Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $895000.0000 (5.92%) ($805000.0000 - $897500.0000) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.49% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $895000.0000(5.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 6.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 14.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(64%)    TLT(31%)    SHY(21%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(10%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -4.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-78%)    XLY(-77%)    XLK(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.245% (StdDev 8.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $805000(11.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $769340.66(16.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $695185.08(28.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   72.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 14.29% (three month std-dev: 8.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2015	675156.25	695185.08	769340.66	805000			895000(5.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	15	111	0	67%	1.06	12.4	8.49%	0	2	75	0
2	Jan_14_2015	668064.52	691357.73	748038.46	758000			845000(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	6	93	0	67%	0.89	14.6	8.59%	0	1.8	73	0
3	Jan_13_2015	662166.67	687056.63	724005.49	738500			815000(6.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	1	84	0	67%	0.8	20.5	8.73%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Jan_12_2015	656896.55	686299.72	700324.18	736000			767500(9.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	0	80	0	67%	0.6	37.6	8.83%	0	0.9	62	0
5	Jan_9_2015	652946.43	684733.43	682115.38	735000			702500(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	2	77	0	65%	0.28	47.7	8.85%	0	0.2	57	0

6	Jan_8_2015	651111.11	683093.92	669884.62	727500			660000(-11.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-2	60	0	65%	0.05	51.9	8.95%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Jan_7_2015	650769.23	678885.36	662582.42	733500			747500(-6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	42	0	71%	0.6	54.6	8.78%	0	0.7	41	0
8	Jan_6_2015	646900	669403.31	645291.21	704500			802500(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	16	7	0	71%	1.01	40.3	8.8%	0	1.4	51	0
9	Jan_5_2015	640416.67	655290.06	626417.58	659000			762500(14.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	13	-38	0	71%	0.84	0	8.96%	0	1.1	45	0
10	Jan_2_2015	635108.7	644035.91	612780.22	623000			665000(-3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	7	-72	0	67%	0.21	0	8.68%	0	0.2	45	0

11	Dec_31_2014	633750	638433.7	613868.13	604500			690000(14.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	9	-78	0	67%	0.42	0	8.83%	0	0.5	54	0
12	Dec_30_2014	631071.43	632153.31	627527.47	582000			602500(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-72	0	62%	-0.23	0	8.5%	0	-0.3	59	0
13	Dec_29_2014	632500	633258.29	644835.16	577000			575000(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0	62%	-0.48	0	8.65%	0	-0.6	58	0
14	Dec_26_2014	635526.32	633258.29	669461.54	588500			582500(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0	62%	-0.46	0	8.88%	0	5.8	61	0
15	Dec_24_2014	638472.22	633258.29	686824.18	601000			572500(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0	62%	-0.6	0	9.13%	0	5.6	59	0

16	Dec_23_2014	642352.94	633258.29	698247.25	624500			577500(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-15	-10000	-18	-7	0	62%	-0.63	0	9.41%	0	5.5	58	0
17	Dec_22_2014	646406.25	633258.29	699412.09	681000			577500(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0	62%	-0.71	0	9.72%	0	5.4	56	0
18	Dec_19_2014	651000	633258.29	699862.64	723000			632500(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0	62%	-0.2	0	9.77%	0	5.9	54	0
19	Dec_18_2014	652321.43	633258.29	691164.84	762500			645000(-6.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0	62%	-0.09	0	10.11%	0	5.8	50	0
20	Dec_17_2014	652884.62	633258.29	682395.6	784000			690000(-19.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	1	-10000	1	0	0	62%	0.48	0	10.29%	0	6	50	0

21	Dec_16_2014	649791.67	633258.29	669021.98	780000			860000(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	20	8	0	79%	3.03	0	8.42%	0	7.2	50	0
22	Dec_15_2014	630681.82	633258.29	637851.65	720000			787500(-5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	16	6	0	76%	2.55	0	8.61%	0	7.4	50	0
23	Dec_12_2014	615000	633258.29	619335.16	673000			830000(10.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	23	9	0	76%	4.04	0	8.64%	0	8.4	50	0
24	Dec_11_2014	591111.11	633258.29	619335.16	611000			752500(12.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	17	7	0	71%	3.53	0	8.82%	0	10.5	50	0
25	Dec_10_2014	570937.5	633258.29	619335.16	568000			670000(19.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	9	-10000	11	4	0	62%		0	8.62%	0	14.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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