Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $727500.0000 (-8.78%) ($722500.0000 - $787500.0000) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.97% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $727500.0000(-8.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(64%)    TLT(30%)    SHY(21%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -4.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-78%)    XLY(-77%)    XLK(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.485% (StdDev 8.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.1%

Resistance Level   $768912.98
5 Day Moving Average   $791500(-8.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $746483.52(-2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $768912.98(-5.39%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   39.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 9.46% (three month std-dev: 8.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2015	698863.64	768912.98	746483.52	791500			727500(-8.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-3	-10000	2	-19	0	63%	0.1	44.9	8.97%	0	-0.6	48	0
2	Feb_2_2015	698197.67	770937.85	757219.78	784500			797500(-9.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	9	-15	0	63%	0.34	55.1	8.95%	0	0.4	54	0
3	Jan_30_2015	695833.33	764712.71	761714.29	754500			885000(18.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	4	-10000	11	-17	0	66%	0.67	47.2	8.9%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Jan_29_2015	691219.51	754650.55	759912.09	718500			747500(-6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	5	-19	0	62%	0.2	42.6	8.58%	0	-0.1	60	0
5	Jan_28_2015	689812.5	748237.57	769038.46	704000			800000(15.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	2	-20	0	62%	0.41	37.9	8.61%	0	0.7	55	0

6	Jan_27_2015	686987.18	737584.25	769791.21	697500			692500(6.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-10	-28	0	59%	0.02	29.4	8.39%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Jan_26_2015	686842.11	733140.88	778346.15	727500			647500(-8.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-13	-14	0	59%	-0.15	34	8.43%	0	-1	45	0
8	Jan_23_2015	687905.41	730700.28	786252.75	769500			705000(4.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-11	11	0	59%	0.07	40.3	8.43%	0	-0.3	57	0
9	Jan_22_2015	687430.56	725233.43	784005.49	807500			675000(-12.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-9	30	0	59%	-0.05	37.5	8.52%	0	-0.5	53	0
10	Jan_21_2015	687785.71	721370.17	792906.59	841500			767500(-8.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-3	67	0	63%	0.34	35.6	8.36%	0	0.5	66	0

11	Jan_20_2015	685441.18	714752.76	796554.95	851000			842500(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	4	101	0	67%	0.7	27.8	8.3%	0	1.2	72	0
12	Jan_16_2015	680681.82	704435.08	788269.23	836000			857500(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	9	114	0	67%	0.82	19.3	8.42%	0	1.5	72	0
13	Jan_15_2015	675156.25	695185.08	769340.66	805000			895000(5.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	15	111	0	67%	1.06	12.4	8.49%	0	2	75	0
14	Jan_14_2015	668064.52	691357.73	748038.46	758000			845000(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	6	93	0	67%	0.89	14.6	8.59%	0	1.8	73	0
15	Jan_13_2015	662166.67	687056.63	724005.49	738500			815000(6.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	1	84	0	67%	0.8	20.5	8.73%	0	1.4	72	0

16	Jan_12_2015	656896.55	686299.72	700324.18	736000			767500(9.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	0	80	0	67%	0.6	37.6	8.83%	0	0.9	62	0
17	Jan_9_2015	652946.43	684733.43	682115.38	735000			702500(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	2	77	0	65%	0.28	47.7	8.85%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Jan_8_2015	651111.11	683093.92	669884.62	727500			660000(-11.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-2	60	0	65%	0.05	51.9	8.95%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Jan_7_2015	650769.23	678885.36	662582.42	733500			747500(-6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	42	0	71%	0.6	54.6	8.78%	0	0.7	41	0
20	Jan_6_2015	646900	669403.31	645291.21	704500			802500(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	16	7	0	71%	1.01	40.3	8.8%	0	1.4	51	0

21	Jan_5_2015	640416.67	655290.06	626417.58	659000			762500(14.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	13	-38	0	71%	0.84	0	8.96%	0	1.1	45	0
22	Jan_2_2015	635108.7	644035.91	612780.22	623000			665000(-3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	7	-72	0	67%	0.21	0	8.68%	0	0.2	45	0
23	Dec_31_2014	633750	638433.7	613868.13	604500			690000(14.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	9	-78	0	67%	0.42	0	8.83%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Dec_30_2014	631071.43	632153.31	627527.47	582000			602500(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-72	0	62%	-0.23	0	8.5%	0	-0.3	59	0
25	Dec_29_2014	632500	633258.29	644835.16	577000			575000(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0	62%		0	8.65%	0	-0.6	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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