Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $21.9836 (-0.2%) ($21.9568 - $22.4204) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $21.9836(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(65%)    VWO(65%)    EEM(62%)    SMH(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.72(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.37(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.62(1.68%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $114.009b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	20.49	21.62	21.37	21.72			21.98(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	10	3	11.7	55%	0.15	-11.7	1.9%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Mar_18_2015	20.46	21.62	21.34	21.52			22.03(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	11	-16	14.55	55%	0.15	-22.1	1.91%	0	0.9	48	0
3	Mar_17_2015	20.43	21.61	21.29	21.3			21.67(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	11	-42	12.56	55%	0.15	-28.2	1.9%	0	0.1	38	0
4	Mar_16_2015	20.4	21.63	21.3	21.08			21.64(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	8	-69	18.38	52%	0.15	-23	1.9%	0	0	38	0
5	Mar_13_2015	20.37	21.65	21.32	20.93			21.29(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-22	-10000	-2	-81	9.75	52%	0.1	-16.8	1.91%	0	-0.7	47	0

6	Mar_12_2015	20.35	21.68	21.37	20.97			20.98(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-8	-81	10.89	52%	0.1	-8.6	1.91%	0	-1.5	40	0
7	Mar_11_2015	20.33	21.71	21.48	21.13			20.94(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-7	-67	9.49	52%	0.1	7.7	1.92%	0	-1.7	39	0
8	Mar_10_2015	20.31	21.71	21.61	21.28			20.55(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-13	-55	12.41	50%	0.1	24.7	1.9%	0	-2.8	30	0
9	Mar_9_2015	20.29	21.74	21.8	21.54			20.9(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-10	-31	15.6	50%	0.15	35.3	1.9%	0	-1.8	33	0
10	Mar_6_2015	20.26	21.73	21.88	21.75			21.48(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-4	-19	6.37	53%	0.15	48.5	1.86%	0	-0.5	38	0

11	Mar_5_2015	20.23	21.72	21.88	21.83			21.81(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-2	-13	6.88	53%	0.2	55.2	1.86%	0	0.2	51	0
12	Mar_4_2015	20.19	21.68	21.92	21.87			21.69(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-6	-9	9.42	53%	0.2	53.4	1.86%	0	0	53	0
13	Mar_3_2015	20.15	21.63	21.96	22			21.84(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-4	12	7.49	55%	0.2	48.4	1.86%	0	0.4	63	0
14	Mar_2_2015	20.11	21.57	21.98	22.09			21.96(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	3	48	7.08	53%	0.25	41.4	1.87%	0	0.6	77	0
15	Feb_27_2015	20.06	21.49	21.98	22.02			21.87(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	63	8.54	51%	0.2	28.3	1.88%	0	0.6	68	0

16	Feb_26_2015	20.02	21.43	22	22.01			22(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	1	73	7.59	51%	0.2	25.5	1.9%	0	0.8	61	0
17	Feb_25_2015	19.98	21.4	21.97	21.98			22.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	23	-10000	3	82	10.39	51%	0.2	29.2	1.89%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Feb_24_2015	19.94	21.35	21.86	21.92			22.32(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	2	87	15.93	51%	0.2	35.2	1.89%	0	1.5	69	0
19	Feb_23_2015	19.9	21.3	21.66	21.87			21.59(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-5	82	7.83	47%	0.15	46.2	1.85%	0	0.5	66	0
20	Feb_20_2015	19.87	21.29	21.57	21.98			21.79(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-1	100	7.27	47%	0.2	60.3	1.85%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Feb_19_2015	19.83	21.26	21.51	21.99			21.86(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	2	109	9.93	50%	0.2	80.6	1.85%	0	1	62	0
22	Feb_18_2015	19.79	21.2	21.42	21.94			22.03(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	7	106	7.43	50%	0.2	95.3	1.86%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Feb_17_2015	19.75	21.12	21.28	21.79			22.08(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	19	86	10.53	48%	0.36	108.5	1.86%	0	1.7	53	0
24	Feb_13_2015	19.68	21.03	21.12	21.42			22.14(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	16	38	11.64	48%	0.2	103	1.87%	0	2	54	0
25	Feb_12_2015	19.64	20.94	20.92	21.11			21.81(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	-10000	8	-6	10.14	48%		104.9	1.87%	0	1.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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