Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $181750.0000 (17.83%) ($158750.0000 - $182000.0000) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.11% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $181750.0000(17.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(60%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(20%)    UUP(14%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -6.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.055% (StdDev 12.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 12%

5 Day Moving Average   $156900(15.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153663.74(18.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156705.11(15.98%)
To recent high   -62.5%
To recent low   32.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.15%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.15% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 7.94% (three month std-dev: 12.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2015	216794.92	156705.11	153663.74	156900			181750(17.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	7	8	0	63%	0	-70.3	12.11%	0	2	60	0
2	Nov_11_2015	216787.35	156419.48	150357.69	150350			154250(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-0	-7	0	62%	-0.1	-72.5	11.92%	0	-0.1	52	0
3	Nov_10_2015	216996.94	158921.27	149708.24	150600			148500(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-17	0	62%	-0.18	-68.2	11.96%	0	-0.6	37	0
4	Nov_9_2015	217391.14	161416.44	150478.02	150300			157000(9.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0	62%	-0.22	-76	11.97%	0	-0.2	50	0
5	Nov_6_2015	217863.36	162761.74	150876.37	147150			143000(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	62%	-0.26	-80.5	11.93%	0	-0.9	49	0

6	Nov_5_2015	218439.12	165966.99	152091.21	149700			149000(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0	62%	-0.29	-83.9	11.94%	0	-0.8	43	0
7	Nov_4_2015	219080.53	168851.8	152523.63	150300			155500(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	0	62%	-0.27	-86.4	11.93%	0	-0.5	43	0
8	Nov_3_2015	219673.21	172369.2	155074.73	148800			147000(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0	62%	-0.34	-86.2	11.91%	0	-0.9	34	0
9	Nov_2_2015	220433.06	176905.8	156659.89	150750			141250(-9.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0	62%	-0.3	-90.8	11.91%	0	-1.2	35	0
10	Oct_30_2015	221093.16	181603.04	158135.16	155100			155750(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	0	-50	0	62%	-0.21	-88.4	11.85%	0	-0.8	44	0

11	Oct_29_2015	221564.62	186931.35	160130.22	154850			152000(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-0	-58	0	62%	-0.27	-77.4	11.85%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Oct_28_2015	222154.27	193907.04	162975.82	155050			148000(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-67	0	60%	-0.36	-68.6	11.86%	0	-1	36	0
13	Oct_27_2015	222967.15	201444.34	168857.69	162350			156750(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	0	61%	-0.34	-55.7	11.98%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Oct_26_2015	223732.3	210000.69	173173.08	163500			163000(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	2	-63	0	61%	-0.29	-48.1	12.03%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Oct_23_2015	224373.71	218206.77	175467.03	161650			154500(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0	61%	-0.36	-44.1	12.04%	0	-1.1	32	0

16	Oct_22_2015	225185.08	225180.39	180903.85	166200			153000(-17.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-6	-83	0	61%	-0.3	-43.5	12.04%	0	-1.3	28	0
17	Oct_21_2015	225861.84	231676.93	186584.62	171900			184500(13.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0	64%	-0.18	-40.5	11.83%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Oct_20_2015	226275.98	235803.18	190795.05	176900			162500(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0	62%	-0.26	-37.2	11.73%	0	-1.4	20	0
19	Oct_19_2015	226856.79	241805.25	198586.26	184700			153750(-13.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	-10000	-6	-106	0	62%	-0.31	-35.3	11.72%	0	-1.7	14	0
20	Oct_16_2015	227553.76	247193.37	207104.4	191100			177250(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0	62%	-0.2	-41.6	11.59%	0	-1.5	16	0

21	Oct_15_2015	228010.83	253004.8	215964.84	197550			181500(-13.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-5	-109	0	62%	-0.16	-44.8	11.71%	0	-1.6	30	0
22	Oct_14_2015	228374.47	256078.95	227319.23	203050			209500(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-4	-100	0	65%	-0.11	-55.4	11.58%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Oct_13_2015	228626.99	257730.44	236310.99	207250			201500(8.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-91	0	61%	-0.12	-67.3	11.58%	0	-1.4	40	0
24	Oct_12_2015	228903.8	261274.19	249269.23	215300			185750(-11.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-8	-73	0	61%	-0.15	-69.8	11.8%	0	-1.8	33	0
25	Oct_9_2015	229249.72	268675.13	264086.26	225550			209500(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0	59%		-76.4	11.88%	0	-1.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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