Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $155500.0000 (5.78%) ($143500.0000 - $158000.0000) on Wed. Nov. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.93% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $155500.0000(5.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(60%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(20%)    UUP(13%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -5.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.965% (StdDev 11.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

Resistance Level   $168851.8
5 Day Moving Average   $150300(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $152523.63(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168851.8(-7.91%)
To recent high   -67.9%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.14%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.14% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 14.96% (three month std-dev: 11.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2015	219080.53	168851.8	152523.63	150300			155500(5.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-31	0	62%	-0.27	-86.4	11.93%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Nov_3_2015	219673.21	172369.2	155074.73	148800			147000(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0	62%	-0.34	-86.2	11.91%	0	-0.9	34	0
3	Nov_2_2015	220433.06	176905.8	156659.89	150750			141250(-9.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-50	0	62%	-0.3	-90.8	11.91%	0	-1.2	35	0
4	Oct_30_2015	221093.16	181603.04	158135.16	155100			155750(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	0	-50	0	62%	-0.21	-88.4	11.85%	0	-0.8	44	0
5	Oct_29_2015	221564.62	186931.35	160130.22	154850			152000(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-0	-58	0	62%	-0.27	-77.4	11.85%	0	-0.9	38	0

6	Oct_28_2015	222154.27	193907.04	162975.82	155050			148000(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-67	0	60%	-0.36	-68.6	11.86%	0	-1	36	0
7	Oct_27_2015	222967.15	201444.34	168857.69	162350			156750(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-58	0	61%	-0.34	-55.7	11.98%	0	-0.8	34	0
8	Oct_26_2015	223732.3	210000.69	173173.08	163500			163000(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	2	-63	0	61%	-0.29	-48.1	12.03%	0	-0.8	34	0
9	Oct_23_2015	224373.71	218206.77	175467.03	161650			154500(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0	61%	-0.36	-44.1	12.04%	0	-1.1	32	0
10	Oct_22_2015	225185.08	225180.39	180903.85	166200			153000(-17.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-6	-83	0	61%	-0.3	-43.5	12.04%	0	-1.3	28	0

11	Oct_21_2015	225861.84	231676.93	186584.62	171900			184500(13.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0	64%	-0.18	-40.5	11.83%	0	-0.9	28	0
12	Oct_20_2015	226275.98	235803.18	190795.05	176900			162500(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0	62%	-0.26	-37.2	11.73%	0	-1.4	20	0
13	Oct_19_2015	226856.79	241805.25	198586.26	184700			153750(-13.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	-10000	-6	-106	0	62%	-0.31	-35.3	11.72%	0	-1.7	14	0
14	Oct_16_2015	227553.76	247193.37	207104.4	191100			177250(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0	62%	-0.2	-41.6	11.59%	0	-1.5	16	0
15	Oct_15_2015	228010.83	253004.8	215964.84	197550			181500(-13.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-5	-109	0	62%	-0.16	-44.8	11.71%	0	-1.6	30	0

16	Oct_14_2015	228374.47	256078.95	227319.23	203050			209500(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-4	-100	0	65%	-0.11	-55.4	11.58%	0	-1.1	38	0
17	Oct_13_2015	228626.99	257730.44	236310.99	207250			201500(8.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-91	0	61%	-0.12	-67.3	11.58%	0	-1.4	40	0
18	Oct_12_2015	228903.8	261274.19	249269.23	215300			185750(-11.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-8	-73	0	61%	-0.15	-69.8	11.8%	0	-1.8	33	0
19	Oct_9_2015	229249.72	268675.13	264086.26	225550			209500(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0	59%	-0.05	-76.4	11.88%	0	-1.5	45	0
20	Oct_8_2015	229356.86	274798.17	272940.11	237250			209000(-9.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-12	-41	0	61%	-0.1	-73.8	11.88%	0	-1.6	39	0

21	Oct_7_2015	229596.66	281732.53	280751.1	255200			230500(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-9	-16	0	59%	-0.01	-65.7	12.05%	0	-1.2	55	0
22	Oct_6_2015	229619.62	288405.15	284932.97	270000			241750(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10000	-11	2	0	59%	-0	-68.6	12.11%	0	-1.1	57	0
23	Oct_5_2015	229625.74	293809.27	289144.51	288900			237000(-11.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-10	24	0	59%	-0.1	-61.4	12.12%	0	-1.4	50	0
24	Oct_2_2015	229860.43	302839.07	291619.99	308300			268000(-10.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-3	34	0	60%	0.02	-37.1	12.12%	0	-0.7	45	0
25	Oct_1_2015	229804.31	307949.13	294036.91	313450			298750(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	2	35	0	58%		-28.5	12.11%	0	-0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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