Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TSM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 27, 2023

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $87.3000 (-0.92%) ($87.2350 - $88.8500) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $87.3000(-0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(67%)    QQQ(65%)    FIVG(64%)    IWF(62%)    VUG(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    EDOC(-11%)    VXX(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV -0.9 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $82.66(-5.32%)
Resistance Level   $92.48
5 Day Moving Average   $87.99(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.58(-3.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.48(-5.6%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $452.744b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.79%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.64%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.49%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2023	79.18	92.48	90.58	87.99	88.41	87.95	87.3(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-20	-34	-113	10.52	71%	0.24	-47.4	2.2%	-0.9	-1.6	44	1.3
2	Feb_24_2023	78.99	92.8	91.38	88.55	88.45	89.17	88.11(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	50	-5	-92	8.81	71%	0.18	-43.2	2.2%	-0.4	-1.5	40	2.2
3	Feb_23_2023	78.85	93.1	92.23	89.09	88.94	88.87	90.08(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10	19	-75	15.46	71%	0.2	-34.3	2.2%	1.3	-1	39	0.6
4	Feb_22_2023	78.69	93.23	92.66	89.63	89.05	87.74	86.83(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-79	-120	-70	-106	10.08	71%	0.19	-25.7	2.15%	-1.5	-2.3	37	0.6
5	Feb_21_2023	78.54	93.65	93.49	91.86	90.32	89.02	87.64(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-75	-150	-77	-69	13.99	67%	0.38	5.9	2.19%	-1.6	-2.5	44	0.7

6	Feb_17_2023	78.24	94.08	94	93.55	92.53	90.35	90.1(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-200	-60	-39	11.23	71%	0.27	50.5	2.17%	-1	-2	46	0.2
7	Feb_16_2023	78.03	94.16	94.5	94.6	94	91.63	90.82(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-81	-200	-97	-33	15.54	71%	0.26	68.9	2.19%	-0.9	-1.5	47	-0.3
8	Feb_15_2023	77.83	94.09	95.1	95.78	95.16	94.7	92.76(-5.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-39	-50	-56	11	30.21	76%	0.26	94.7	2.18%	-1.1	-0.6	50	0.1
9	Feb_14_2023	77.63	93.96	95.33	96.08	96.24	96.37	97.96(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	28	52	15.35	84%	0.34	107.1	2.43%	0	1.6	64	-0.2
10	Feb_13_2023	77.37	93.51	94.8	95.4	95.71	95.62	96.11(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	0	5	29	7.79	84%	0.31	122.7	2.43%	0	1.1	53	0.1

11	Feb_10_2023	77.13	93.06	94.5	94.54	95.07	96.11	95.37(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	90	20	17	11.51	87%	0.26	116.2	2.48%	0	0.9	49	0.2
12	Feb_9_2023	76.93	92.66	94.3	94.4	94.09	95.79	96.69(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	120	37	26	16.16	87%	0.26	125.3	2.69%	0.6	1.4	63	-0.9
13	Feb_8_2023	76.73	91.95	93.95	94.39	93.72	94.02	94.28(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	0	24	32	12.07	87%	0.22	111	2.68%	0.8	0.6	65	-0.8
14	Feb_7_2023	76.56	91.34	93.78	94.49	94.18	92.39	94.55(2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-9	-140	-19	23	14.65	87%	0.22	104.8	2.7%	0.5	0.8	62	-0.9
15	Feb_6_2023	76.39	90.66	93.76	94.12	94.39	93.42	91.83(-2.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-33	-60	-50	19	11.64	87%	0.2	97.9	2.69%	-1.3	0.2	59	-1.1

16	Feb_3_2023	76.24	90.03	94.15	94.38	94.4	95.98	94.66(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	120	19	71	12.23	91%	0.22	92.7	2.67%	-0.6	0.9	70	-0.9
17	Feb_2_2023	76.07	89.13	93.81	94.11	93.89	95.37	96.65(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	100	63	97	14.89	91%	0.24	83.3	2.65%	1	1.2	74	-1.4
18	Feb_1_2023	75.89	88.13	93	93.47	92.99	92.82	94.74(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-30	13	85	16.76	91%	0.21	78.5	2.67%	2.2	1	80	-1.5
19	Jan_31_2023	75.73	87.13	92.49	93	92.87	92.4	92.73(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-40	-19	87	13.33	91%	0.15	71.3	2.66%	-0.8	0.8	79	-1.8
20	Jan_30_2023	75.62	86.25	92.14	93.37	93.04	93.15	93.13(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-0	-12	119	14.07	91%	0.17	71.5	2.66%	-0.5	1	81	-1.8

21	Jan_27_2023	75.49	85.27	91.55	93.88	93.45	93.34	93.3(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-20	10	161	13.64	91%	0.17	69.9	2.66%	1	1.1	84	-1.7
22	Jan_26_2023	75.36	84.33	90.94	93.42	93.59	92.93	93.45(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	51	-40	6	187	15.74	91%	0.19	68	2.66%	-0	1.3	86	-1.6
23	Jan_25_2023	75.22	83.39	89.83	92.41	92.78	93.55	92.41(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	70	1	189	14.11	91%	0.17	61.8	2.67%	-1	1.2	83	-1.6
24	Jan_24_2023	75.09	82.52	88.76	91.82	91.94	94.26	94.56(-1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	107	180	65	234	11.35	87%	0.28	58.4	2.64%	0.6	1.7	90	-1.5
25	Jan_23_2023	74.88	81.6	87.34	90.71	90.78	92.01	95.66(5.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	117	100	76	239	22.86	87%		55.4	2.7%	1.4	2	91	-1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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