Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Tyson Foods Inc. Class A)
TSN latest price $39.5400 (2.01%) ($38.8400 - $39.6300) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $39.5400(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSN advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSN advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    XLB(41%)    VT(40%)    XAR(40%)    XLF(40%)
Factors Impacting TSN price   TSN will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.21(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.28(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.6(2.44%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $14.126b

Tyson Foods, Inc. engages in the production of processed food. It operates through the following segments: Chicken, Beef, Pork, and Prepared Foods. The Chicken segment involves in domestic operations related to raising and processing live chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, as well as sales from allied products. The Beef segment includes operations related to processing live fed cattle and fabricating dressed beef carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts and case-ready products. The Pork segment comprises operations related to processing live market hogs and fabricating pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal cuts and case-ready products. The Prepared Foods segment manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products and logistic operations to move products through the supply chain. The company was founded by John W. Tyson in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, AR.

$. TSN price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2014	40.22	38.6	39.28	39.21			39.54(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	1	16	2.11	38%	0.02	72.1	2.24%	0	0.9	64	0
2	Jul_21_2014	40.21	38.44	39.25	39.16			38.76(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-5	22	2.67	38%	-0.02	71.2	2.22%	0	0.3	63	0
3	Jul_18_2014	40.22	38.33	39.28	39.38			39.48(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-1	43	1.71	38%	0	76.9	2.22%	0	0.9	70	0
4	Jul_17_2014	40.22	38.16	39.19	39.42			39.06(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	-0	55	1.82	38%	0	77.4	2.23%	0	0.7	71	0
5	Jul_16_2014	40.22	38.02	39.18	39.43			39.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	2	75	2.05	38%	0.02	75.5	2.23%	0	0.9	77	0

6	Jul_15_2014	40.21	37.83	39.06	39.35			39.26(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	0	85	2.8	38%	0	69.4	2.23%	0	1	79	0
7	Jul_14_2014	40.21	37.63	38.9	39.34			39.85(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	4	97	2.68	38%	0.02	59.3	2.22%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Jul_11_2014	40.2	37.41	38.66	39.18			39.68(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	6	100	2.56	38%	0.02	42.8	2.23%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Jul_10_2014	40.19	37.18	38.4	38.94			39.13(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	1	99	2.58	37%	0	21.1	2.23%	0	1.4	78	0
10	Jul_9_2014	40.19	37.02	38.13	38.91			38.81(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	4	103	3.7	37%	0.02	3.6	2.24%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Jul_8_2014	40.18	36.88	37.87	38.72			39.24(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	8	103	4.14	37%	-0.02	-21.1	2.25%	0	1.8	84	0
12	Jul_7_2014	40.19	36.78	37.57	38.38			39.02(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	7	99	4.32	37%	0.1	-53.5	2.26%	0	1.9	84	0
13	Jul_3_2014	40.15	36.8	37.3	38.06			38.51(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	7	96	3.51	35%	0.05	-53.3	2.24%	0	1.1	78	0
14	Jul_2_2014	40.13	36.89	37.05	37.77			38.96(2.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	12	93	7.29	32%	0.05	-56.5	2.25%	0	1.2	84	0
15	Jul_1_2014	40.11	36.97	36.74	37.25			37.87(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	9	71	5.85	29%	0.02	-55	2.29%	0	0.4	65	0

16	Jun_30_2014	40.1	37.15	36.5	36.88			37.54(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	52	4.78	31%	0.05	-50	2.29%	0	0.2	63	0
17	Jun_27_2014	40.08	37.41	36.26	36.63			37.44(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	5	27	3.97	31%	0.05	-43.1	2.29%	0	0	46	0
18	Jun_26_2014	40.06	37.64	36.05	36.43			37.03(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-12	4.97	31%	0.02	-37	2.28%	0	-0.2	29	0
19	Jun_25_2014	40.05	37.92	35.86	36.22			36.38(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	2	-59	3.11	31%	0.02	-33.7	2.27%	0	-0.5	22	0
20	Jun_24_2014	40.04	38.14	35.86	36.15			36.03(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	-10000	3	-96	3.37	31%	0	-33.8	2.27%	0	-0.7	18	0

21	Jun_23_2014	40.04	38.41	35.82	36.04			36.27(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	6	-138	2.79	31%	-0.02	-34.2	2.27%	0	-0.7	17	0
22	Jun_20_2014	40.05	38.59	35.92	35.81			36.44(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	-10000	5	-184	6.38	31%	0.05	-38.6	2.27%	0	-0.7	15	0
23	Jun_19_2014	40.03	38.74	36.24	35.61			35.97(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	-10000	4	-208	5.15	31%	0.02	-43.5	2.26%	0	-0.9	20	0
24	Jun_18_2014	40.02	38.94	36.69	35.45			36.04(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-10000	-0	-229	7.99	31%	0.05	-47.1	2.27%	0	-1	18	0
25	Jun_17_2014	40	39.18	37.2	35.46			35.47(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-10000	-3	-228	3.59	31%		-47.8	2.27%	0	-1.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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