Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $25.3894 (-0.85%) ($25.2670 - $25.6906) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $25.3894(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.11(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.83(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.34(4.31%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $131.671b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	23.01	24.34	24.83	25.11			25.39(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	102	8.54	59%	0.17	53.1	1.47%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Jul_11_2016	22.97	24.24	24.64	24.98			25.61(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	7	83	6.05	59%	0.17	50.4	1.46%	0	2.1	65	0
3	Jul_8_2016	22.93	24.14	24.41	24.85			25.16(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	67	5.78	57%	0.13	53.3	1.45%	0	1.8	66	0
4	Jul_7_2016	22.9	24.07	24.33	24.75			24.77(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	5	74	5.33	55%	0.13	62.3	1.44%	0	1.3	64	0
5	Jul_6_2016	22.87	24.03	24.28	24.66			24.62(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	10	77	6.06	55%	0.18	70.2	1.45%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Jul_5_2016	22.83	23.99	24.24	24.49			24.72(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	14	79	5.68	55%	0.18	76	1.45%	0	1.5	66	0
7	Jul_1_2016	22.79	23.92	24.17	24.24			24.98(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	20	68	5.94	55%	0.22	67.2	1.45%	0	2.2	69	0
8	Jun_30_2016	22.74	23.83	24.03	23.9			24.69(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	2	30	9.77	57%	0.22	58.9	1.44%	0	2	63	0
9	Jun_29_2016	22.69	23.75	23.92	23.86			24.29(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	1	21	8.76	56%	0.13	65.5	1.44%	0	1.3	53	0
10	Jun_28_2016	22.66	23.69	23.85	23.85			23.78(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-6	11	14.43	53%	0.13	67.5	1.42%	0	0.2	46	0

11	Jun_27_2016	22.63	23.63	23.85	23.96			23.44(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-8	14	10.33	51%	0.13	77.4	1.41%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Jun_24_2016	22.6	23.6	23.82	24.09			23.29(-4.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	5	-10000	-4	31	9.53	51%	0.09	87	1.42%	0	-0.6	53	0
13	Jun_23_2016	22.58	23.57	23.87	24.15			24.5(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	11	55	6.71	59%	0.18	97	1.28%	0	1.7	70	0
14	Jun_22_2016	22.54	23.47	23.8	23.98			24.25(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	53	8.01	59%	0.18	97.4	1.28%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Jun_21_2016	22.5	23.38	23.78	23.85			24.3(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	59	6.1	59%	0.13	101.7	1.28%	0	1.6	71	0

16	Jun_20_2016	22.47	23.27	23.72	23.67			24.1(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	9	60	10.02	59%	0.18	100	1.28%	0	1.5	75	0
17	Jun_17_2016	22.43	23.16	23.64	23.67			23.62(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	55	5.81	57%	0.18	96.2	1.26%	0	0.8	69	0
18	Jun_16_2016	22.39	23.05	23.61	23.53			23.63(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-5	67	4.64	61%	0.18	82.6	1.26%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Jun_15_2016	22.35	22.95	23.56	23.6			23.61(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10000	-6	80	6.93	61%	0.18	82.6	1.34%	0	0.8	71	0
20	Jun_14_2016	22.31	22.82	23.51	23.69			23.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-6	106	7.19	61%	0.18	75.9	1.34%	0	0.6	71	0

21	Jun_13_2016	22.27	22.72	23.44	23.78			23.42(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-10000	2	129	7.41	61%	0.13	73.3	1.34%	0	0.8	74	0
22	Jun_10_2016	22.24	22.59	23.37	23.75			23.63(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	4	142	6.7	64%	0.18	66.2	1.37%	0	1.1	82	0
23	Jun_9_2016	22.2	22.46	23.28	23.69			23.97(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	12	168	5.76	67%	0.23	61.6	1.36%	0	1.5	92	0
24	Jun_8_2016	22.15	22.32	23.13	23.5			24.06(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	13	170	6.17	67%	0.18	58.2	1.36%	0	1.8	86	0
25	Jun_7_2016	22.11	22.18	22.95	23.3			23.81(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	-10000	15	181	6.62	67%		57.4	1.35%	0	1.8	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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