Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $27.2157 (-0.93%) ($27.0839 - $27.5075) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $27.2157(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.15(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.38(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.18(0.13%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $141.143b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2016	24.86	27.18	27.38	27.15			27.22(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	3	4	7.33	59%	0.2	-18.2	1.34%	0	0.1	55	0
2	Sep_15_2016	24.81	27.19	27.39	27.09			27.47(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-5	-10000	-6	0	6.32	59%	0.2	-22.4	1.33%	0	0.7	58	0
3	Sep_14_2016	24.76	27.18	27.35	27.2			26.94(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-10000	-13	13	5.09	57%	0.16	-17.5	1.32%	0	-0.6	56	0
4	Sep_13_2016	24.72	27.2	27.36	27.43			26.82(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	2	-10000	-10	38	6.86	57%	0.16	-4.9	1.32%	0	-1	52	0
5	Sep_12_2016	24.68	27.24	27.39	27.62			27.29(1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-1	66	5.84	60%	0.16	11.9	1.31%	0	0.1	61	0

6	Sep_9_2016	24.64	27.25	27.36	27.64			26.91(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	14	-10000	-4	69	8.33	56%	0.16	18.4	1.31%	0	-0.9	51	0
7	Sep_8_2016	24.6	27.28	27.37	27.71			28.04(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	12	82	6.36	63%	0.24	32.2	1.2%	0	1.9	58	0
8	Sep_7_2016	24.54	27.25	27.24	27.52			28.07(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	-10000	14	54	14.43	66%	0.2	31.8	1.21%	0	2.3	62	0
9	Sep_6_2016	24.49	27.22	27.11	27.29			27.76(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	9	20	6.43	66%	0.25	33.1	1.23%	0	1.7	55	0
10	Sep_2_2016	24.43	27.2	27	27.14			27.43(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-12	6.05	67%	0.16	29	1.22%	0	0.8	42	0

11	Sep_1_2016	24.39	27.18	26.95	27.05			27.26(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	4	-31	6.07	69%	0.12	34.5	1.22%	0	0.3	42	0
12	Aug_31_2016	24.36	27.16	26.96	26.98			27.06(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	4	-38	4.67	69%	0.16	28.7	1.24%	0	-0.3	41	0
13	Aug_30_2016	24.32	27.13	26.98	26.91			26.94(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-50	5	69%	0.16	22.6	1.25%	0	-0.5	37	0
14	Aug_29_2016	24.28	27.13	27.02	26.89			27.02(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	3	-57	3.14	69%	0.17	18.8	1.25%	0	-0.3	34	0
15	Aug_26_2016	24.24	27.11	27.08	26.89			26.96(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	0	-60	5.27	69%	0.12	21.2	1.25%	0	-0.4	42	0

16	Aug_25_2016	24.21	27.08	27.13	26.84			26.92(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-6	-57	6.39	69%	0.17	20.8	1.26%	0	-0.4	48	0
17	Aug_24_2016	24.17	27.06	27.18	26.94			26.73(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-7	-37	5.39	69%	0.12	33.1	1.25%	0	-0.7	53	0
18	Aug_23_2016	24.14	27.06	27.26	27.05			26.83(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-11	5.5	71%	0.17	45.2	1.25%	0	-0.5	59	0
19	Aug_22_2016	24.1	27.05	27.35	27.16			26.74(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-11	16	6.42	71%	0.12	59.3	1.26%	0	-0.6	58	0
20	Aug_19_2016	24.07	27.03	27.42	27.35			26.96(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-6	43	6.24	73%	0.12	68.3	1.29%	0	-0.1	52	0

21	Aug_18_2016	24.04	26.99	27.44	27.35			27.45(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	0	73	4.25	77%	0.12	74.9	1.28%	0	0.8	70	0
22	Aug_17_2016	24.01	26.91	27.38	27.46			27.28(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-2	76	7	77%	0.17	75	1.3%	0	0.6	62	0
23	Aug_16_2016	23.97	26.85	27.31	27.5			27.38(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-3	83	5.91	77%	0.17	76.6	1.31%	0	0.8	64	0
24	Aug_15_2016	23.93	26.77	27.23	27.56			27.67(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	91	3.19	77%	0.13	82.6	1.3%	0	1.4	63	0
25	Aug_12_2016	23.9	26.68	27.15	27.51			27.53(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	5	99	3.48	77%		82.5	1.31%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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