93%	0	-0.5	43	0
13	Nov_3_2015	219673.21	172369.2	155074.73	148800			147000(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0	62%	-0.34	-86.2	11.91%	0	-0.9	34	0
14	Nov_2_2015	220433.06	176905.8	156659.89	150750			141250(-9.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0	62%	-0.3	-90.8	11.91%	0	-1.2	35	0
15	Oct_30_2015	221093.16	181603.04	158135.16	155100			155750(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	0	-50	0	62%	-0.21	-88.4	11.85%	0	-0.8	44	0

16	Oct_29_2015	221564.62	186931.35	160130.22	154850			152000(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-0	-58	0	62%	-0.27	-77.4	11.85%	0	-0.9	38	0
17	Oct_28_2015	222154.27	193907.04	162975.82	155050			148000(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-67	0	60%	-0.36	-68.6	11.86%	0	-1	36	0
18	Oct_27_2015	222967.15	201444.34	168857.69	162350			156750(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	0	61%	-0.34	-55.7	11.98%	0	-0.8	34	0
19	Oct_26_2015	223732.3	210000.69	173173.08	163500			163000(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	2	-63	0	61%	-0.29	-48.1	12.03%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Oct_23_2015	224373.71	218206.77	175467.03	161650			154500(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0	61%	-0.36	-44.1	12.04%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Oct_22_2015	225185.08	225180.39	180903.85	166200			153000(-17.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-6	-83	0	61%	-0.3	-43.5	12.04%	0	-1.3	28	0
22	Oct_21_2015	225861.84	231676.93	186584.62	171900			184500(13.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0	64%	-0.18	-40.5	11.83%	0	-0.9	28	0
23	Oct_20_2015	226275.98	235803.18	190795.05	176900			162500(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0	62%	-0.26	-37.2	11.73%	0	-1.4	20	0
24	Oct_19_2015	226856.79	241805.25	198586.26	184700			153750(-13.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	-10000	-6	-106	0	62%	-0.31	-35.3	11.72%	0	-1.7	14	0
25	Oct_16_2015	227553.76	247193.37	207104.4	191100			177250(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0	62%		-41.6	11.59%	0	-1.5	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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