Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $304500.0000 (-9.44%) ($300250.0000 - $324490.0000) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.25% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $304500.0000(-9.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(60%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(20%)    UUP(12%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -6.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VUG(-79%)    VT(-79%)    SPY(-78%)    QQQ(-78%)    IWF(-78%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.125% (StdDev 12.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $311558.08
5 Day Moving Average   $309600(-1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $287895.04(5.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $311558.08(-2.27%)
To recent high   -37.2%
To recent low   128.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.15%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.15% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 16.32% (three month std-dev: 12.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2015	229561.96	311558.08	287895.04	309600			304500(-9.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	4	13	0	58%	0.1	-23.3	12.25%	0	-0.1	47	0
2	Sep_29_2015	229337.47	319722.41	281187.23	301550			336250(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	7	-13	0	62%	0.23	-14.5	12.18%	0	0.3	47	0
3	Sep_28_2015	228814.52	321057.05	273650.3	289850			334000(13.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	9	-34	0	62%	0.28	-15.6	12.83%	0	0.2	49	0
4	Sep_25_2015	228186.96	321439.2	272137	273389.5			293750(5.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-63	0	60%	-0.03	-14.8	12.75%	0	-0.4	37	0
5	Sep_24_2015	228250.74	322529.51	275063.81	272489.5			279500(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	6	-67	0	60%	-0.13	-6	12.74%	0	-0.7	42	0

6	Sep_23_2015	228536.45	323887.21	281112.59	262989.5			264250(-4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	4	-77	0	59%	-0.14	0.4	12.73%	0	-0.9	40	0
7	Sep_22_2015	228850.23	329093.54	290754.79	257039.5			277750(10.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0	58%	-0.02	14.4	12.74%	0	-0.8	34	0
8	Sep_21_2015	228898.7	331308.84	297667.31	254789.5			251697.5(-12.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-9	-100	0	58%	-0.14	27.9	12.75%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Sep_18_2015	229213.01	331205.25	314306.04	270900			289250(24.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-5	-80	0	59%	-0.07	42.8	12.62%	0	-0.7	50	0
10	Sep_17_2015	229373.72	326398.2	322497.25	279350			232000(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-12	-73	0	57%	-0.28	44.4	12.3%	0	-1.3	48	0

11	Sep_16_2015	230016.58	323612.98	337605.49	302450			234500(-12.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0	57%	-0.2	50.8	12.3%	0	-1.1	50	0
12	Sep_15_2015	230480.87	320394.89	362483.52	328900			266500(-19.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0	58%	-0.15	58	12.21%	0	-0.6	46	0
13	Sep_14_2015	230822.7	315182.87	373939.56	345750			332250(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-8	4	0	61%	0.22	61.2	11.95%	0	0.2	57	0
14	Sep_11_2015	230315.05	306409.67	376044.51	364200			331500(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-4	37	0	61%	0.18	65.4	11.95%	0	0.2	66	0
15	Sep_10_2015	229891.58	297572.93	375152.75	372550			347500(-5.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	0	59%	0.23	66.2	11.94%	0	0.5	73	0

16	Sep_9_2015	229355.87	287906.22	371340.11	378400			366750(4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-10	97	0	59%	0.31	68.2	11.97%	0	0.7	77	0
17	Sep_8_2015	228649.23	277031.22	371276.92	402000			350750(-17.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	43	-10000	-2	177	0	59%	-0.16	79	11.97%	0	0.7	77	0
18	Sep_4_2015	229021.46	266411.74	368385.71	405750			424500(13.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	66	-10000	7	244	0	63%	0.55	80.9	11.67%	0	1.4	82	0
19	Sep_3_2015	227763.89	252026.66	349510.44	389850			373250(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	72	-10000	6	271	0	61%	0.27	79.8	11.58%	0	1.1	80	0
20	Sep_2_2015	227150.25	240502.9	330724.18	377300			376750(-22.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	77	-10000	7	288	0	61%	0.22	78.2	11.59%	0	1.3	80	0

21	Sep_1_2015	226652.78	228200.28	308871.43	361650			484750(31.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	87	-10000	13	307	0	65%	0.67	75.2	11.21%	0	2.5	87	0
22	Aug_31_2015	225140.15	209805.8	273911.54	337750			369500(7.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	-10000	6	329	0	62%	0.23	79.1	10.59%	0	1.8	85	0
23	Aug_28_2015	224627.53	197651.11	250798.9	326650			345000(11.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	101	-10000	14	360	0	62%	-0.02	79.2	10.57%	0	1.9	85	0
24	Aug_27_2015	224678.03	186914.92	230282.97	303500			310500(4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	100	-10000	19	344	0	59%	-0.29	72.8	10.5%	0	1.7	80	0
25	Aug_26_2015	225329.55	178014.36	213186.81	275650			298500(-18.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	92	-10000	24	294	0	60%		61.8	10.54%	0	1.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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