Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 12, 2023

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $107.0600 (4.14%) ($104.3100 - $107.3900) on Mon. Jun. 12, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $107.0600(4.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(80%)    QQQ(68%)    FIVG(67%)    IWF(66%)    VUG(66%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-43%)    VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-23%)    TBT(-17%)    BLOK(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.98(4.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.73(6.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.84(10.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $555.221b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 6.08% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.11%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.89%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.1%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.23%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.84%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2023	90.99	96.84	100.73	101.98	102.39	104.48	107.06(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	111	150	105	129	20.57	66%	0.18	77	2.31%	1.4	1.7	75	1.4
2	Jun_9_2023	90.83	95.67	100.24	100.18	100.67	101.37	102.8(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	60	50	110	14.9	61%	0.17	65.7	2.27%	0.9	1.2	70	1.7
3	Jun_8_2023	90.68	94.72	100.02	99.41	99.19	100.31	99.94(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	70	8	104	9.07	61%	0.12	60	2.27%	0.2	0.8	67	2
4	Jun_7_2023	90.57	93.98	99.13	99.19	99.31	99.96	100.29(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	50	51	119	14.36	61%	0.12	59.6	2.28%	0.3	1	70	2.2
5	Jun_6_2023	90.46	93.23	98.22	98.85	98.84	98.07	99.82(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-50	-17	101	13.82	61%	0.11	59.6	2.29%	1.2	1	76	2.4

6	Jun_5_2023	90.36	92.51	97.45	99.28	98.89	98.65	98.05(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-30	-49	116	10.56	61%	0.12	63.6	2.28%	-0.9	0.8	75	2.3
7	Jun_2_2023	90.25	91.86	96.94	100.31	100.36	99.61	98.94(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	45	-50	-1	183	13.08	61%	0.14	69.5	2.27%	-0.9	1.1	79	2.2
8	Jun_1_2023	90.12	91.09	96.33	100.71	100.94	99.14	98.84(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-120	-29	210	14.99	61%	0.19	72.2	2.28%	-0.5	1.2	79	2
9	May_31_2023	89.95	90.28	95.55	98.97	101.01	101.11	98.59(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	70	10	214	22.2	61%	0.2	65.6	2.33%	-1.6	1.3	74	1.2
10	May_30_2023	89.77	89.48	94.33	97.34	98.65	102.74	101.98(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	133	330	99	234	25.24	64%	0.38	60.6	2.29%	0	2	80	1.3

11	May_26_2023	89.43	88.53	92.69	95.29	95.57	100.9	103.21(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	210	400	197	248	26.12	64%	0.31	57.6	2.24%	1	2.6	81	0.8
12	May_25_2023	89.15	87.52	90.67	93.16	92.94	94.57	100.95(12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	150	120	137	188	60.76	63%	0.28	56.9	2.24%	1.5	3	81	0.2
13	May_24_2023	88.9	86.6	88.86	91.5	91.13	90.23	90.13(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-80	-45	127	9.19	52%	0.19	54.3	1.68%	-1.1	1	72	-0.2
14	May_23_2023	88.73	86.2	88.35	91.65	91.73	91.31	90.44(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	35	-30	-5	156	7.65	56%	0.02	49.5	1.71%	-1.7	1.2	75	0.9
15	May_22_2023	88.71	85.79	87.82	90.74	91.48	92.04	91.72(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	70	37	159	9.03	56%	0.19	36.1	1.76%	-0.8	1.8	78	1.2

16	May_19_2023	88.54	85.41	87.17	89.53	90.02	92.16	92.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	109	180	91	161	9.29	53%	0.06	23.6	1.78%	0.9	2.4	76	1.6
17	May_18_2023	88.49	85	86.36	87.7	88.08	90.93	92.65(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	146	240	146	147	14.87	53%	0.23	3.8	1.79%	1.1	2.9	74	2.1
18	May_17_2023	88.29	84.77	85.4	85.86	85.91	87.87	90.88(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	111	160	116	94	23.19	51%	0.19	-14.8	1.79%	1.6	2.9	73	1.6
19	May_16_2023	88.12	84.53	84.54	84.66	84.36	85.23	85.88(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	60	48	46	11.28	43%	-0.02	-34.7	1.63%	1	0.7	67	1.1
20	May_15_2023	88.14	84.62	84.25	84.5	84.02	83.96	85.66(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-20	12	30	8.7	38%	0.12	-37.9	1.65%	2.1	0.5	66	1.7

21	May_12_2023	88.03	84.71	84.06	84.47	84.16	83.49	83.43(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-70	-28	11	5.07	34%	0.1	-39.7	1.74%	-0.5	-0.6	45	1.2
22	May_11_2023	87.94	84.9	84.15	84.78	84.55	84.09	83.43(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-16	-50	-26	15	8.73	34%	0.07	-42.4	1.75%	-0.9	-0.7	42	1.2
23	May_10_2023	87.88	85.08	84.19	84.79	84.82	84.82	84.9(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	0	7	8	7.44	34%	0.11	-49.8	1.75%	0.4	-0.1	33	1.1
24	May_9_2023	87.78	85.17	83.94	84.35	84.47	85.01	85.06(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	50	20	-15	7.29	34%	0.11	-62.4	1.76%	0	-0.1	42	0.7
25	May_8_2023	87.68	85.36	83.66	83.93	83.93	84.82	85.54(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	70	36	-39	6.74	34%		-71.4	1.79%	1.2	0.1	41	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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