Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $535000.0000 (5.42%) ($525000.0000 - $547500.0000) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.59% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $535000.0000(5.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(64%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(21%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-78%)    XLY(-77%)    XLK(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.795% (StdDev 7.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $568738.95
5 Day Moving Average   $513000(4.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $515093.41(3.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $568738.95(-5.93%)
To recent high   -40.2%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 12.68% (three month std-dev: 7.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	665073.53	568738.95	515093.41	513000			535000(5.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	3	-46	0	63%	-0.29	-72.3	7.59%	0	-0.5	31	0
2	Mar_9_2015	667014.93	579897.79	514434.07	507500			507500(-3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	1	-62	0	63%	-0.36	-65.4	7.97%	0	-0.9	22	0
3	Mar_6_2015	669431.82	592276.24	520681.32	505500			525000(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	1	-72	0	64%	-0.33	-66.7	7.93%	0	-0.7	25	0
4	Mar_5_2015	671653.85	601582.87	524664.84	504500			495000(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-83	0	63%	-0.41	-67.7	7.96%	0	-1.2	13	0
5	Mar_4_2015	674414.06	614794.2	535263.74	509500			502500(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-26	-10000	-4	-93	0	63%	-0.4	-67.2	7.97%	0	-1.2	10	0

6	Mar_3_2015	677142.86	626168.51	547741.76	517500			507500(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0	62%	-0.4	-65.7	7.97%	0	-1.3	13	0
7	Mar_2_2015	679879.03	640520.72	561071.43	522500			497500(-4.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-107	0	60%	-0.44	-58	7.98%	0	-1.5	8	0
8	Feb_27_2015	682868.85	659506.91	575598.9	538000			520000(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	60%	-0.4	-44.4	8.05%	0	-1.4	11	0
9	Feb_26_2015	685583.33	671298.34	589049.45	548000			520000(-4.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-107	0	60%	-0.41	-41.4	8.11%	0	-1.5	24	0
10	Feb_25_2015	688389.83	685564.92	609329.67	565000			542500(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-8	-99	0	60%	-0.36	-37.6	8.17%	0	-1.5	23	0

11	Feb_24_2015	690905.17	693919.89	626868.13	583000			532500(-7.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-9	-90	0	60%	-0.4	-42.4	8.23%	0	-1.8	28	0
12	Feb_23_2015	693684.21	700901.93	650873.63	605500			575000(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0	60%	-0.3	-50.4	8.25%	0	-1.6	26	0
13	Feb_20_2015	695803.57	708149.17	669747.25	619000			570000(-5.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-25	-10000	-6	-80	0	60%	-0.33	-60.4	8.32%	0	-1.9	21	0
14	Feb_19_2015	698090.91	714404.7	685093.41	636000			605000(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-9	-75	0	60%	-0.25	-70.7	8.36%	0	-1.6	42	0
15	Feb_18_2015	699814.81	722904.7	701115.38	660500			632500(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-6	-65	0	60%	-0.18	-69.8	8.41%	0	-1.4	40	0

16	Feb_17_2015	701084.91	733316.3	711247.25	678000			645000(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-9	-55	0	60%	-0.15	-57.9	8.48%	0	-1.4	51	0
17	Feb_13_2015	702163.46	743817.68	726494.51	704000			642500(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0	60%	-0.17	-37.4	8.57%	0	-1.5	54	0
18	Feb_12_2015	703333.33	756254.14	750241.76	728500			655000(-9.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0	60%	-0.14	-12.4	8.65%	0	-1.4	51	0
19	Feb_11_2015	704300	765895.03	760730.77	740500			727500(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	13	0	63%	0.07	-1.7	8.6%	0	-0.6	57	0
20	Feb_10_2015	703826.53	770252.76	768027.47	747500			720000(-7.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	-0	20	0	63%	0.05	1.9	8.69%	0	-0.7	50	0

21	Feb_9_2015	703489.58	772951.66	766637.36	749000			775000(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-1	8	0	63%	0.22	3	8.71%	0	0	48	0
22	Feb_6_2015	701968.09	769698.9	754967.03	753500			765000(6.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-7	-9	0	63%	0.2	7.2	8.8%	0	-0.1	47	0
23	Feb_5_2015	700597.83	765062.15	749318.68	777500			715000(-6.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0	63%	0.05	14.4	8.85%	0	-0.7	42	0
24	Feb_4_2015	700277.78	767073.2	746439.56	784000			762500(4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0	63%	0.2	26.7	8.89%	0	-0.1	47	0
25	Feb_3_2015	698863.64	768912.98	746483.52	791500			727500(-8.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-3	-10000	2	-19	0	63%		44.9	8.97%	0	-0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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